****7-5 YTD POSTED RECORD****

Read below, I PROMISE you'll at least get a chuckle.  I spent time on it, so enjoy :)

1st NHL Post, 7-5 in NBA and NFL posted picks.  (started 7-1, haven't posted in almost a month)

NHL ATS YTD Posted Picks-  0-0

Columbus ml +110

1500 wins 1650

I won't spend the time on the huge analytical writeup on the game because, well, all that really matters is the W and you to not fall asleep reading a post.  Here are the reasons why I put 1.5 units on the game, without getting into in-game specific strategy and reasoning:

1) Roughly 60% Public Consensus in polling for Oilers
2) 81% Private Book Money for the Oilers
3) Oilers on back-to-back
4) Oilers 1-5 last 6 in Columbus

However...

Line Movement 20-30% in the other direction

This mean that regardless of all the walk-in Vegas money, which DOMINATES the Vegas revenue unlike some may think, and the offshore bookies (I only know numbers on top 5), the line is still moving in the other direction because of the heavy hitters making lump bets for Columbus, hence the VIOLENT line-swaying back and forth before the game---this isn't indecision, it's a tug-of-war between the public and the pro's with the insider info. 

If the professional bookies that play against Vegas AND Vegas can both make money via the betting public, this is a match made in heaven. 

Bookies love milking the public WITH Vegas like Johnny like his mum's tit.  It's an incestuous double win.  If that clouds your mind with too many dirty thoughts, here's another metaphor: a pig and a sloth in a basement playing cards laughing while watching the public cry.

Hopefully this offered some insight and not just generic, regurgitated nonsense that I so often read recently in the forum. 

There are ALWAYS the great vets that I keep coming back for, so I hope to contribute to add to steady rock that is this covers forum!

BOL

NOTE:  When I made the pick last night, I got +115, but when I started writing the article, it was at +110 (I made an extra 5%, but figured I'd make it accurate with the 'then current' spread).  However, now as I'm ready to submit and checked, it fluctuated all the way to Columbus -120, back to -105, now at +100.  This makes me feel even more sure about my pick and above analysis.  Good luck fellas (and lady fellas)

i think that line opened up that way to induce action from the sharps on to the jackets..no way oilers should open as a favorite here..

#1 rule of sportsbetting I've learned over the years, sharps don't move lines, the public does

The line is moving like a banshee warrior before the game, +115 down to -120, now up to +105.  Again, I think this is a prime example of the sharps gobbling up the line movement, like hedge funds do on stock prices