Light day of games tomorrow so I went ahead and put the sheet together early. Despite my initial reaction upon looking at tomorrow's speed sheet that all of the game would likely be U6.0 there may be an opportunity or two for a shot at an O5.5 play tomorrow. All three games currently sit at totals of 6.0 with odds trending different directions. UHC/SEA looking like it may drop down to an O5.5 -125 total. While NAS/WIN looks like it may be on the way up to 6.5 currently sitting at 6.0 -120...
All the games on the conservative sheet are showing Match Up AVG 5 GPG for all three teams. The liberal sheet has NYR/FLA at an AVG 6.0 GPG and the other two at 5.5 GPG. That is some really tight numbers between the two sheets. For me I can see the NYR/FLA game going O5.5. NAS/WIN is a tossup. UHC/SEA is also in the toss up category. An argument can be made for all three games both ways tomorrow. I am always a goal scoring type of guy and want to see a great offensive match up so I will always pull for goals to be scored.
NYR/FLA - 53.40% O5.5/NYR AVG 2 GPG OTR/NYR 1 of L5 O5.5/FLA AVG 3 GPG @H/FLA 2 of L5 O5.5/1 of L5 meetings O5.5/2 of L5 1P O1.5/FLA has been shut out in their L2 home games 4-0. Mr Maurice was NOT HAPPY in his interview after the game on Saturday afternoon. I expect maximum effort from the panthers tomorrow at home to close out the 2024 year. This may be a game I play the O5.5 on but I also like FLA in REG for this one.
NAS/WIN - 40.59% O5.5/NAS AVG 1.0 GPG OTR/NAS 3 of L5 O5.5/WIN AVG 4.0 GPG @H/WIN 3 of L5 O5.5/3 of L5 meetings O5.5/3 of L5 1P O1.5/This game is going to depend on NAS to go O5.5. WIN will not do it on their own, but NAS can struggle to score when on the road over this season. in their L5 OTR they have 14 GF and 19GA. OTRL5AVG 2.8GF/3.8GA. In NAS L5 overall they have 17 GF and 16GA. L5AVG 3.4GF/3.2GA WIN in their L5 @H has 23GF and 8GA. @HL5AVG 4.6GF/1.6GA, WIN L5 Overall 20GF & 10 GA L5AVG 4GF/2GA Both teams are capable of 6 goals in this game in a number of different ways. The 40%-49.99% plays are about 50% in the month of December. As i mentioned, a tossup...but I can see it going over. Will see about goalie confirmations tomorrow.
UHC/SEA - 48.63% O5.5/UHC AVG 3.0 GPG OTR/UHC 1 of L5 O5.5/SEA AVG 2.0 GPG @H/SEA 3 OF L5 O5.5/NO PREVIOUS MATCH UP DATA/UHC has dropped three in a row after having a 6-1 run. UHC 19GF/9GA L5 OTR OTRL5AVG 3.8GF/1.8GA UHC L5 Overall 12GF/15GA L5AVG 2.4GF/3GA - SEA L5@H 9GF/15GA L5@HAVG 1.8GF/3GA SEA L5 Overall 10GF/21GA L5AVG 2GF/4.2GA Another game that is a true tossup for me. See many of the same notes as the NAS/WIN game.
Nothing until 7:00pm tomorrow so Ill be back around tomorrow with some plays. Hope everyone has had a great weekend. Cheers!
Hopefully I can keep it going to close out 2024. 
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