Birmingham has a terrible week 1 and I still think of them as a top squad. Arlington won 4 in a row dating back to the end of 2024. Before this winning streak Arlington was 0-6 to start 2024. I’m betting against Arlington as Elite on the road. The only thing is +3 is not an important number because of the after TD conversions.
Total gamble play on The Houston Roughnecks. They are 1-11 straight up in their history.
while Memphis is 2-10 straight up. Maybe I’m totally wrong here as both teams need a win because this is a rare opportunity for both to do so. When crap teams face each other I’ll grab the points.
Roughnecks combined score this season 12-42 and this is an opportunity to reverse some of this.
I might be a week early on the Roughnecks if they lose big here it creates a bigger opportunity moving ahead.
im not expecting too much this week and have adjusted my units accordingly.
last week all the overs missed and that brings an opportunity but until the lines start dropping I can’t trust any team to score points until I see it.
Birmingham and StLouis can score but most often it takes both teams.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Birmingham -3
Roughnecks+3
Birmingham has a terrible week 1 and I still think of them as a top squad. Arlington won 4 in a row dating back to the end of 2024. Before this winning streak Arlington was 0-6 to start 2024. I’m betting against Arlington as Elite on the road. The only thing is +3 is not an important number because of the after TD conversions.
Total gamble play on The Houston Roughnecks. They are 1-11 straight up in their history.
while Memphis is 2-10 straight up. Maybe I’m totally wrong here as both teams need a win because this is a rare opportunity for both to do so. When crap teams face each other I’ll grab the points.
Roughnecks combined score this season 12-42 and this is an opportunity to reverse some of this.
I might be a week early on the Roughnecks if they lose big here it creates a bigger opportunity moving ahead.
im not expecting too much this week and have adjusted my units accordingly.
last week all the overs missed and that brings an opportunity but until the lines start dropping I can’t trust any team to score points until I see it.
Birmingham and StLouis can score but most often it takes both teams.
currently the worst team running since the end of 2024 is:
Brahmas lost 3 in a row by a combined 18-84 point differential
On the flipside the best team is :Renegades winning 4 straight but didnt play in the playoffs last year. The Renegades this season have beaten the Brahmas (the worst team running as I said above and their other win this season was against the worst team in the league thus far (Roughnecks combined for 1 -11 record and they only won by 2 points last week)
Thus my play against the Renegades - 3 on Birmingham
Play on Roughnecks+3 because this is an opportunity for them to get their 2nd ever win but I could be wrong here as this is also an opportunity for Memphis to win a rare game as they are a combined 2-10 SU.
Add A play here on Brahmas +4.5. They were good enough last season to make the championship and being a dog here is they can regain the power they showed from last year will cash this ticket.
Stallions-3
Roughnecks+3
Brahmas +4.5
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
currently the worst team running since the end of 2024 is:
Brahmas lost 3 in a row by a combined 18-84 point differential
On the flipside the best team is :Renegades winning 4 straight but didnt play in the playoffs last year. The Renegades this season have beaten the Brahmas (the worst team running as I said above and their other win this season was against the worst team in the league thus far (Roughnecks combined for 1 -11 record and they only won by 2 points last week)
Thus my play against the Renegades - 3 on Birmingham
Play on Roughnecks+3 because this is an opportunity for them to get their 2nd ever win but I could be wrong here as this is also an opportunity for Memphis to win a rare game as they are a combined 2-10 SU.
Add A play here on Brahmas +4.5. They were good enough last season to make the championship and being a dog here is they can regain the power they showed from last year will cash this ticket.
yes I am aware of it and at this point its ride it until it fails, it will fail at some point but when. No one here betting but a few. People turn their back on easy money making opportunities.
If I was thinking an over it would be on St. Louis
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
@fitchris562
yes I am aware of it and at this point its ride it until it fails, it will fail at some point but when. No one here betting but a few. People turn their back on easy money making opportunities.
If I was thinking an over it would be on St. Louis
Any take on the Unders for the rest of the weekend? So far the Under is 8-1 in this young season. I’m sure you’re aware of that. I’m gonna play it until it corrects itself or the lines move to 32.5.
As I said
"last week all the overs missed and that brings an opportunity but until the lines start dropping I can’t trust any team to score points until I see it. "
Enough games have been played to get some overreactions to the lines. See if I can positively navigate my way though. I have had past success, even dating back to NFL Europe back from 2004-2007
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Quote Originally Posted by fitchris562:
Any take on the Unders for the rest of the weekend? So far the Under is 8-1 in this young season. I’m sure you’re aware of that. I’m gonna play it until it corrects itself or the lines move to 32.5.
As I said
"last week all the overs missed and that brings an opportunity but until the lines start dropping I can’t trust any team to score points until I see it. "
Enough games have been played to get some overreactions to the lines. See if I can positively navigate my way though. I have had past success, even dating back to NFL Europe back from 2004-2007
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