Commanders -4.5(-109) *3.00/2.75
The first fav on my card this week, and I go ham...here goes nothing.
Two teams heading in opposite directions, and the situational spot couldn't get any better for Washington.
The Giants will be playing their 4th straight divisional game, while the Commanders will be playing a consecutive divisional game. And it's this same Giants team, with a bye in between. Think about that, it's essentially 3 weeks of game planning/practice against the same damn team.
After that full over time tie, one team got to rest, the other had to play arguably the best team in football. Now the Giants have to turn around and play the rested version of Washington after getting beat down by Philly.
This feels like an impossible climb, as they are battered and bruised. Saquon Barkley toughed it out last game with a neck issue, but wasn't able to finish the game. He's probable this week but no chance of being 100% imo. The Giants have 5 listed out, 3 questionable, and 9 on IR.
The Giants have gone 1-4-1 in their last 6, with that one win being against the Texans. The 4 losses were by 22, 8, 13, and 14. In this span, they've been at home 4 times.
The Commanders have gone 4-1-1 in their last 6, with the one loss vs Minnesota where they had a 17-7 lead in the 4th quarter. Their wins have been by 6, 13, 11, and 1(1 being the most distant win). In this span, they've been otr 4 times.
If you look at common opponents, both teams are 5-4 against them, only that the Giants pt differential is -26, and Commanders is -7. Now if we look at these opponents after W7(post Wentz), Commanders are 3-0 with a +26, Giants 2-1 with a -17.
Since week 10...
Dvoa: Giants #24, Commanders #9
Defensive epa: Giants #31, Commanders #2
Offensive epa: Giants #19, Commanders #13
Nice write up$$
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