Hello everyone. The cold is coming to the deep southeast, get ready.
Today I have locked in:
DET/CBJ O5.5 -165 - In this situation with DET OTR and CBJ @H the probability for the game is 63.91% O5.5/58.35% O6.0 and 52.80% O6.5/DET 4 of L5 games O5.5/DET AVG 2 total GPG OTR/CBJ 4 of L5 games O5.5/CBJ AVG 4 total GPG @H/4 of L5 meetings O%5.5/4 of L5 1P O1.5
VAN/SEA O5.5 -110 - These teams have gone O5.5 10 of the L10 meetings and Over 6.0 in 9 of the L10 meetings neither netminder is particularly good. 3 of L5 VAN games O5.5/4 of L5 SEA games O5.5/just registers on the speed sheet at 50.56%
For the early games i am looking at:
TOR/NYI O5.5 -130 - In this situation with TOR OTR and NYI @H, the probability for the game is 67.56% O5.5/60.74% O6.0/52.92% O6.5/TOR OTR AVG 2 GPG/TOR 4 OF L5 O5.5/NYI AVG 2 GPG @H/NYI 3 OF L5 O5.5/3 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/3 OF L5 1P O1.5
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hello everyone. The cold is coming to the deep southeast, get ready.
Today I have locked in:
DET/CBJ O5.5 -165 - In this situation with DET OTR and CBJ @H the probability for the game is 63.91% O5.5/58.35% O6.0 and 52.80% O6.5/DET 4 of L5 games O5.5/DET AVG 2 total GPG OTR/CBJ 4 of L5 games O5.5/CBJ AVG 4 total GPG @H/4 of L5 meetings O%5.5/4 of L5 1P O1.5
VAN/SEA O5.5 -110 - These teams have gone O5.5 10 of the L10 meetings and Over 6.0 in 9 of the L10 meetings neither netminder is particularly good. 3 of L5 VAN games O5.5/4 of L5 SEA games O5.5/just registers on the speed sheet at 50.56%
For the early games i am looking at:
TOR/NYI O5.5 -130 - In this situation with TOR OTR and NYI @H, the probability for the game is 67.56% O5.5/60.74% O6.0/52.92% O6.5/TOR OTR AVG 2 GPG/TOR 4 OF L5 O5.5/NYI AVG 2 GPG @H/NYI 3 OF L5 O5.5/3 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/3 OF L5 1P O1.5
Still looking at some things for later games but I am leaning
BUF/COL O5.5 - will be trying to get this as a live play if possible. Game probability 68.64% O5.5/60.89% O6.0/53.14% O6.5/BUF AVG 2 GPG OTR/BUF 4 of L5 O5.5/COL AVG 3 GPG @H/COL 4 of L5 O5.5/4 of L5 meetings O5.5/4 of L5 1P O1.5 Enough indicators for me to see if i can snag the O5.5 live at -140 or better if the scoring is not happening in the first 5 minutes or so we should get a shot at this live play.
TBL/SJS O5.5 Same as above, looking for a live play here. Game probability from speed sheet is 60.61% O5.5/53.67% O6.0/TBL AVG 3 GPG OTR/TBL 3 OF L5 O5.5/SJS AVG 3GPG @H/SJS 2 OF L5 O5.5/4 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/5 OF L5 1P O1.5
PHI/VGK O5.5 Same as above, looking for the live play here. Game probability from speed sheet is 59.37% O5.5/56.96% O6.0/54.55 O6.5/PHI AVG 3 GPG OTR/PHI 3 OF L5 O5.5/VGK AVG 3GPG @H/VGK 2 OF L5 O5.5/3 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/2 OF L5 1P O1.5
Targeting these games in particular because after looking at December and tracking the accuracy of the teams when they are involved on a game with a probability of 50.01% or higher...TOR(70%), BUF(79%), SEA(75%) & PHI(70%) hit 70%-79.99% of the time. When DET makes a speed sheet appearance at 50.01% or higher they hit 80% of the time... Hoping to really get this time dialed in big time.
