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#1
Thursday Night Football 10/22/2015
The 49ers host division rival Seattle Seahawks at home. The 49ers are 6.5 point home underdogs in a primetime spot vs. a division rival.
The 49ers have come into this season as a team projected to have a losing season due to some key losses across the board. Colin Kaepernick has come into his own under new offensive coordinator, Geep Chryst, who has allowed Kaepernick to start playing to his strengths, primarily big arm and above average mobility to stretch defenses and open up run game. Defense has been over-achieving under new defensive coordinator, Eric Mangini, who has worked hard to install a scheme that mitigates the 49ers huge losses over the offseason. Overall, this team's play has exceeded expectations so far, however there is a lot of season left.
The Seahawks on the other hand, were projected to once again win the NFC West and make the playoffs - despite some questions regarding a suspect offensive line and Kam Chancellor holdout, as well as drama surrounding Russell Wilson's contract. Seahawks have underperformed, dropping multiple games in the 4th quarter.
When this line opened, Seahawks were favored at 4 points. That has moved to 7 points and there has to be some serious money or a large public consensus to drive this type of line move over the course of 7 days.
Media and public still seems to prefer this Seahawks squad to the 49ers squad - and rightly so from a personnel perspective, this is the same team "basically" that made the SuperBowl-albiet with a much softer offensive line.
Division rivalry is real. Media and public perception is this is an easy win for the Seahawks.
What does this tell me as a handicapper?
I believe strongly that 49ers will come into this game motivated, regardless of coming off a win. I also believe the Seahawks will come into this game prepared and motivated to win, coming off a heartbreaking loss at home in the last minute.
Essentially, this will boil down to a dog fight in front of a charged, emotional 49er's home crowd.
Taking the points - the Seahawks will be lucky to cover this game by a FG, let alone a TD.
I could go into motivation, history, public perception, money and line movement...everything points not only to 49ers cover - but also quite possibly a 49ers win straight up.
49ers-7 $1100/1000
49ers ML $500/1185
The 49ers host division rival Seattle Seahawks at home. The 49ers are 6.5 point home underdogs in a primetime spot vs. a division rival.
The 49ers have come into this season as a team projected to have a losing season due to some key losses across the board. Colin Kaepernick has come into his own under new offensive coordinator, Geep Chryst, who has allowed Kaepernick to start playing to his strengths, primarily big arm and above average mobility to stretch defenses and open up run game. Defense has been over-achieving under new defensive coordinator, Eric Mangini, who has worked hard to install a scheme that mitigates the 49ers huge losses over the offseason. Overall, this team's play has exceeded expectations so far, however there is a lot of season left.
The Seahawks on the other hand, were projected to once again win the NFC West and make the playoffs - despite some questions regarding a suspect offensive line and Kam Chancellor holdout, as well as drama surrounding Russell Wilson's contract. Seahawks have underperformed, dropping multiple games in the 4th quarter.
When this line opened, Seahawks were favored at 4 points. That has moved to 7 points and there has to be some serious money or a large public consensus to drive this type of line move over the course of 7 days.
Media and public still seems to prefer this Seahawks squad to the 49ers squad - and rightly so from a personnel perspective, this is the same team "basically" that made the SuperBowl-albiet with a much softer offensive line.
Division rivalry is real. Media and public perception is this is an easy win for the Seahawks.
What does this tell me as a handicapper?
I believe strongly that 49ers will come into this game motivated, regardless of coming off a win. I also believe the Seahawks will come into this game prepared and motivated to win, coming off a heartbreaking loss at home in the last minute.
Essentially, this will boil down to a dog fight in front of a charged, emotional 49er's home crowd.
Taking the points - the Seahawks will be lucky to cover this game by a FG, let alone a TD.
I could go into motivation, history, public perception, money and line movement...everything points not only to 49ers cover - but also quite possibly a 49ers win straight up.
49ers-7 $1100/1000
49ers ML $500/1185
0
I might tease this game on the SF side and under
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