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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    TNF

    FadeOnly
    MRxKrazz
    HabsHater88
    Dogjimbo
    Metallica2467
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    FadeOnly
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2015 - 10:28 PM ET #1


    Arizona -7.5 (-110)    0.75U


    NFL YTD: 61-49-4 (55%) +3.115U


       ---I can't see this number going down at all and it won't surprise me to see it go to -9 or so by game time.  That's why I'm buying early, something I normally don't do.  I wrote some brief thoughts in one of pdouble's threads.  I'll post them here as well.  No score prediction on this one but I think Arizona wins by at least 3 touchdowns.  Good luck to the forum.
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    Arizona -7.5 (-110)    0.75U


    NFL YTD: 61-49-4 (55%) +3.115U


       ---I can't see this number going down at all and it won't surprise me to see it go to -9 or so by game time.  That's why I'm buying early, something I normally don't do.  I wrote some brief thoughts in one of pdouble's threads.  I'll post them here as well.  No score prediction on this one but I think Arizona wins by at least 3 touchdowns.  Good luck to the forum.
     
    FadeOnly
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2015 - 10:29 PM ET #2

    The Vikings are not the same team they were six weeks ago.  They are decimated by injuries.  I was favoring Seattle for most of the week last week, and the announcement on Sunday morning of Linval Joseph inactive was the clincher.  They have 7 defensive players not practicing this week, including Joseph, LB Anthony Barr, S Harrison Smith, and now S Antone Exum.  All four will be inactive this Thursday.  They had zero safeties on their roster who could practice on Monday.  They've since picked up a guy off the street and promoted a practice squad player.  

    Arizona scores the most PPG in the NFL (31.8).  That includes being ranked in the top 3 in terms of total passing yards, passing yards per game, passing touchdowns, and passer rating.  After they score 4 touchdowns in the first half, Minnesota will be forced to give up on Adrian Peterson, which is the only thing keeping people interested in the Vikings at this point.  What's the hypothetical point spread if he's out?  -10.5?  -13?  This is a massive beatdown waiting to happen.
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    The Vikings are not the same team they were six weeks ago.  They are decimated by injuries.  I was favoring Seattle for most of the week last week, and the announcement on Sunday morning of Linval Joseph inactive was the clincher.  They have 7 defensive players not practicing this week, including Joseph, LB Anthony Barr, S Harrison Smith, and now S Antone Exum.  All four will be inactive this Thursday.  They had zero safeties on their roster who could practice on Monday.  They've since picked up a guy off the street and promoted a practice squad player.  

    Arizona scores the most PPG in the NFL (31.8).  That includes being ranked in the top 3 in terms of total passing yards, passing yards per game, passing touchdowns, and passer rating.  After they score 4 touchdowns in the first half, Minnesota will be forced to give up on Adrian Peterson, which is the only thing keeping people interested in the Vikings at this point.  What's the hypothetical point spread if he's out?  -10.5?  -13?  This is a massive beatdown waiting to happen.
     
    MRxKrazz
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2015 - 10:40 PM ET #3

    Just caught on to tall the injuries on MIN's D side of the ball, something that will factor in big time on who I place my bet on.
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    Just caught on to tall the injuries on MIN's D side of the ball, something that will factor in big time on who I place my bet on.
     
    HabsHater88
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2015 - 10:42 PM ET #4

    I think Vikings take a beating as well.. Bridgewater can't figure out good defenses.. He looked lost vs Packers and Seahawks. Even in the Broncos game. Reason why that game was close bc Mannings 2 picks that set up short fields.. 

    3 of the last 4 games are vs Division or Co Division leaders.. They can easily be 9-7 and miss the playoffs. AKA 2014 Eagles.. 

    Missing Barr and Smith really hurt them vs Seahawks..

    I am going to teaser for sure Cards -1.5 and likely the under..


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    I think Vikings take a beating as well.. Bridgewater can't figure out good defenses.. He looked lost vs Packers and Seahawks. Even in the Broncos game. Reason why that game was close bc Mannings 2 picks that set up short fields.. 

