4 games jump out to me today for O5.5
NJD/CBJ O5.5 -190 - Lots of indicators on this game. When NJD are on the away team and CBJ is the home team there is a 63.75% probability of the game going O5.5 total goals and a 52.26% probability the game will go O6.5 total goals. NJD are averaging about 3 GPG on the road and CBJ are averaging about 3 GPG at home. 3 of the L5 meetings between these two teams have gone O5.5 and 3 of the L5 meetings have gone O1.5 in the first period. CBJ have gone O5.5 in 3 of their L5 games, while NJD are 0 in 5 O5.5 in their L5. Allen in net for NJD sporting a 2.74 GAA and a 0.904 SV%. Merzlikins netminding tonight with a 3.11 GAA and 0.887 SV%.
VAN/VGK O5.5 -120 - VAN struggled last night in the Salt Lake. But they still go two in and played with the lead before blowing it with 14.2 seconds left in OT. VGK is more potent and more consistent in their offense abilities. VGK games have had 5 or more total goals in 5 of their L5 games. VAN on the second leg of B2B and are either going to play pissed off and tired or pissed off and hungry. IMO either one makes them vulnerable to be scored against. Again, a full line of indicators on this game. 63.28% O5.5/50.26% O6.5/H&AMUAVGTGPG 6.0/3 of L5 meetings O5.5/5 of L5 meetings 1P O1.5/VAN 2 of L5 O5.5/VGK 1 of L5 O5.5.
COL/SJS O5.5 -180 - COL is NOT TO BE TRUSTED...Is what I always have to tell myself before looking at their games. But the fact is they have the offensive talent to score an average of 3 goals per game on the road and 3 goals per game at home. COL also has the lack of net minding to allow 3 goals quite frequently. In 32 total games played this year they have been involved in games that go O5.5 21 times (65.63%). In 16 away games COL has gone O5.5 9 times, about 56% of the time. SJS has played 15 home games and gone O5.5 10 of those 15 games, 66% of the time. The Home & Away Probability of this game going O5.5 is 61.11%. The Home & Away Matchup Average Total Goals Per Game for these two teams is 6.0. 2 of the L5 meetings have gone O5.5/3 of the L5 1P O1.5/COL 2 of L5 O5.5/SJS 3 of L5 O5.5...HOWEVER, tonight's game is slightly different in the event that we have the "wife swap" angle. Just a few short weeks ago these two teams swapped goalies. Those goalies are starting against each other tonight. In an ideal world for these goalies, they will both have great games, and the game goes to a SO at a 0-0 tie. Unfortunately, I think when you have great games as a goalie, you are able to avoid being swapped with another goalie. Blackwood has been able to stand on his head this season, so we will be heavily reliant on COL to score a lion's share of the goals. Thats where I start to get worried with this play...Whenever I have had to count on COL to score goals this season, they have let me down, which they are known to do about 34% of the time. This play seems logical but one I may lay off of just because of the goalie swapping here.
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