I went 4-5 last week, we had Philly then we didn't-licked my wounds and have moved on. Let's look at some numbers:
39 NE 5 29 2 27 27 11
-6 NYJ 26 22 24 16 8 3
NYJ opened at -6 (madduxsports.com) currently 6 or 6.5. O/n opened at 39 and now around 38. NE is better in Rushing off at 5 vs 26; Jets are better at Passing off 22 vs 29; Ne is better at Rushing Def at 2 vs 24; Jets are better at Passing def 16 vs 27; Jets are better at Sagarin rank 8 vs 27 and Sched strength at 3 vs 11.
Bottom line Jets are better in 4 categories and NE 2 (Off rushing and Def rushing) . Since I started collecting data we have had 4 games with this scenario and opening line - all 4 went over the total - none had an opening line in the 30's. The last scenario where this situation occurred was when Denver visited Miami and lost 20-70. Regarding the side - the away team covered 2 and won out right 47-7. My plays:
1. NE +6
2. NE/Nyj over 38.5
Good luck all