    3 of the last 4 games are vs Division or Co Division leaders.. They can easily be 9-7 and miss the playoffs. AKA 2014 Eagles.. 

    Missing Barr and Smith really hurt them vs Seahawks..

    I am going to teaser for sure Cards -1.5 and likely the under..


     
    Dogjimbo
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2015 - 6:21 AM ET #5

      With you here.  BOL buddy. 
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      With you here.  BOL buddy. 
     
    FadeOnly
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2015 - 7:30 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by HabsHater88:

    I think Vikings take a beating as well.. Bridgewater can't figure out good defenses.. He looked lost vs Packers and Seahawks. Even in the Broncos game. Reason why that game was close bc Mannings 2 picks that set up short fields.. 

    3 of the last 4 games are vs Division or Co Division leaders.. They can easily be 9-7 and miss the playoffs. AKA 2014 Eagles.. 

    Missing Barr and Smith really hurt them vs Seahawks..

    I am going to teaser for sure Cards -1.5 and likely the under..



    I think Bridgewater's struggles against better defenses has a lot to do with the Vikings shoddy offensive line.  Poor pass blocking forces Teddy to make decisions very quickly, not going through his progressions.  Better receivers could help him out but they're currently not there.  Seattle was getting pressure rushing only 4 guys.  With below average receivers, plenty of DBs in coverage, and Bridgewater running for his life, of course he's going to look bad against better teams.  

    I've read and noticed that earlier this season Teddy Bridgewater was playing a lot more snaps from the shotgun.  They seem to have gotten away from that to give Peterson what he wants, a head start from the backfield with Teddy under center.  It may have given AP a boost but it regressed Bridgewater.  Now AP is complaining about touches, so I would assume Teddy will continue most snaps from under center.  Good news for better opposing defenses such as Seattle and Green Bay.  And hopefully Arizona as well.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by HabsHater88:

    I think Vikings take a beating as well.. Bridgewater can't figure out good defenses.. He looked lost vs Packers and Seahawks. Even in the Broncos game. Reason why that game was close bc Mannings 2 picks that set up short fields.. 

    3 of the last 4 games are vs Division or Co Division leaders.. They can easily be 9-7 and miss the playoffs. AKA 2014 Eagles.. 

    Missing Barr and Smith really hurt them vs Seahawks..

    I am going to teaser for sure Cards -1.5 and likely the under..



    I think Bridgewater's struggles against better defenses has a lot to do with the Vikings shoddy offensive line.  Poor pass blocking forces Teddy to make decisions very quickly, not going through his progressions.  Better receivers could help him out but they're currently not there.  Seattle was getting pressure rushing only 4 guys.  With below average receivers, plenty of DBs in coverage, and Bridgewater running for his life, of course he's going to look bad against better teams.  

    I've read and noticed that earlier this season Teddy Bridgewater was playing a lot more snaps from the shotgun.  They seem to have gotten away from that to give Peterson what he wants, a head start from the backfield with Teddy under center.  It may have given AP a boost but it regressed Bridgewater.  Now AP is complaining about touches, so I would assume Teddy will continue most snaps from under center.  Good news for better opposing defenses such as Seattle and Green Bay.  And hopefully Arizona as well.  
     
    Metallica2467
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2015 - 8:40 PM ET #7

    GL tomorrow Bro 
    R.I.P. Legend
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    GL tomorrow Bro 
     
    FadeOnly
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2015 - 9:42 PM ET #8

    Thanks, everyone.  


    Another note...  I recall seeing a detailed list of QB vs QB on these Thursday night games over the 2014 season and now the 2015 season.  If I remember correctly, the more experienced/winningest/proven QB almost always wins these abbreviated week games.  Carson Palmer probably won't win the MVP this year, but he should be considered, right?  
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    Thanks, everyone.  


    Another note...  I recall seeing a detailed list of QB vs QB on these Thursday night games over the 2014 season and now the 2015 season.  If I remember correctly, the more experienced/winningest/proven QB almost always wins these abbreviated week games.  Carson Palmer probably won't win the MVP this year, but he should be considered, right?  
     
    trainer4u2
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2015 - 10:33 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeOnly:

    Thanks, everyone.  


