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Den -3
Denver barely beating two bad teams and Jacksonvilles perception as a good team brings tremendous value to this line. Looking closer into the Broncos two games you will notice they have dominated total yards and have pretty much shot themselves in the foot almost costing them both games. I think this leads to a focused effort by a home team who will have a huge total yard advantage in this matchup and to top it off they are only laying 3 points. The Broncos have been a terrible bet at home laying big numbers to bad teams but I really like this spot laying a small number.
Zona + 9
Whisenhunt has this team running the ball and playing defense. The Cards have held the advantage on the ground in both games in which they played solid defenses and went up against two great running backs. Meanwhile the Raven offense has struggled to get on track against two bad defenses. I think 9 points is tremendous value in a game that sets up to be even in the total yard category.
Cleveland @ Oakland over 39.5
Another low number hung on a Raider total to start the season. Last season the Raiders were an under machine but this season the offense appears to have joined the party while the defense has taken a step backwards. Both defenses have given up a ton of yards in the first two weeks while both offenses have shown a pulse. Here you have two offenses averaging 5 + yards per rush and two defenses allowing 5 + yards a rush. The lowest total of any of the 4 games played involving these two teams is 41.
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