O5.5 Honorable mentions for tonight are:
CAR/FLA - 61.59% O5.5
BOS/NYR - 58.47% O5.5
MIN/WAS - 54.39% O5.5
Personally, I think OTT/DAL and ANA/WIN have good shots to get there as well. but itll take both teams. OTT starting a rookie net minder is interesting to me
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Adding TOR/NYI O5.5 -130
Still looking at some things for later games but I am leaning
BUF/COL O5.5 - will be trying to get this as a live play if possible. Game probability 68.64% O5.5/60.89% O6.0/53.14% O6.5/BUF AVG 2 GPG OTR/BUF 4 of L5 O5.5/COL AVG 3 GPG @H/COL 4 of L5 O5.5/4 of L5 meetings O5.5/4 of L5 1P O1.5 Enough indicators for me to see if i can snag the O5.5 live at -140 or better if the scoring is not happening in the first 5 minutes or so we should get a shot at this live play.
TBL/SJS O5.5 Same as above, looking for a live play here. Game probability from speed sheet is 60.61% O5.5/53.67% O6.0/TBL AVG 3 GPG OTR/TBL 3 OF L5 O5.5/SJS AVG 3GPG @H/SJS 2 OF L5 O5.5/4 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/5 OF L5 1P O1.5
PHI/VGK O5.5 Same as above, looking for the live play here. Game probability from speed sheet is 59.37% O5.5/56.96% O6.0/54.55 O6.5/PHI AVG 3 GPG OTR/PHI 3 OF L5 O5.5/VGK AVG 3GPG @H/VGK 2 OF L5 O5.5/3 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/2 OF L5 1P O1.5
Targeting these games in particular because after looking at December and tracking the accuracy of the teams when they are involved on a game with a probability of 50.01% or higher...TOR(70%), BUF(79%), SEA(75%) & PHI(70%) hit 70%-79.99% of the time. When DET makes a speed sheet appearance at 50.01% or higher they hit 80% of the time... Hoping to really get this time dialed in big time.
O5.5 Honorable mentions for tonight are:
CAR/FLA - 61.59% O5.5
BOS/NYR - 58.47% O5.5
MIN/WAS - 54.39% O5.5
Personally, I think OTT/DAL and ANA/WIN have good shots to get there as well. but itll take both teams. OTT starting a rookie net minder is interesting to me
Personally, I think OTT/DAL and ANA/WIN have good shots to get there as well. but itll take both teams. OTT starting a rookie net minder is interesting to me
I did not play either one of these unfortunately. But BOTH games cleared the O5.5 as I suspected they may IF both teams showed up to put some goals in. What I have noticed on my speed sheet that gives me the biggest issues are shut outs. Very rarely does a team score 6 goals AND play defense well enough to get the shutout. There were 13 games that registered on my speed sheet with a probability to go O5.5 by more than 50.01% in the month of December that ended in a shutout. In ALL 13 of those games the opponent reached or exceeded their average number of goals per game.
Added:
TBL/SJS O5.5 -130 LP
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Quote Originally Posted by triplee2385:
Personally, I think OTT/DAL and ANA/WIN have good shots to get there as well. but itll take both teams. OTT starting a rookie net minder is interesting to me
I did not play either one of these unfortunately. But BOTH games cleared the O5.5 as I suspected they may IF both teams showed up to put some goals in. What I have noticed on my speed sheet that gives me the biggest issues are shut outs. Very rarely does a team score 6 goals AND play defense well enough to get the shutout. There were 13 games that registered on my speed sheet with a probability to go O5.5 by more than 50.01% in the month of December that ended in a shutout. In ALL 13 of those games the opponent reached or exceeded their average number of goals per game.
TBL either didnt show up tonight OR thus goalie that is making his second start for SJS is the real deal. Askarov is the SJS goalie name. He has played really well in all his starts
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TBL either didnt show up tonight OR thus goalie that is making his second start for SJS is the real deal. Askarov is the SJS goalie name. He has played really well in all his starts
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