2-2 last night. Tailed a 2LP I found on Weebles thread and came out ok. REG lines were tough last night. Stressful watching the jets hold the one goal lead, stressful watching Tampa give up a one goal lead and the OTT game wouldnt have matter cause they cant figure out to do with the puck when they have it.
Onwards and upwards.
Tonight:
WAS REG -105 Got this last night immediately after the Canes game ended on BET365 with the EP for 3+ goal lead.
a few leans that I am looking at:
DET/TOR - I like the O5.5 -135 on BET365. You dont know when the leafs will show up to play a game and are capable of losing at anytime. I know this is the case for most teams but the leafs seem to pick the worst spots to do it in. Against the wings would be one of those spots or it could be one where they score 4-5 goals and stomp ass. The O/U is set at 6 with +100 odds. I can easily see this being a 4-2 game one way or the other so 5.5 pays instead of 6 pushing. BUT thats assuming the red wings can contribute to the cause. DET avg 2.8 GPG L5. TOR avg 3.4 GPG L5. Games have been rather low scoring the last week. Maybe scoring picks back up here and they get to 7-8 goals no problem. I would not play a side on this game. O5.5 would be the play for me in this one.
MIN REG -130. MIN should win this one on the road unless the ducks decide to show up which is unlikely imho. Wild are 4-1 L5 with ANA/CHI then MON at home before getting a real challenge at home from the Stars (that will be a great game to watch next Saturday). Ducks are 1-3-1 L5 allowing 3.4 GPG and scoring 1.8 GPG during that span. Almost enough scoring to take MIN on the -1.5PL +130. This is another game that could go 4-1 or 5-2 MIN. MIN second leg of B2B so maybe tired legs yield some penalties that allow ducks to score a couple goals? The O5.5 -140 almost seems playable since we are already looking at a little juice on the REG win. At least from a smart bet perspective the O5.5 buys some insurance incase the ducks do show up and score some goals. Ducks have had 6 or more goals in 3 of the last 5 games. Ducks on a 6 game home stand and have lost the first two games. After just dropping a game at home to the Kings I see the Wild playing solid back to back nights and getting another REG win.
VGK ML -140 SEA bad, VGK good. Its really that simple for me if I am being honest. I started to compile data the other night for teams first game back after 4+ game road trip I found that teams on 4+ game trips this season, of which there have been 9, are 5-3-1 on the season. teams on 2 days rest after these extended trips are 3-2. teams on 1 day rest after that long trip are 2-2. I counted the OTL as a loss for betting purposes. SEA falls in the two day rest category. However, over the L5 VGK scoring avg 4.6 GPG while giving up 2.8 GPG, SEA L5 avg 2.4 GPG L5 (VERY inflated by an 8 goal performance against MON, SEA was SO TWICE on their recent road trip) while giving up 3.4 GPG. You cant win hockey games when you are giving up a goal more than you are scoring on average. But when you are outscoring your opponents by almost a 2:1 margin, the wins keep coming. This is the case with VGK. L5 4-1 while SEA L5 1-4.
I am going to keep looking at these later games and see how I want to play them. I see a MIN/VGK ML parlay in my future. With some small REG plays and maybe a total play for the MIN/ANA game.
Until then lets hope its all systems go for the Caps and Uncle Ovi makes Sid cry like the kid. CHEERS TO FRIDAY EVERYONE! Happy weekend and BOL on your plays this evening! Cant wait to cruise the threads and see what all you fine folks came up with for tonight.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2-2 last night. Tailed a 2LP I found on Weebles thread and came out ok. REG lines were tough last night. Stressful watching the jets hold the one goal lead, stressful watching Tampa give up a one goal lead and the OTT game wouldnt have matter cause they cant figure out to do with the puck when they have it.
Onwards and upwards.
Tonight:
WAS REG -105 Got this last night immediately after the Canes game ended on BET365 with the EP for 3+ goal lead.
a few leans that I am looking at:
DET/TOR - I like the O5.5 -135 on BET365. You dont know when the leafs will show up to play a game and are capable of losing at anytime. I know this is the case for most teams but the leafs seem to pick the worst spots to do it in. Against the wings would be one of those spots or it could be one where they score 4-5 goals and stomp ass. The O/U is set at 6 with +100 odds. I can easily see this being a 4-2 game one way or the other so 5.5 pays instead of 6 pushing. BUT thats assuming the red wings can contribute to the cause. DET avg 2.8 GPG L5. TOR avg 3.4 GPG L5. Games have been rather low scoring the last week. Maybe scoring picks back up here and they get to 7-8 goals no problem. I would not play a side on this game. O5.5 would be the play for me in this one.
