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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    TNF week 6, I GOT THIS

    PhillyBrown
    FallopianTuber
    Gumerk
    Jrod6
    MB67
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    Views: 1966
    Posts: 15
     
    PhillyBrown
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 6:38 PM ET #1

    I had a feeling this would come down to 3, especially with the hook coming into play on MNF, no one wants the hook. Interesting though that it opened at 3.5.

    The Panthers are the play here, people. 2 units -3 even money. I was telling anyone who would listen that the Panthers would have a comeback year this year after the SB loss hangover year, and then I didn't play on them at all the first 5 weeks, I was going to play on them week 1 but got concerned about Cam's shoulder and the line looked low considering it was a 49er team they had already whooped last year.

    The Eagles have also looked very good recently and Wentz certainly looks to be progressing well, but if you look at the defenses he's played against, they are all in the bottom half, most in the bottom 3rd of pass defenses.

    Carolina is 5th in the leauge in passing yards allowed and 4th in yards per play, this will be the best defense they've played by far.

    Carolina's offense has looked very good, and Philadelphia's defense is 29th in passing yards allowed and 29th in yards per play. Their pass rush should get a nice boost if Fletcher Cox comes back tonight and I think he will, but the Eagles are banged up at other positions.

    Ronald Darby is out, and he was brought in to help the secondary which is very suspect and I think will get torched tonight.

    Lane Johnson is out, when he was suspended for PEDs the Eagles offense really took a step back. Not a great spot for a backup lineman to come in considering Carolina has the third most sacks in the league.

    Sproles is done for the year and Smallwood hasn't practiced this week. They have Blount who has been playing really well, but I think not having the shifty 3rd down pass catching backs is going to hurt the Eagles against Carolina because they have such fast LBs and Blount is more of a power runner I think the D matches up good against his style. Carolina in contrast will have Stewart and McCaffrey healthy and with their secondary I don't think they will be able to stack up against the run.

    So you have the better run game, better defense, playing at home with the other team banged up and on a short week having to travel. And while Philly has improved a lot, the Panthers are an established contender who nearly ran the table 2 years ago and were practically unbeatable even without any WRs. Now they have a WR core and a great young RB to go with their defense which is getting back to where it was.

    Philly lost at Kansas City and could have lost vs SD, and they gave up a ton of points in the 4th qrtr to the Giants and nearly lost to them. Carolina has wins over NE and Detroit recently, and the only reason the Detroit game was so close is they kept getting penalties, probably because the refs felt bad after taking the game away from them the week before vs the Falcons. Outside of that the Panthers have been very good at avoiding flags and this road game on a short week will be a tough challenge for this young Eagles team.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I had a feeling this would come down to 3, especially with the hook coming into play on MNF, no one wants the hook. Interesting though that it opened at 3.5.

    The Panthers are the play here, people. 2 units -3 even money. I was telling anyone who would listen that the Panthers would have a comeback year this year after the SB loss hangover year, and then I didn't play on them at all the first 5 weeks, I was going to play on them week 1 but got concerned about Cam's shoulder and the line looked low considering it was a 49er team they had already whooped last year.

    The Eagles have also looked very good recently and Wentz certainly looks to be progressing well, but if you look at the defenses he's played against, they are all in the bottom half, most in the bottom 3rd of pass defenses.

    Carolina is 5th in the leauge in passing yards allowed and 4th in yards per play, this will be the best defense they've played by far.

    Carolina's offense has looked very good, and Philadelphia's defense is 29th in passing yards allowed and 29th in yards per play. Their pass rush should get a nice boost if Fletcher Cox comes back tonight and I think he will, but the Eagles are banged up at other positions.

    Ronald Darby is out, and he was brought in to help the secondary which is very suspect and I think will get torched tonight.

    Lane Johnson is out, when he was suspended for PEDs the Eagles offense really took a step back. Not a great spot for a backup lineman to come in considering Carolina has the third most sacks in the league.

