Week 14

Rams +4.5 - Home dog after win on the road prior week. Buffalo covered last 6 out of 7 including last 3 games on road. They play Detroit next week. This is a sandwich spot for Bills. Rams a live dog to keep it close. Field goal game. Buffalo on 4 straight overs. Lean to the UNDER on this game.

San Francisco - 4 - Despite lots of injuries, they will show out against an interim coach. Desperate spot for 49ers. This is really their season as they are only 2 behind Seattle/Arizona with 5 games to go. They lost last 4 ATS. Furthermore, they only have 1 cover at home in their last 4 tries. Purdy gets the offense going in the air this game. Chicago has yet to play a game OVER on the road all year. This changes this week. Game should go OVER the total. 

Arizona - 2.5 - Seattle on 3 straight wins ATS after long travel win at NY Jets and now have to fly all the way back to the West Coast for another road game in the rematch at Arizona. Arizona currently on 4 straight UNDERS. I strongly feel this game goes OVER the total. 

4pm Games Summary: Rams +4.5 and under, San Francisco -4 and OVER, Arizona -2.5 and OVER

Cleveland +6 - Cleveland off of Monday night game now at Pittsburgh again who will be playing their 4th straight division game. Pittsburgh covered last 3 at home ATS. Tomlin not good as a favorite beyond -3. Play the division road dog to keep it within the number. Slight lean to the UNDER due to Cleveland playing their last 3 games OVER the total. 

Jets +6.5 - Too many points for Miami to be laying at home to a talented yet leaderless Jets team that have lost the last 3 games SU and ATS. The key thing though is they were listed as a favorite on the closing line of all of their last 3 games. Now they are an inflated underdog. I like the UNDER here as Miami has played OVER the total in its last 4 home games. 

Tennessee - 3.5 - Titans have not covered a home game all season. They get it here on the defensive end. This is their best chance. 

Tampa Bay - 7 - The Bucs have lost their last 3 SU at home. Their team health has drastically improved and will now play against a Raider team coming off of a close division loss heartbreaker. The Raiders now have to get motivated to play a 1pm East Coast non-conference game. Bucs will blow this team out Sunday.

1pm Games Summary: Jets+6.5 and UNDER, Cleveland +6 and UNDER, Tampa -7, and Tennessee -3.5

Im a Bills homer and I could absolutely see them dropping this Rams game straight up

Nice write ups GL 

Good luck! I like the thought process. Only one I really disagree with is the Steelers. They recently played the Browns and barely lost in a game where Tomlin was not at his best. That loss will be fresh on their minds, and if Highsmith is back I think they take the Browns to the woodshed on a short week. 

Your logic on the 9er game makes little sense.  The only side that'll respond to this change on the staff is the Bears offense. I wouldn't advise a wager on this game until you get status from 9ers on Trent. SF defense is just as bigof a liability as the O at this point in the season.

Short Week for Brownies after a kick in the dick loss. Not with my money.

The rest look spot on. Gl thisweek bud