Will post an updated record before Sunday Night Football but here is my largest play of the week...
New England Patriots -2 (50 Units)
The New England Patriots are coming off a dismantling of the lowly Houston Texans last week where they outyarded DeShaun Watson and his guys by 60+ yards in the game. Was anyone out there impressed at all by the Jacksonville D in New York or what? They allowed 324 total yards of offense and 5.4 yards per play in the game despite winning 20-15. In their win over the Texans QB Tom Brady had a QB Rating of 101.1 and was pretty effective moving the ball despite the Pats turning it over some 3 times. Brady completed 66.7% of his passes for 6.8 yards per pass attempt and they converted only 28.6% of the time on 3rd down but the Jaguars D wasn't lights out on 3rd downs in New York. The Patriots also scored touchdowns on 75% of their trips to the Red Zone in Week 1 and as a team took only 6 penalties.
Speaking of penalties, Jackonsville took 11 penalties in New York in Week 1 of the season and it cost them a whopping 119 total penalty yards. That's a disaster. The Patriots have a very underrated defense. It seems to absence of RB Leonard Fournette did not impact this line whatsoever but I would say it should have because the one thing the Patriots struggle with is run defense (allowed 4.9 yards per carry last week). The Patriots managed to sack DeShaun Watson 3 times last week, they picked him off once and they recovered a fumble. The same Pats defense also allowed only 50.0% of their passes against to be completed and allowed only 4.6 yards per pass attempt. Jackonsville is averaging only 5.1 yards per pass attempt. Even more underrated about the Patriots defense is the fact that they let Houston convert only 18.2% of the time on 3rd down last week. Even with Matt Patricia gone this defense is the real deal.
The Patriots have covered the spread 4 years in a row when playing in Week 2 while Jacksonville for some reason are an abysmal 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 2 of the NFL Regular season. NEW ENGLAND IS 14-3 ATS IN THEIR LAST 17 ROAD GAMES IN THE NFL and they get to go up against Jacksonville team that they not only beat in the playoffs last season but that again struggles in Week 2 of the season. Backing the Patriots is never a bad idea and I am going huge on this one. LETS GO!!!!!!!
New England 30, Jacksonville 13
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