    Sproles is done for the year and Smallwood hasn't practiced this week. They have Blount who has been playing really well, but I think not having the shifty 3rd down pass catching backs is going to hurt the Eagles against Carolina because they have such fast LBs and Blount is more of a power runner I think the D matches up good against his style. Carolina in contrast will have Stewart and McCaffrey healthy and with their secondary I don't think they will be able to stack up against the run.

    So you have the better run game, better defense, playing at home with the other team banged up and on a short week having to travel. And while Philly has improved a lot, the Panthers are an established contender who nearly ran the table 2 years ago and were practically unbeatable even without any WRs. Now they have a WR core and a great young RB to go with their defense which is getting back to where it was.

    Philly lost at Kansas City and could have lost vs SD, and they gave up a ton of points in the 4th qrtr to the Giants and nearly lost to them. Carolina has wins over NE and Detroit recently, and the only reason the Detroit game was so close is they kept getting penalties, probably because the refs felt bad after taking the game away from them the week before vs the Falcons. Outside of that the Panthers have been very good at avoiding flags and this road game on a short week will be a tough challenge for this young Eagles team.
     
    FallopianTuber
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 6:40 PM ET #2

    you've been away from Philly too long. Eagles have the much better run game, and the pass rush. These are key ingredients to winning away from home. Panthers aren't great at home either.
    Reply
    you've been away from Philly too long. Eagles have the much better run game, and the pass rush. These are key ingredients to winning away from home. Panthers aren't great at home either.
     
    Gumerk
    Gumerk
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 6:46 PM ET #3

    What about the over angle? 
    Reply
    What about the over angle? 
     
    Jrod6
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 6:51 PM ET #4

    Good luck, PB you will bounce back this game.

    Same side for me 
    Reply
    Good luck, PB you will bounce back this game.

    Same side for me 
     
    PhillyBrown
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 6:59 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by FallopianTuber:

    you've been away from Philly too long. Eagles have the much better run game, and the pass rush. These are key ingredients to winning away from home. Panthers aren't great at home either.

    Statistically yes the Eagles have the better run game so I should have explained I am basing that assesment on 2 of their RBs being hurt and Blount not matching up well vs Carolina, which I did kind of say.

    They DO NOT have the better pass rush, it's not even close, Carolina has the 3rd most sacks in the league, Philly is not even in the top half of the league. Carolina had 6 in the last game alone.

    Forgot to add that the Panthers are coming home off back to back road games which is always an angle I like to play on. You say they're not good at home, why because they lost one game there this year?

    Anyway there's no point arguing with you since you're likely just a homer who is just cheerleading for the Eagles. IDGAF about them or any Philly teams I just pick winners.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by FallopianTuber:

    you've been away from Philly too long. Eagles have the much better run game, and the pass rush. These are key ingredients to winning away from home. Panthers aren't great at home either.

    Statistically yes the Eagles have the better run game so I should have explained I am basing that assesment on 2 of their RBs being hurt and Blount not matching up well vs Carolina, which I did kind of say.

    They DO NOT have the better pass rush, it's not even close, Carolina has the 3rd most sacks in the league, Philly is not even in the top half of the league. Carolina had 6 in the last game alone.

    Forgot to add that the Panthers are coming home off back to back road games which is always an angle I like to play on. You say they're not good at home, why because they lost one game there this year?

    Anyway there's no point arguing with you since you're likely just a homer who is just cheerleading for the Eagles. IDGAF about them or any Philly teams I just pick winners.
     
    PhillyBrown
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:05 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Gumerk:

    What about the over angle? 

    Why do people always do this? If I had a play on the total I would post it.

    Obviously if I do a big long writeup on the side and don't mention the total that tells you what I think about the total. You want to play the Over be my guest that's what all squares do on nationally televised games.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gumerk:

    What about the over angle? 

    Why do people always do this? If I had a play on the total I would post it.

    Obviously if I do a big long writeup on the side and don't mention the total that tells you what I think about the total. You want to play the Over be my guest that's what all squares do on nationally televised games.
     
    MB67
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:16 PM ET #7

    Good Luck Bro BOL this weekend.
    Claim to Fame - beating Bill Rodgers in a race.
    Reply
    Good Luck Bro BOL this weekend.
     
