I love that the line is going down, I think the public are seriously overrating Denver's chances. They're on the right track but they only look good vs bad teams. They play good teams they lose. Nix has a bit of similarities to Josh Allen, but Josh is the seasoned vet now who has gone through these games and this year has cleaned up the red zone turnovers, I think we will see the rookie be the one more likely to make those big mistakes now in a road game.
Buffalo has the #1 turnover margin in the NFL, the #1 2nd half scoring offense and the #2 red zone offense which is 100% on TDs over the last 3 games. Denver counters with the top 2nd half scoring defense but in the last 3 games they let up 13 per game nearly twice their average. And their biggest strength on defense the pass rush which is top in the league, is somewhat cancelled out by Buffalo's offense having allowed the least sacks in the NFL and Allen's running ability. It's a bad matchup for them in a lot of ways and I think Nix will throw a few picks. Denver is just not as much the finished article as Buffalo is, they're on the way but this will be a growing pains type of game, like Josh Allen has experienced and got past.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Buffalo -7.5 4 units
I love that the line is going down, I think the public are seriously overrating Denver's chances. They're on the right track but they only look good vs bad teams. They play good teams they lose. Nix has a bit of similarities to Josh Allen, but Josh is the seasoned vet now who has gone through these games and this year has cleaned up the red zone turnovers, I think we will see the rookie be the one more likely to make those big mistakes now in a road game.
Buffalo has the #1 turnover margin in the NFL, the #1 2nd half scoring offense and the #2 red zone offense which is 100% on TDs over the last 3 games. Denver counters with the top 2nd half scoring defense but in the last 3 games they let up 13 per game nearly twice their average. And their biggest strength on defense the pass rush which is top in the league, is somewhat cancelled out by Buffalo's offense having allowed the least sacks in the NFL and Allen's running ability. It's a bad matchup for them in a lot of ways and I think Nix will throw a few picks. Denver is just not as much the finished article as Buffalo is, they're on the way but this will be a growing pains type of game, like Josh Allen has experienced and got past.
For the late game TB vs Was I am taking the Over 51 for 2 units.
57 points last time they played and I don't think this game will be like Denver Buffalo where the one team with the rookie can't score. Daniels is the real deal. I still wouldn't back any rookie to win a road playoff game first time but the way they have snatched so many games at the end it wouldn't shock me if they won.
These two teams are 3rd and 4th in 1st downs gained on offense and 19th and 20th in first downs allowd on defense. So it's tight, but seems a good recipe for the Over. Skins first 4 road games went over, last 4 under. TB was 6-3 to the over at home. The Bucs have had a stellar 2nd half defense over the last month basically shutting every team out 2nd half but those teams all sucked majorly, NO, Carolina, LV and Dallas. They won't shut down the Skins like that. (I will never call them anything else not cuz I'm racist it's too much of a pain to type the new name)
We're due a high scoring game anyway. Chargers game went over but the total was only 42 and it only crossed that number bc of a PAT being blocked and returned. If they hadn't returned it, that would have stayed under it was a 3 point swing.
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Easy peazy baby! Let's go Birds!
For the late game TB vs Was I am taking the Over 51 for 2 units.
57 points last time they played and I don't think this game will be like Denver Buffalo where the one team with the rookie can't score. Daniels is the real deal. I still wouldn't back any rookie to win a road playoff game first time but the way they have snatched so many games at the end it wouldn't shock me if they won.
These two teams are 3rd and 4th in 1st downs gained on offense and 19th and 20th in first downs allowd on defense. So it's tight, but seems a good recipe for the Over. Skins first 4 road games went over, last 4 under. TB was 6-3 to the over at home. The Bucs have had a stellar 2nd half defense over the last month basically shutting every team out 2nd half but those teams all sucked majorly, NO, Carolina, LV and Dallas. They won't shut down the Skins like that. (I will never call them anything else not cuz I'm racist it's too much of a pain to type the new name)
We're due a high scoring game anyway. Chargers game went over but the total was only 42 and it only crossed that number bc of a PAT being blocked and returned. If they hadn't returned it, that would have stayed under it was a 3 point swing.
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