• Forums
  • Best Betting Sites
  • Sportsbook Promos
  • Best Sports Betting Apps
  • NFL Betting Forum
  • NBA Betting Forum
  • MLB Betting Forum
  • NHL Betting Forum
  • NCAAF Betting Forum
  • NCAAB Betting Forum
  • Soccer Betting Forum
  • Tennis Betting Forum
  • General Discussion
  • Help Forum
  • Guidelines
  • FAQ
  • Forum Updates
    Covers Logo
    Covers App
    Faster picks. Smarter bets.
    All in the NEW Covers App
    Download on the App Store Download on the Google Play Store
    • Sports
      • NFL
        • Back
        • NFL
        • NFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NFL Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NCAAF
        • Back
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAF Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NCAAF Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NBA
        • Back
        • NBA
        • NBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • NCAAB
        • Back
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • NCAAB Picks
        • Injuries
      • MLB
        • Back
        • MLB
        • MLB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • MLB Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NHL
        • Back
        • NHL
        • NHL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NHL Picks
        • Injuries
      • Soccer
      • UFC
      • WNBA
        • Back
        • WNBA
        • WNBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • WNBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • CFL
        • Back
        • CFL
        • CFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • CFL Picks
      • Golf
        • Back
        • Golf
        • Golf Home
        • Golf Odds
        • Masters Odds
        • PGA Championship Odds
        • US Open Odds
        • British Open Odds
        • Ryder Cup Odds
        • Golf Picks
    • Odds
      • All Odds
      • NFL
      • NCAAF
      • NBA
      • NCAAB
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Golf
      • Soccer Odds
        • Back
        • Soccer Odds
        • MLS Odds
        • Champions League Odds
        • Premier League Odds
      • UFC
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • Election Odds
      • Futures
        • Back
        • Futures
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • MLB
        • NHL
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAF
      • Sports Odds History
    • Picks
      • All Picks
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • NHL
      • MLB
      • NCAAF
      • NCAAB
      • Golf
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • User Picks
      • Team User Picks
      • Consensus Picks
        • Back
        • Consensus Picks
        • All Consensus Picks
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • NHL
        • MLB
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAB
        • CFL
        • WNBA
        • Consensus FAQ
        • Public Money
    • Prop Projections
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
    • Betting
      • US Betting Sites
      • Canada Betting Sites
      • Sportsbook Reviews
      • States
        • Back
        • States
        • US Legal Tracker
        • Revenue Tracker
        • Arizona
        • Arkansas
        • California
        • Colorado
        • Connecticut
        • DC
        • Florida
        • Georgia
        • Illinois
        • Indiana
        • Iowa
        • Kansas
        • Kentucky
        • Louisiana
        • Maine
        • Maryland
        • Massachusetts
        • Michigan
        • Mississippi
        • Missouri
        • Nevada
        • New Hampshire
        • New Jersey
        • New York
        • North Carolina
        • Ohio
        • Oregon
        • Pennsylvania
        • Tennessee
        • Texas
        • Vermont
        • Virginia
        • West Virginia
        • Wyoming
      • Provinces
        • Back
        • Provinces
        • Alberta
        • British Columbia
        • Manitoba
        • New Brunswick
        • Newfoundland and Labrador
        • Northwest Territories
        • Nova Scotia
        • Nunavut
        • Ontario
        • Prince Edward Island
        • Quebec (English)
        • Quebec (francais)
        • Saskatchewan
        • Yukon
      • By Sport
        • Back
        • By Sport
        • Baseball
        • Basketball
        • Boxing
        • College Football
        • F1
        • Football
        • Super Bowl
        • Golf
        • Hockey
        • Horse Racing
        • March Madness
        • Soccer
        • UFC
        • World Cup
      • Betting Apps
        • Back
        • Betting Apps
        • Best Sports Betting Apps USA
        • Ontario Sports Betting Apps
      • Rest of World
        • Back
        • Rest of World
        • UK Betting Offers
          • Back
          • UK Betting Offers
          • UK Betting Sites
          • bet365 Bonus Code UK
          • 888Sport Promo Code UK
          • William Hill Sign up Offer
          • Betway Sign up Offer
          • BetVictor Bonus Code UK
      • Betting Guides
        • Back
        • Betting Guides
        • All Guides
        • Glossary
        • Betting Calculators
          • Back
          • Betting Calculators
          • Odds Converter
          • Parlay Calculator
        • Futures Betting Guide
        • Moneyline Betting Guide
