Not a great start, but not a horrible start either. Kind of unfortunate the Kings generated 45+ shots and couldn't score a goal but thats the way she goes sometimes. Today's slate isn't a ton of games but like a decent amount of picks on the board. Good luck to everyone tonight
Stars ML +125 and under 6 -120: I don't love either of these plays but I'm banking on the Stars talent to finally show up tonight. This will be Perry's second game back and after only getting about 11 min. of 5 on 5 ice time on Wednesday, I expect his minutes to jump a bit tonight and for his line with Hintz (who's been incredible this season) and Janmaark to take it up a notch from Wednesday. The Stars have been up and down this year performance wise (obviously results have been consistently awful) but the one thing they've actually been good at is not allowing high danger chances. Their HDCA/60 (high danger chances against per 60 min) is good for 4th best in the NHL. The Penguins on the other hand are bottom 8 in the NHL in creating high danger chances for themselves. While this might be great and all, the Stars still need much better performances from Bishop, who has been uncharacteristically awful so far. I expect the Stars to throw a lot of different matchups at the Crosby/Guentzel line, and I'm hoping that Montgomery's unique version of the 1-2-2 forecheck can keep the Pens out of transition where they've thrived this season.
Jackets/Hawks ov 6.5 -105: After the first two games of the season, the Hawks looked as if they were going to be an over machine this season (they most likely will be still) but the last two games have changed the perception a bit. The Hawks/Oilers game on Monday was phenomal to watch, and staggering that it went under. The first period alone could have had a name change to the "breakaway challenge" as both teams thrived in transition giving up 3+ breakaways each. The Hawks d-core continues to be a turn style as they've been atrocious this season in zone entry prevention. Their blue line isn't mobile, fail to exit their own zone when they get the chances, and have the tendency to get pinned in for long periods of time, which is why their CA/60 is bottom two in the NHL and their HDCA/60 is dead last. The Jackets on the other hand are a bit of a mystery. They've had trouble creating good scoring chances this year and are still trying to find the chemistry with a lot of new lines and faces. But, in a game that I think could become a bit of a track meet (as most Hawks games do), I think some of their young talent in the forward group will shine tonight and they'll generate a solid number of in tight scoring chances.
Red Wings TT ov 2.5 -125: This is simply me fading the Oilers who are a major fraud. The Oilers not only have benefited from a cushy schedule to start the season, they've also had some incredible luck on their side as well. Their 5 on 5 GF% of 53.4% is good enough for 12th best in the NHL, which isn't awful, but shows how much they've relied on a pretty deadly powerplay. However, their 5 on 5 xGF% of 43.4%, good for 2nd last in the NHL, shows not only have they relied on their PP, they've also gotten extremely lucky so far while being even strength. The reason I don't want to take the Wings is I just can't trust Bernier at all, and have watched McDavid and Draisaitl slice up my team way too many times since coming into the league. Instead I'll take my chances that Koskinen doesn't have another Patrick Roy performance and that the Oilers continue to allow a crazy amount of high danger chances like they have all season.
Still may add Panthers and Canes, just not positive yet.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 2-2 +0.42 units
Not a great start, but not a horrible start either. Kind of unfortunate the Kings generated 45+ shots and couldn't score a goal but thats the way she goes sometimes. Today's slate isn't a ton of games but like a decent amount of picks on the board. Good luck to everyone tonight
Stars ML +125 and under 6 -120: I don't love either of these plays but I'm banking on the Stars talent to finally show up tonight. This will be Perry's second game back and after only getting about 11 min. of 5 on 5 ice time on Wednesday, I expect his minutes to jump a bit tonight and for his line with Hintz (who's been incredible this season) and Janmaark to take it up a notch from Wednesday. The Stars have been up and down this year performance wise (obviously results have been consistently awful) but the one thing they've actually been good at is not allowing high danger chances. Their HDCA/60 (high danger chances against per 60 min) is good for 4th best in the NHL. The Penguins on the other hand are bottom 8 in the NHL in creating high danger chances for themselves. While this might be great and all, the Stars still need much better performances from Bishop, who has been uncharacteristically awful so far. I expect the Stars to throw a lot of different matchups at the Crosby/Guentzel line, and I'm hoping that Montgomery's unique version of the 1-2-2 forecheck can keep the Pens out of transition where they've thrived this season.
Jackets/Hawks ov 6.5 -105: After the first two games of the season, the Hawks looked as if they were going to be an over machine this season (they most likely will be still) but the last two games have changed the perception a bit. The Hawks/Oilers game on Monday was phenomal to watch, and staggering that it went under. The first period alone could have had a name change to the "breakaway challenge" as both teams thrived in transition giving up 3+ breakaways each. The Hawks d-core continues to be a turn style as they've been atrocious this season in zone entry prevention. Their blue line isn't mobile, fail to exit their own zone when they get the chances, and have the tendency to get pinned in for long periods of time, which is why their CA/60 is bottom two in the NHL and their HDCA/60 is dead last. The Jackets on the other hand are a bit of a mystery. They've had trouble creating good scoring chances this year and are still trying to find the chemistry with a lot of new lines and faces. But, in a game that I think could become a bit of a track meet (as most Hawks games do), I think some of their young talent in the forward group will shine tonight and they'll generate a solid number of in tight scoring chances.
Red Wings TT ov 2.5 -125: This is simply me fading the Oilers who are a major fraud. The Oilers not only have benefited from a cushy schedule to start the season, they've also had some incredible luck on their side as well. Their 5 on 5 GF% of 53.4% is good enough for 12th best in the NHL, which isn't awful, but shows how much they've relied on a pretty deadly powerplay. However, their 5 on 5 xGF% of 43.4%, good for 2nd last in the NHL, shows not only have they relied on their PP, they've also gotten extremely lucky so far while being even strength. The reason I don't want to take the Wings is I just can't trust Bernier at all, and have watched McDavid and Draisaitl slice up my team way too many times since coming into the league. Instead I'll take my chances that Koskinen doesn't have another Patrick Roy performance and that the Oilers continue to allow a crazy amount of high danger chances like they have all season.
Still may add Panthers and Canes, just not positive yet.
I had the Kings too last night, super disappointing. I was watching the game but turned it off after the 10th missed shot from right in front of the net. Ok a bit of an exaggeration but it was pretty pathetic.
Good luck
AJMay
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I had the Kings too last night, super disappointing. I was watching the game but turned it off after the 10th missed shot from right in front of the net. Ok a bit of an exaggeration but it was pretty pathetic.
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