    Another note...  I recall seeing a detailed list of QB vs QB on these Thursday night games over the 2014 season and now the 2015 season.  If I remember correctly, the more experienced/winningest/proven QB almost always wins these abbreviated week games.  Carson Palmer probably won't win the MVP this year, but he should be considered, right?  


    spot on
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    Quote Originally Posted by FadeOnly:

    Thanks, everyone.  


    Another note...  I recall seeing a detailed list of QB vs QB on these Thursday night games over the 2014 season and now the 2015 season.  If I remember correctly, the more experienced/winningest/proven QB almost always wins these abbreviated week games.  Carson Palmer probably won't win the MVP this year, but he should be considered, right?  


    spot on
     
    Pitygame
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 1:36 AM ET #10

    vegas pays the owners, owners pays the players. go VIKS!!
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    vegas pays the owners, owners pays the players. go VIKS!!
     
    Rocafella
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 7:42 AM ET #11

    Great write up. Same thoughts. GL!
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    Great write up. Same thoughts. GL!
     
    Beningo88
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 8:47 AM ET #12

    Winner
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    Winner
     
    BroKV
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 10:54 AM ET #13

    New here!!! I took Cards early -7.5 2U
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    New here!!! I took Cards early -7.5 2U
     
    Alien-1
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 11:13 AM ET #14

    good luck tonight Fade
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    good luck tonight Fade
     
    idle_havoc
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 11:40 AM ET #15

    Looks great 
    Gotta go pee!
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    Looks great 
     
    nba-capper
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 11:40 AM ET #16

    Vikes ml
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    Vikes ml
     
    FadeOnly
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 6:19 PM ET #17

    Thanks for stopping by, everyone.  Good luck tonight.  
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    Thanks for stopping by, everyone.  Good luck tonight.  
     
    YellowFever32
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 6:52 PM ET #18

    GLT.....im on cards and over!! going to be a slaughter like last wk
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    GLT.....im on cards and over!! going to be a slaughter like last wk
     
    tito40
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 6:53 PM ET #19

    gl tonight fade....
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    gl tonight fade....
     
     
    HabsHater88
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2015 - 7:23 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeOnly:


    I think Bridgewater's struggles against better defenses has a lot to do with the Vikings shoddy offensive line.  Poor pass blocking forces Teddy to make decisions very quickly, not going through his progressions.  Better receivers could help him out but they're currently not there.  Seattle was getting pressure rushing only 4 guys.  With below average receivers, plenty of DBs in coverage, and Bridgewater running for his life, of course he's going to look bad against better teams.  

    I've read and noticed that earlier this season Teddy Bridgewater was playing a lot more snaps from the shotgun.  They seem to have gotten away from that to give Peterson what he wants, a head start from the backfield with Teddy under center.  It may have given AP a boost but it regressed Bridgewater.  Now AP is complaining about touches, so I would assume Teddy will continue most snaps from under center.  Good news for better opposing defenses such as Seattle and Green Bay.  And hopefully Arizona as well.  

    I am thinking about a middle..  -8 and +11 is a lot of points.. 1/2 my wager like insurance in black jack..  
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    Quote Originally Posted by FadeOnly:


    I think Bridgewater's struggles against better defenses has a lot to do with the Vikings shoddy offensive line.  Poor pass blocking forces Teddy to make decisions very quickly, not going through his progressions.  Better receivers could help him out but they're currently not there.  Seattle was getting pressure rushing only 4 guys.  With below average receivers, plenty of DBs in coverage, and Bridgewater running for his life, of course he's going to look bad against better teams.  

    I've read and noticed that earlier this season Teddy Bridgewater was playing a lot more snaps from the shotgun.  They seem to have gotten away from that to give Peterson what he wants, a head start from the backfield with Teddy under center.  It may have given AP a boost but it regressed Bridgewater.  Now AP is complaining about touches, so I would assume Teddy will continue most snaps from under center.  Good news for better opposing defenses such as Seattle and Green Bay.  And hopefully Arizona as well.  

    I am thinking about a middle..  -8 and +11 is a lot of points.. 1/2 my wager like insurance in black jack..  
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