MIN REG -130. MIN should win this one on the road unless the ducks decide to show up which is unlikely imho. Wild are 4-1 L5 with ANA/CHI then MON at home before getting a real challenge at home from the Stars (that will be a great game to watch next Saturday). Ducks are 1-3-1 L5 allowing 3.4 GPG and scoring 1.8 GPG during that span. Almost enough scoring to take MIN on the -1.5PL +130. This is another game that could go 4-1 or 5-2 MIN. MIN second leg of B2B so maybe tired legs yield some penalties that allow ducks to score a couple goals? The O5.5 -140 almost seems playable since we are already looking at a little juice on the REG win. At least from a smart bet perspective the O5.5 buys some insurance incase the ducks do show up and score some goals. Ducks have had 6 or more goals in 3 of the last 5 games. Ducks on a 6 game home stand and have lost the first two games. After just dropping a game at home to the Kings I see the Wild playing solid back to back nights and getting another REG win.
VGK ML -140 SEA bad, VGK good. Its really that simple for me if I am being honest. I started to compile data the other night for teams first game back after 4+ game road trip I found that teams on 4+ game trips this season, of which there have been 9, are 5-3-1 on the season. teams on 2 days rest after these extended trips are 3-2. teams on 1 day rest after that long trip are 2-2. I counted the OTL as a loss for betting purposes. SEA falls in the two day rest category. However, over the L5 VGK scoring avg 4.6 GPG while giving up 2.8 GPG, SEA L5 avg 2.4 GPG L5 (VERY inflated by an 8 goal performance against MON, SEA was SO TWICE on their recent road trip) while giving up 3.4 GPG. You cant win hockey games when you are giving up a goal more than you are scoring on average. But when you are outscoring your opponents by almost a 2:1 margin, the wins keep coming. This is the case with VGK. L5 4-1 while SEA L5 1-4.
I am going to keep looking at these later games and see how I want to play them. I see a MIN/VGK ML parlay in my future. With some small REG plays and maybe a total play for the MIN/ANA game.
Until then lets hope its all systems go for the Caps and Uncle Ovi makes Sid cry like the kid. CHEERS TO FRIDAY EVERYONE! Happy weekend and BOL on your plays this evening! Cant wait to cruise the threads and see what all you fine folks came up with for tonight.
This is nice info GL Bro. Washington should handle an Old penguins team being 7-1 on home ice tonight. Every time they play during regular season not sure who shows up for Pitt to play come playoffs Crapitals Own the Penguins, I like this play tonight!
Bitters
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This is nice info GL Bro. Washington should handle an Old penguins team being 7-1 on home ice tonight. Every time they play during regular season not sure who shows up for Pitt to play come playoffs Crapitals Own the Penguins, I like this play tonight!
Thats all for tonight. I hopefully I do not regret these REG plays after saying I would stay away from them. I paid the juice for the OT potential in VGK game based on data from team coming home after long road trips, which by the way CHI losing to DET the other night on two days rest after a 5 game road trip makes the record on two days rest 3-3. Also just enjoying the DET/TOR game this evening. Watching and observing these two teams. HOF game tonight DET might come in strong after extra time in the visitor dressing room.
BOL everyone. will be around throughout the evening chatting it up while i am working. CHEERS TO THE WEEKEND!
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WAS REG -105
MIN REG -130
VGK ML -140
Thats all for tonight. I hopefully I do not regret these REG plays after saying I would stay away from them. I paid the juice for the OT potential in VGK game based on data from team coming home after long road trips, which by the way CHI losing to DET the other night on two days rest after a 5 game road trip makes the record on two days rest 3-3. Also just enjoying the DET/TOR game this evening. Watching and observing these two teams. HOF game tonight DET might come in strong after extra time in the visitor dressing room.
BOL everyone. will be around throughout the evening chatting it up while i am working. CHEERS TO THE WEEKEND!
Damnit man. Knocked out during vegas game when they were up 2-0 MIN was up 3-0. come to find knights let me down. The data moves to 4-3 for teams 1st game back after a 4+game road trip on two days rest.
1-2 on the night as WAS craps in the bed for only the second time at home, VGK shit the road bed again. Or maybe two shit teams stood on their heads to get wins tonight and next game they go back to shit
I got hosed bad last weekend so will be picking any plays VERY carefully tomorrow with afternoon games, several B2B second legs (WAS, DET, TOR), HOF weekend in TOR. No one likes to work the weekend. Not even in the NHL. No telling who shows up to work when.
BOL the rest of the weekend!
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Damnit man. Knocked out during vegas game when they were up 2-0 MIN was up 3-0. come to find knights let me down. The data moves to 4-3 for teams 1st game back after a 4+game road trip on two days rest.
1-2 on the night as WAS craps in the bed for only the second time at home, VGK shit the road bed again. Or maybe two shit teams stood on their heads to get wins tonight and next game they go back to shit
I got hosed bad last weekend so will be picking any plays VERY carefully tomorrow with afternoon games, several B2B second legs (WAS, DET, TOR), HOF weekend in TOR. No one likes to work the weekend. Not even in the NHL. No telling who shows up to work when.
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