    PhillyBrown
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:20 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Jrod6:

    Good luck, PB you will bounce back this game.


    Shhhh, don't mention my horrible weekend last week! Funny thing, I've had a really bad cold since last Thursday and it always seems that whenever I feel under the weather I go on a bad run just to make things worse.

    But I intend to get well this week, there are some really nice spots for some big plays in college and pro. Lot of big favorites on Sunday but I think they will cover, and will have a 3 unit play on both Saturday and Sunday.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jrod6:

    Good luck, PB you will bounce back this game.


    Shhhh, don't mention my horrible weekend last week! Funny thing, I've had a really bad cold since last Thursday and it always seems that whenever I feel under the weather I go on a bad run just to make things worse.

    But I intend to get well this week, there are some really nice spots for some big plays in college and pro. Lot of big favorites on Sunday but I think they will cover, and will have a 3 unit play on both Saturday and Sunday.
     
    tboon
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:30 PM ET #9

    Thanks for the info in your posts. Good angles on why you like Panthers.

    g/l
    Reply
    Thanks for the info in your posts. Good angles on why you like Panthers.

    g/l
     
    Jrod6
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:30 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by PhillyBrown:


    Shhhh, don't mention my horrible weekend last week! Funny thing, I've had a really bad cold since last Thursday and it always seems that whenever I feel under the weather I go on a bad run just to make things worse.

    But I intend to get well this week, there are some really nice spots for some big plays in college and pro. Lot of big favorites on Sunday but I think they will cover, and will have a 3 unit play on both Saturday and Sunday.

    Happens, bad runs turn Hot then cold in no time. 

    The secret is to know when to stop
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by PhillyBrown:


    Shhhh, don't mention my horrible weekend last week! Funny thing, I've had a really bad cold since last Thursday and it always seems that whenever I feel under the weather I go on a bad run just to make things worse.

    But I intend to get well this week, there are some really nice spots for some big plays in college and pro. Lot of big favorites on Sunday but I think they will cover, and will have a 3 unit play on both Saturday and Sunday.

    Happens, bad runs turn Hot then cold in no time. 

    The secret is to know when to stop
     
    Chauster
    Chauster
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:35 PM ET #11

    Gl today PhillyBrown. 
    Reply
    Gl today PhillyBrown. 
     
    Geppetto
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:39 PM ET #12

    Yo Adrian I did it! I took the Panthers! 
    Reply
    Yo Adrian I did it! I took the Panthers! 
     
    FallopianTuber
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:46 PM ET #13

    man you're miserable. You never mentioned Khalil and Coleman, yet you note that the Eagles are "banged up." Time to change your name.
    Reply
    man you're miserable. You never mentioned Khalil and Coleman, yet you note that the Eagles are "banged up." Time to change your name.
     
    honky
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 7:54 PM ET #14

    Darby is out? Lol

    He played one quarter all season. They've been stout without him. I like the rest of the analysis but that was a silly point my friend.

    Mills and Robinson can hold their own. Should be a good game.
    Reply
    Darby is out? Lol

    He played one quarter all season. They've been stout without him. I like the rest of the analysis but that was a silly point my friend.

    Mills and Robinson can hold their own. Should be a good game.
     
     
    jrgumpert
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2017 - 8:16 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by PhillyBrown:

    I had a feeling this would come down to 3, especially with the hook coming into play on MNF, no one wants the hook. Interesting though that it opened at 3.5.

    The Panthers are the play here, people. 2 units -3 even money. I was telling anyone who would listen that the Panthers would have a comeback year this year after the SB loss hangover year, and then I didn't play on them at all the first 5 weeks, I was going to play on them week 1 but got concerned about Cam's shoulder and the line looked low considering it was a 49er team they had already whooped last year.

    The Eagles have also looked very good recently and Wentz certainly looks to be progressing well, but if you look at the defenses he's played against, they are all in the bottom half, most in the bottom 3rd of pass defenses.

    Carolina is 5th in the leauge in passing yards allowed and 4th in yards per play, this will be the best defense they've played by far.