        • Over/Under Betting Guide
        • Parlay Betting Guide
        • Point Spread Betting Guide
        • Prop Betting Guide
        • Sports Betting Guides
          • Back
          • Sports Betting Guides
          • How To Bet On Sports Guide
          • NFL Betting Guide
          • NHL Betting Guide
          • NBA Betting Guide
          • MLB Betting Guide
          • NCAAB Betting Guide
          • NCAAF Betting Guide
          • Golf Betting Guide
          • Tennis Betting Guide
        • Teaser Betting Guide
      • Betting News
        • Back
        • Betting News
        • All News
        • Industry News
        • Podcasts
        • Covers Videos
        • Covers Writers
        • Offers & Boosts
    • Promos
      • Sportsbook Promos
      • Canada Sportsbook Promos
      • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • bet365 Bonus Code
        • BET99 Promo Code
        • BetMGM Bonus Code
        • BetRivers Bonus Code
        • Caesars Sportsbook Promo
        • DraftKings Promo Code
        • Fanatics Sportsbook Promo
        • FanDuel Promo Code
        • Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
        • Sports Interaction Promo
        • Stake Promo Code
        • theScore Bet Promo Code
        • TonyBet Promo Code
      • Bonuses By Region
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Region
        • Arkansas Promos
        • Arizona Promos
        • Colorado Promos
        • Connecticut Promos
        • DC Promos
        • Illinois Promos
        • Indiana Promos
        • Iowa Promos
        • Kansas Promos
        • Kentucky Promos
        • Louisiana Promos
        • Maine Promos
        • Maryland Promos
        • Massachusetts Promos
        • Michigan Promos
        • Missouri Promos
        • New Jersey Promos
        • New York Promos
        • North Carolina Promos
        • Ohio Promos
        • Pennsylvania Promos
        • Tennessee Promos
        • Vermont Promos
        • Virginia Promos
        • West Virginia Promos
        • Wyoming Promos
    • Forum & Contests
      • All Forums
      • NFL Betting Forum
      • MLB Betting Forum
      • NCAAB Betting Forum
      • NCAAF Betting Forum
      • NBA Betting Forum
      • NHL Betting Forum
      • Soccer Betting Forum
      • Contests
        • Back
        • Contests
        • Contests Home
        • Streak Survivor
        • King of Covers
        • My Contests
    • Casino
      • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Back
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes No-Deposit Bonuses
        • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Back
          • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Card Crush
          • Casino.click
          • Chanced Casino
          • Crown Coins Casino
          • FreeSpin Casino
          • LoneStar
          • McLuck
          • Mega Bonanza Casino
          • PlayFame
          • Pulsz
          • Stake.us
      • US Casinos
        • Back
        • US Casinos
        • US Online Casinos
        • US Online Casino Bonuses
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • bet365 Casino Promo Code
          • BetRivers Casino Promo
          • Borgata Casino Bonus Code
          • Caesars Casino Bonus Code
          • DraftKings Casino Promo
          • Fanatics Casino Promo
          • FanDuel Casino Promo Code
          • Golden Nugget Casino Promo
          • Hard Rock Bet Casino Promo
          • Hollywood Casino Promo Code
      • Canada Casinos
        • Back
        • Canada Casinos
        • Canada Online Casinos
        • Provinces
          • Back
          • Provinces
          • Alberta Online Casino
          • BC Online Casino
          • Ontario Online Casinos
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • BC.GAME Bonus Code
          • Cloudbet Promo Code
          • RainBet Promo Code
          • Roobet Promo Code
          • Shuffle Promo Code
          • Thrill Promo Code
    • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Market Apps
      • Prediction Market Promos
      • Kalshi Promo Code
      • Polymarket Promo Code
      • DraftKings Predictions Promo Code
      • Novig Promo Code
      • ProphetX Promo Code
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • OG Promo Code
      • Fanatics Markets Promo Code
      • Plus500 Promo Code
    Covers Account
    Log in Create account
    Join free Log in
    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    Importance of betting games at different values

    bookslapper
    Saigon88
    Mr-Unit
    IHIOUSE
    HutchEmAll
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 601
    Posts: 11
     
    bookslapper
    bookslapper
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 930
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 3:35 PM ET #1

    I recently had a debate with a friend of mine that bets pretty regularly. His position is that betting some games with increased unit value will lead to destruction at some point for the average bettors.He bets thru a local on full game sides or totals and always bets the same -$100.
    I'm not sure of the exact % he hits because I am unaware of every play he makes. I assume he hits under 60% as do most bettors.
    My argument to his point is simple. If you bet 100 per game and bet 1 play per day at the end of the year your profits are minimal. