Posted:
#1
Most seem to like Bal in this spot. Some books have the line at -3 with even juice, implying it could go to -2.5.
(1) SD OL injuries are the biggest issue here for me. But Ngata is Questionable, which may even it up a bit, but still big SD disadvantage.
(2) I actually prefer Sproles over LT. Seems like I haven't seen LT have a good game in a year and a half. Sproles is a better home run hitter, and the way you beat a good defense is with 2 or 3 big plays.
(3) I know its not West to East coast, but travel across the country to an unfamiliar place is worth an extra half point for me. In the last 5 years Bal has come all the way to the west coast only two times (regular season), both in 2007. A 14-32 loss to SD, and a 6-27 loss to Sea. I know totally different teams now, but both were ATS losses.
(4) Turnovers could be big, and based on my secret magic crystal ball, I think SD will get them.
Interesting question, if this game was at Bal, what would the line be? Bal -3? Even?
I'll be taking SD in this one, but I don't really know why.
0
Hot Forum Topics