    Carolina's offense has looked very good, and Philadelphia's defense is 29th in passing yards allowed and 29th in yards per play. Their pass rush should get a nice boost if Fletcher Cox comes back tonight and I think he will, but the Eagles are banged up at other positions.

    Ronald Darby is out, and he was brought in to help the secondary which is very suspect and I think will get torched tonight.

    Lane Johnson is out, when he was suspended for PEDs the Eagles offense really took a step back. Not a great spot for a backup lineman to come in considering Carolina has the third most sacks in the league.

    Sproles is done for the year and Smallwood hasn't practiced this week. They have Blount who has been playing really well, but I think not having the shifty 3rd down pass catching backs is going to hurt the Eagles against Carolina because they have such fast LBs and Blount is more of a power runner I think the D matches up good against his style. Carolina in contrast will have Stewart and McCaffrey healthy and with their secondary I don't think they will be able to stack up against the run.

    So you have the better run game, better defense, playing at home with the other team banged up and on a short week having to travel. And while Philly has improved a lot, the Panthers are an established contender who nearly ran the table 2 years ago and were practically unbeatable even without any WRs. Now they have a WR core and a great young RB to go with their defense which is getting back to where it was.

    Philly lost at Kansas City and could have lost vs SD, and they gave up a ton of points in the 4th qrtr to the Giants and nearly lost to them. Carolina has wins over NE and Detroit recently, and the only reason the Detroit game was so close is they kept getting penalties, probably because the refs felt bad after taking the game away from them the week before vs the Falcons. Outside of that the Panthers have been very good at avoiding flags and this road game on a short week will be a tough challenge for this young Eagles team.




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by PhillyBrown:

    I had a feeling this would come down to 3, especially with the hook coming into play on MNF, no one wants the hook. Interesting though that it opened at 3.5.

    The Panthers are the play here, people. 2 units -3 even money. I was telling anyone who would listen that the Panthers would have a comeback year this year after the SB loss hangover year, and then I didn't play on them at all the first 5 weeks, I was going to play on them week 1 but got concerned about Cam's shoulder and the line looked low considering it was a 49er team they had already whooped last year.

    The Eagles have also looked very good recently and Wentz certainly looks to be progressing well, but if you look at the defenses he's played against, they are all in the bottom half, most in the bottom 3rd of pass defenses.

    Carolina is 5th in the leauge in passing yards allowed and 4th in yards per play, this will be the best defense they've played by far.

    Carolina's offense has looked very good, and Philadelphia's defense is 29th in passing yards allowed and 29th in yards per play. Their pass rush should get a nice boost if Fletcher Cox comes back tonight and I think he will, but the Eagles are banged up at other positions.

    Ronald Darby is out, and he was brought in to help the secondary which is very suspect and I think will get torched tonight.

    Lane Johnson is out, when he was suspended for PEDs the Eagles offense really took a step back. Not a great spot for a backup lineman to come in considering Carolina has the third most sacks in the league.

    Sproles is done for the year and Smallwood hasn't practiced this week. They have Blount who has been playing really well, but I think not having the shifty 3rd down pass catching backs is going to hurt the Eagles against Carolina because they have such fast LBs and Blount is more of a power runner I think the D matches up good against his style. Carolina in contrast will have Stewart and McCaffrey healthy and with their secondary I don't think they will be able to stack up against the run.

    So you have the better run game, better defense, playing at home with the other team banged up and on a short week having to travel. And while Philly has improved a lot, the Panthers are an established contender who nearly ran the table 2 years ago and were practically unbeatable even without any WRs. Now they have a WR core and a great young RB to go with their defense which is getting back to where it was.

    Philly lost at Kansas City and could have lost vs SD, and they gave up a ton of points in the 4th qrtr to the Giants and nearly lost to them. Carolina has wins over NE and Detroit recently, and the only reason the Detroit game was so close is they kept getting penalties, probably because the refs felt bad after taking the game away from them the week before vs the Falcons. Outside of that the Panthers have been very good at avoiding flags and this road game on a short week will be a tough challenge for this young Eagles team.




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