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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    Boston leafs huge line change

    Merle_iv
    dyamarik
    MrBator
    tiamat1478
    vaas187
    ...
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    Views: 1083
    Posts: 14
     
    Merle_iv
    Merle_iv
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 2:44 PM ET #1

    11-14


    For Boston today they started off as an underdog and come today they have shifted massively to a favorite. I think I am going to back Toronto here as they were the favorite to start and I like to stick to picking the original line favorite if the public money was on the original dog. Also leaning under. What are other people thinking on this 

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    11-14


    For Boston today they started off as an underdog and come today they have shifted massively to a favorite. I think I am going to back Toronto here as they were the favorite to start and I like to stick to picking the original line favorite if the public money was on the original dog. Also leaning under. What are other people thinking on this 

     
    dyamarik
    dyamarik
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 2:51 PM ET #2

    @Merle_iv

    Major Line shifts rarely caused by public money - $50-$100 dollar bets don't move the market.  That usually means major injury news, and/or Big Players (i.e. sharps) money coming in and all the books adjust for it...

    I would strongly consider Boston as a play now, unless its a big injury and key player(s) sitting out for Loafs...peace_5

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
    Reply

    @Merle_iv

    Major Line shifts rarely caused by public money - $50-$100 dollar bets don't move the market.  That usually means major injury news, and/or Big Players (i.e. sharps) money coming in and all the books adjust for it...

    I would strongly consider Boston as a play now, unless its a big injury and key player(s) sitting out for Loafs...peace_5

     
    Merle_iv
    Merle_iv
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:07 PM ET #3

    @dyamarik

     Appreciate it !an_cheers

    what do you think did change the line so much ? I’m checking now for news… just got of work over here

    Reply

    @dyamarik

     Appreciate it !an_cheers

    what do you think did change the line so much ? I’m checking now for news… just got of work over here

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:12 PM ET #4

    Not that the team's task is impossible tonight, but why would anyone consider betting on the Maple Leafs knowing that these losers/chokers have lost their last SIX home playoff games??

    Reply

    Not that the team's task is impossible tonight, but why would anyone consider betting on the Maple Leafs knowing that these losers/chokers have lost their last SIX home playoff games??

     
    Merle_iv
    Merle_iv
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:15 PM ET #5

    @MrBator

     Oh yeah I mean I totally understand that part. Just trying to figure out the huge line shift 

    Reply

    @MrBator

     Oh yeah I mean I totally understand that part. Just trying to figure out the huge line shift 

     
    dyamarik
    dyamarik
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:24 PM ET #6

    @Merle_iv

     Matthews is out again - Illness an_eek2

    @MrBator

     Very valid point peace_5

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
    Reply

    @Merle_iv

     Matthews is out again - Illness an_eek2

    @MrBator

     Very valid point peace_5

     
    tiamat1478
    tiamat1478
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:26 PM ET #7

    @dyamarik

     It really begs the question, what exactly do these "sharps" know that we don't? From what I can tell we have access to all the same information that they do.

    Reply

    @dyamarik

     It really begs the question, what exactly do these "sharps" know that we don't? From what I can tell we have access to all the same information that they do.

     
    vaas187
    vaas187
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:29 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:

    @Merle_iv Major Line shifts rarely caused by public money - $50-$100 dollar bets don't move the market.  That usually means major injury news, and/or Big Players (i.e. sharps) money coming in and all the books adjust for it... I would strongly consider Boston as a play now, unless its a big injury and key player(s) sitting out for Loafs...

    Matthews confirmed out. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:

    @Merle_iv Major Line shifts rarely caused by public money - $50-$100 dollar bets don't move the market.  That usually means major injury news, and/or Big Players (i.e. sharps) money coming in and all the books adjust for it... I would strongly consider Boston as a play now, unless its a big injury and key player(s) sitting out for Loafs...

    Matthews confirmed out. 

     
    vaas187
    vaas187
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:30 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Not that the team's task is impossible tonight, but why would anyone consider betting on the Maple Leafs knowing that these losers/chokers have lost their last SIX home playoff games??

    im taking them to break it. Impossible to lose again. You can’t, simply can’t. At plus odds, I’ll risk it. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Not that the team's task is impossible tonight, but why would anyone consider betting on the Maple Leafs knowing that these losers/chokers have lost their last SIX home playoff games??

    im taking them to break it. Impossible to lose again. You can’t, simply can’t. At plus odds, I’ll risk it. 

     
    dyamarik
    dyamarik
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:31 PM ET #10

    @tiamat1478

     From my perspective, I can only spend an hour or two  day capping and exploring situational stuff.  So that is one major difference for me and anyone else who still has a 9-5.  But your point is valid for someone who has that same amount of time to invest... peace_5

    People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
    Reply

    @tiamat1478

     From my perspective, I can only spend an hour or two  day capping and exploring situational stuff.  So that is one major difference for me and anyone else who still has a 9-5.  But your point is valid for someone who has that same amount of time to invest... peace_5

     
    BigPell
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 3:51 PM ET #11

    Gotta like Leafs here after how flat Boston was for the entire game 5 at home. Only the goalie showed up. Toronto had a million chances - I think leafs get it done tonight w a bunch of scoring chances in their home ice

    Reply

    Gotta like Leafs here after how flat Boston was for the entire game 5 at home. Only the goalie showed up. Toronto had a million chances - I think leafs get it done tonight w a bunch of scoring chances in their home ice

     
    Merle_iv
    Merle_iv
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 4:08 PM ET #12

    I’m so stuck here. Both Toronto and Boston don’t want repeats of their history. I know leafs missing Matthew’s, but they got it done last game. I might have to go with leafs to break their curse. At plus money just for value. This is a tough one an_eek2

    Reply

    I’m so stuck here. Both Toronto and Boston don’t want repeats of their history. I know leafs missing Matthew’s, but they got it done last game. I might have to go with leafs to break their curse. At plus money just for value. This is a tough one an_eek2

     
    BigEv617
    BigEv617
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    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 6:51 PM ET #13

    line started moving towards the Bs as soon as Matthews was rumored to be out tonight.

    an_cheers

    Reply

    line started moving towards the Bs as soon as Matthews was rumored to be out tonight.

    an_cheers

     
     
    Merle_iv
    Merle_iv
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    Posts: 241
    Posted: May. 2, 2024 - 10:50 PM ET #14

    I’ll take it ! 
    12-14 

    Reply

    I’ll take it ! 
    12-14 

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