You knew this question was coming! The NFL Eliminator. Who's the WORST team that has the BEST chance at winning during Week 1?

Lions? Jaguars? Texans? Jets? Bengals? Broncos? Eagles? Panthers? 

Thoughts? Thanks! Good luck! 

i already bet houston +3

@usarmy69-71

 Mind if I ask why?

i think houston is home line droped to 2- i dont like qb larwence id take tyrod. rb,s are better and one of the few times 2 bottom feeders play each other. all negative news about houston. i bet houston +3 already

panthers are -4.5 favs so you can scratch them out

I like the Eagles based on that list   

@BIGDTITLE

Well I've always heard this thing.. and actually have a list to prove it when it comes to Football and Basketball.. that anything between +4.5 and +5.5 is an Underdog outright WIN line. It doesn't always happen obviously. But when it ends at +5.. that's usually a sign. Keep on eye on that during the season. You'll see a lot of +5 Underdogs win outright.  

I actually forgot the Falcons don't have Julio haha. But yeah.. who knows with the Jets and the Panthers.  

What are you asking?  Who to take in a survivor pool?  Is that the same thing as "NFL Eliminator"?

Panthers are a good pick.  If you really want to gamble, then Houston or Jags.

There are any number of much safer picks if you just want to survive week 1.

The question is, since the nfl us fully vested in gambling now.

Which game/s will they fuck you over with

The truth is, there aren't.

They'll fuck you over with a so called clear favorite

Broncos , eagles , jets in that order 

@ckattar8

 Lions  gonna be Vegas favorite team this year 

Vikings 

I have won 2 survivor contests in Vegas and Reno. I do the exact opposite of your theory, BUT I have seen your theory work and win as well, so I am not saying you are wrong. We just do things differently. I will take the big favorites and best teams early, after about 8 or 9 weeks the really bad teams have sorted themselves out and easier to get against. Also QB injuries help knock off a couple teams too.  

@User602763

 As a Lions fan, I can tell you no chance we upset San Fran in week 1.  Our defense will play better than expected, but we will have no answer for Kittle.  Our offense is built on a short pass game, sturdy run game, burning out the clock.  Once San Fran goes up 20-6, our offense will start taking chances & the 49ers will prevail!  Book it!

Out of your list, gimme the Eagles

@realscififan

I've done it both ways and have lost both times haha. Sometimes I just want something to look forward to. So I pick a clear favorite or I look at the weak divisions down the road.

Do you remember in 2017 when the Falcons were up 17-0 on Jay Cutler and the Dolphins in Atlanta and they came back and won 20-17. Well.. I had the Falcons. That should have never happened. I think it was week 5. Unbelievable. 

@thorpe

 Yes. Same thing! 

Well. How did you guys do? I have 5 entries. Only the Broncos and Rams won. 

Who are some good picks for Week 2? The Bucs are the obvious, but I don't want to pick them too early. 

And I'm staying the hell away from Green Bay. Any advice thanks? 

Geez, User...from your posted list you were offered (in no particular order) Texans, Eagles, Panthers, Broncos...SF thrown in...

and you went 2 for 5, including taking the Rams?  Wow.  

And you want some Week 2 picks, bud?  Looks like you didn't want the help to begin with (and you didn't take any of the dogs you asked about).

Not trying to be snarky...just really wondering why you're asking...I guess just for convo purposes...that's cool.

BOL bud the rest of the way  

@DB51daBEARS

Up until yesterday around 1230pm  actually.. I had NO IDEA that I could do 5 entries on ESPN. I thought I had just one. 

So because of that.. I didn't want to take the chance on the Texans, Panthers, etc. I was probably going to go with what @realscififan said. And just picked Tampa or SF. Go with the "for sure" pick. 

But there were a lot of surprises and honestly Tampa (as you know) almost lost and would have had me out in the 1st week. The biggest shocker to me that NO ONE is talking about were the Falcons. 6 points? Jeez. 

@ckattar8

 Man you called that one!

@User602763

Hey bud,

Okay...I get it...you didn't realize you had 5 picks up until yesterday, but that's on you.  And you've won 2 survivor contests, you say.  And you started asking for picks from the guys on August 30th but you say you hit 2 outta 5 selections in this new contest but the guys gave you 4 or 5 winners??  Something's not clicking here.

I'm wondering if you just sound confused based on you're always asking questions about the opening line of some games as if it's a mystery to you.  You gotta know how opening lines are set, i hope.  Shouldn't be a mystery every week just because you don't like the opening lines.

Since you were shocked by the Falcons and their 6 points, did you think to check some game recaps by the local and/or national writers?

The Falcons have a new Head Coach and he hired a new OC, a new DC, and a new Special Teams Coordinator.  I just don't think I can do any more research on your behalf, bud.  You gotta do some of the heavy lifting yourself if you wanna discover "the numbers behind the numbers".  Not gonna talk players, either...sorry...you need to see what's happening on the chessboard between Team A and Team B during the run up to the game.

I wish you all the best for a successful 2021  

@DB51daBEARS

Hey man. You got to read. I NEVER said I won 2 Survivor Contests. You have me confused with @realscififan. 

I knew all that about the Falcons. Just didn’t see them putting up 6 at home. Just like the Packers scoring 3 points. Did you read the recap for that?