When's the last time an NFL line of 13+ was covered by the favorite?

Question

Every time someone is favored by 13 or more, the underdog has looked like utter garbage in a no-win situation. Power ratings usually have the favorite winning by 20+. And yet the dog always covers.

Obviously, it hasn't always been that way. If it was that easy, everyone would just bet the dog and win all those games.

Well, what I am trying to say is that it HAS been that easy this season and last. The dog has covered many of these in a row. So far this year Oakland +13/14 over New England, and the week before KC +13 or so over Denver. Both easy covers. Atlanta +14 over SF last December. Jacksonville +13 over Tennessee last November (J'ville won outright). Tampa +14.5 over Seattle last Nov. Jacksonville +20-something over Denver last October.

Jaguars +13

The8ofCups · Answer

Every time someone is favored by 13 or more, the underdog has looked like utter garbage in a no-win situation. Power ratings usually have the favorite winning by 20+. And yet the dog always covers.

Obviously, it hasn't always been that way. If it was that easy, everyone would just bet the dog and win all those games.

Well, what I am trying to say is that it HAS been that easy this season and last. The dog has covered many of these in a row. So far this year Oakland +13/14 over New England, and the week before KC +13 or so over Denver. Both easy covers. Atlanta +14 over SF last December. Jacksonville +13 over Tennessee last November (J'ville won outright). Tampa +14.5 over Seattle last Nov. Jacksonville +20-something over Denver last October.

Jaguars +13

vegasrebel417 · Answer

I think double digit underdogs are a historic profitable angle but not overwhelmingly. The trend right now is running hot, but will regress to a natural mean at some point.

Mcmanus · Answer

I remember last September Seattle was a huge favorite against the Jags and covered.. They were favored by 19.5 and won 45-17 in Seattle...I&#x27;m not touching the Jags Chargers myself but Phillip Rivers looks like the MVP after 3 weeks this season..anyways GL

peter10 · Answer

Sunday 10/27/13San FranciscoL 10-42Week 8L 16O 40Sunday 10/20/13San DiegoL 6-24Week 7L 7.5U 44.5Sunday 10/13/13@ DenverL 19-35Week 6W 26.5O 53Sunday 10/06/13@ St. LouisL 20-34Week 5L 11O 40.5Sunday 09/29/13IndianapolisL 3-37Week 4L 9.5U 42.5Sunday 09/22/13@ SeattleL 17-45Week 3L 19.5O 39

peter10 · Answer

above are Jacksonville  lines and results from last year so they covered the 26.5 and lost all the other DD Lines i wouldn&#x27;t touch them

HoldingXYZ · Answer

by my count 2013-2014 FAV covered 60% while home covered 80%2012-2013 Dog Covered 75% and away 75%2011-2012 Fav 63% and HOME 73%2010-2011 Fav 57% and away 60%2009-2010 Fav 63% and away 56%

peter10 · Answer

why post stats going back 5 years for the whole league when i already posted Jacksonville ATS from last year why not be more specific when possible You also can&#x27;t lump Jacksonville with the rest of the league they are unique for the most part they are a non competitive team .

The8ofCups · Answer

Well, to be fair, I didn&#x27;t say "double digit dogs".  This thread is about dogs of 13 or more.  You&#x27;ll get a different story looking at those lines last season, and for more than just Jacksonville.I agree that Jacksonville looks like crap, and I don&#x27;t relish the idea of betting them.  Just pointing out that has been the case in a lot of these types of games the last two years, and the dog has covered most.I might do more research on it later and report back.

peter10 · Answer

I&#x27;m not betting San diego if there ever was a favorable spot for Jacksonville this is it with the Chargers coming off two big wins this is the perfect let down game still i can&#x27;t put money on a team that go&#x27;s three and out every time and  is non competitive GL

tothemoney · Answer

I think it safe to bet against them this week. Jags are on the road and they have given up 34 in week one 41 in week two and 44 points in week 3, these dudes are in off season mode already. The only life they have is Bortles will be at QB he could provide a spark but I also see a couple ints so that extra possessions for SD. 38-20 Chargers

Sunday 10/27/13	San Francisco	L 10-42	Week 8	L 16	O 40
Sunday 10/20/13	San Diego	L 6-24	Week 7	L 7.5	U 44.5
Sunday 10/13/13	@ Denver	L 19-35	Week 6	W 26.5	O 53
Sunday 10/06/13	@ St. Louis	L 20-34	Week 5	L 11	O 40.5
Sunday 09/29/13	Indianapolis	L 3-37	Week 4	L 9.5	U 42.5
Sunday 09/22/13	@ Seattle	L 17-45	Week 3	L 19.5	O 39

When's the last time an NFL line of 13+ was covered by the favorite?

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