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TNFFFFFFFFFF (Critical thinking write up)!

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Posted: #1

So let me get this straight..Baltimore has been horse shit all year and losing players left and right and people think Miami gonna win outright..WRONG! If Baltimore is so bad of team believe me the oddsmakers would never make Baltimore favorite and please spare me the “they are at home” bullshit.... this line is begging players to take Miami with the points..line just makes absolutely no sense what so ever! my largest play of the year ..oh by the way public is all on Miami dolphins and that’s another thing for Miami backers to worry about ..but all and all ..we all love to gamble ..some win .some lose..that is the nature to what we do..best of luck to whoever side you on :)

 

Baltimore -3 

 
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Posted: #2

peace_5an_bounce

 
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Posted: #3

I agree with the pick, however, the public is not all over dolphins it's 59% right now

 
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Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by BallsofFurry96:

I agree with the pick, however, the public is not all over dolphins it's 59% right now

 

yea that’s from this website..I’m taking about Las Vegas public..check scoresandodds.com 

 
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Posted: #5

:)

 
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Posted: #6
Enjoy losing your shirt.
 
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Posted: #7
When will people understand that sometimes "public plays" win as many times as "sharp plays" win.

I like Baltimore too but it's stupid to pick because it's public or sharp, you're going to lose money.
 
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Posted: #8
Where's the critical thinking part of the writeup?
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Liturgy_of_Fade:

Where's the critical thinking part of the writeup?

The part where he "outsmarts" the public and lines makers and READS THEIR MINDS!
 
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Posted: #10
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by capperfromsouth:

When will people understand that sometimes "public plays" win as many times as "sharp plays" win.

I like Baltimore too but it's stupid to pick because it's public or sharp, you're going to lose money.

I agree with this.  Ive been here 11 bloody years and nobody has come up with a winning fornula interpreting line moves.  How does one know if some billionaire oil tycoon in some arab country bet millions on a game just for shyts and giggles.  
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by capperfromsouth:

When will people understand that sometimes "public plays" win as many times as "sharp plays" win.

I like Baltimore too but it's stupid to pick because it's public or sharp, you're going to lose money.


i agree public killed it last year
 
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Posted: #13
 BOL !
 
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Posted: #14
This game will go however the refs see fit. I’m with you, I think they’ll be on Balt. But you never know with these crooked fu@ks
 
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Posted: #15
HAHAHAHAHA....making me laugh.....

your Purple & Black are really Black and Blue

Line is reflective on Miami's 0-5 history in Balt...

Miami 23 Balt 13
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Mountandume:

 

yea that’s from this website..I’m taking about Las Vegas public..check scoresandodds.com 


Just checked this site, it has 55% on Miami (spread) and 65% Miami moneyline.  Am I looking in the wrong spot?
 
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Posted: #17
Public and Sharp are not mutually exclusive.  Miami is not a “public” play.  65% or so is the threshold for that.  And there is ZERO evidence of sharp action on either side.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Mountandume:

:)


I can never understand why some people need to "bump" their own thread so it goes from page 2 back to page 1.

Attention I guess?
 
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Posted: #19
How this is your biggest play of the year is ridiculous. This game sucks .. it’s a coin toss .. better plays on Sunday 
 
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Posted: #20
Liturgy - I was thinking the same thing.

Mount. - Let me help you out. This is why I believe Baltimore wins tonite:

           Miami   29    30    5    17   23   16

3   Baltimore    12   32    32   7    22     18

Balt. opens up as a 3 pt fav.   currently around the same.  Miami is better in Off. Passing rank at 30, Def. rushing rank at 5, and sagarin sched. strength at 16.  While Baltimore is better at Off. rushing at 12, Def. passing at 7 and sagarin rank at 22.   When you look at history and find games with similar scenarios along with an opening line of 3 pts.   The home team usually covers and gets the victory.   I'm taking Baltimore - 3.   

We are on the same side mount. good luck.




 
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Posted: #21

Bang 

 
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Posted: #22
Keep it coming 
 
 
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Posted: #23

Bang 

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