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Which team is going to ruin my ML parlay?

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Participants:

Posts: 18

MDizzle23

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 772

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:50 AM ET #1

I always do one of these for fun every Sunday, and it always loses by 1 team...which team will fuck me up this Sunday?

Packers ML

Steelers ML

Ravens ML

Lions ML

Saints ML

$100 to win $220

2112

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 3529

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:56 AM ET #2

Looks solid...GL

johnk812

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 154

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:57 AM ET #3

Lions... 9ers are legit

vibo

Rookie

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 524

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:58 AM ET #4

lions

PokinSmot

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 6349

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:58 AM ET #5

to win 220? why risk 100 for a long shot for small payout?

MDizzle23

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 772

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:59 AM ET #6

Quote Originally Posted by johnk812:

Lions... 9ers are legit

Yeah this was the hardest one to pick..

Lions 5-0, covered 10 in a row, all their stars are healthy, playing at home, Defense is UNTOUCHABLE, coming off of big MNF win, all the momentum in the world

Niners are solid, very very touch to pick against them but all Lions have to do is win, also their star WR Morgan is out this game along with Braylon Edwards...

Sc_Slugs

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2008

Posts: 452

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 1:59 AM ET #7

agreed on the lions.

MDizzle23

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 772

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 2:02 AM ET #8

If Niners can go into Detroit and beat them, I'll shake their hand and move on...But I'll go with the team that is undefeated, playing at home in front of a sold out crowd, and has covered 10 games in a row...

MDizzle23

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 772

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 2:03 AM ET #9

I agree with everyone saying thought, you guys are right, this will be the hardest game to win out of the 5

MDizzle23

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 772

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 2:03 AM ET #10

Quote Originally Posted by PokinSmot:

to win 220? why risk 100 for a long shot for small payout?

Again, it's for fun, and $100 is less than 1% of my total bankroll so if it loses, I'm not crying a river

2112

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 3529

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 2:08 AM ET #11

Why would anyone give a fuck about how much other people bet? Bet what you want and keep it for you...don't be one of those credible posters that come here every week saying 2k here, 5k there, 10k more over there...give me a fucking break. GL

PS: Love the Lions in that game

PokinSmot

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 6349

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 2:15 AM ET #12

Quote Originally Posted by MDizzle23:

Again, it's for fun, and $100 is less than 1% of my total bankroll so if it loses, I'm not crying a river

i know its for fun....bol on it

but trying to pick 5 winners to win 1

or

picking 1 winner to win 1

is my

slamspurs

Captain

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 5717

Posted: Oct. 16, 2011 - 10:05 AM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by 2112:

Why would anyone give a fuck about how much other people bet? Bet what you want and keep it for you...don't be one of those credible posters that come here every week saying 2k here, 5k there, 10k more over there...give me a fucking break. GL

He wasn't talking shit about how much he bet. He was talking shit about how much he hadda risk to win such a small amount.

Packers and Steelers are such heavy favorites that it doesn't add much to the parlay value. The Ravens prob adds something at a -7 fav.

So basically he's risking buying points on 2 games that could go either way, plus the ravens. So he's hoping all 3 teams win, for a 2.2 to 1 payout, with the slim possibility that 1 of the heavy favorites doesn't fuck him.

Most people would rather pick 2 ATS that pays 2.6 to 1, but it's his money. A winner is a winner, even if sometimes it has no value.