Week 4 Prop Plays

16-17 record...started out solid, but last week was a nightmare   

George Pickens Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-130) - Might take a stab at over receptions (4.5 +140) too.  He's clearly the alpha in this receiving core and even though he doesn't have dominant numbers per se, he's constantly beating his man but so far in his short career he doesn't have the QB to deliver him the ball consistently.  

James Conner Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-113) - Think this is a comedown game for Washington, who cannot stop the run or anything else for that matter.  Not surprising Arizona abandoned the run last week considering they were down in the game and Detroit is so stout against it, but i think Conner gets at least 80+ here.  

Aaron Rodgers Under 30.5 Pass Attempts (+100) - I'm not expecting a blowout here, but Denver's defense can be exploited more through the run game than the pass. Think we see lots of Breece Hall and Braelon Allen plus Rodger's offenses operate at a snail's pace  

Diontae Johnson Over 5.5 Receptions (+105) - He saw 14 targets last week and Cincy pass defense is swiss cheese  

will have more...

Rome Odunze Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115) - Rams give up deep plays almost more than any other team and Odunze seems to be the preferred down-field target for Caleb Williams.  Bears coaching staff is under the gun and need a big game.  I like Roschon Johnson here, but might choose to fade Swift instead.  

Nico Collins Over 80.5 Receiving Yards (-115) - Over in all 3 games so far and there is nothing in this JAX defense to give pause now.  

Alvin Kamara Under 68.5 Rushing Yards (-120) - Kamara has seen A LOT of work through 3 games and comes into this game with injuries to his hips and ribs.  Kubiak used him as a bell-cow last week, but i think Kamara sees his role reduced a bit and they use Jamaal Williams more often.  ATL has held up pretty well vs. RB's

my unders are cooked, need to lay off Saints props they're killing me.  Can't believe Jets couldn't run the ball vs. Denver  

Odunze is a ghost, Bears offense is pathetic regardless of outcome.   

Johnson, Pickens and Collins came through  

3-3  Need Conner to show up

Conner   (20-20) unacceptable  

Sunday night should be fun game

De'Von Achane Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-115) - Huntley has never been a down-field passer, usually opting for quick-short passes.  So far Achane has excelled playing in the slot catching those exact type of throws.  Mostert is still questionable, but i don't think him playing will have much of an impact on Achane's snaps considering McDaniels ran plenty of plays with both on the field in Week 1. Achane is Over this number in all 3 games so far 

Geno Smith Over 246.5 Passing Yards (-115) - It's tough to run on Detroit and their secondary is still a work in progress.  Geno put up 328 in Detroit Week 2 last year.

SGP 

Kenneth Walker Under 68.5 Rush + Rec Yards AND Jaxon Smith Njigba 50+ Receiving Yards (+210) - Just how i see the game playing out. Geno loves to throw against man-coverage and i think he throws the ball a lot here regardless of the score.  Walker is a good RB, but comes into this game off a limited practice with a bad oblique, and Detroit shuts down opponents Running Backs (2.7 YPR by RB's through 3 games).  Detroit has struggled to defend the pass, especially from the slot and this is an opportunity for JSN to have a great night  

Have a good night 

JSN averaging 5.6 YPC.....  

If you told me before this game that JSN would have 5 catches early in the 3rd quarter i'd think he'd be at least at 45 yards, likely 60 yards but he's getting zero YAC

@BigMick87

 I feel your pain. I felt so smart with my Jaylen Waddle over .5 rush yds +145! I knew they were gonna run that jet sweep. And then second play of the game, BOOM! Oh shit its Tyreek. Then again and again. 3 of them all to Tyreek and not one for Waddle...

Geno   

Of course Walker pops a 28 yard run and this motherfucker JSN is running backwards after making catches now

Parlay done 

@Yanasaur

 I can't get any of these +$ small parlay's to hit, it sucks   

I need a desperation Achane catch and run to salvage a profit

And now a safety so Achane is shot.....Fuck McDaniel, this guy is a complete clown  

What the hell is that play-call????  Shanahan got this guy a HC job

Achane   

Mike McDaniel got to go...this clown has had 2 weeks to get Huntley ready and simplify the playbook and he completely failed.  Players don't respect this guy one bit   

21-22  ugghhh this is taking a toll on my sanity

@BigMick87

I do well w them but I dont know why I bet Waddle instead of Tyreek. That was just dumb. Dont know what I was thinking except Waddle had 2 end arounds this year and Tyreek only had 1 so i just figured Waddle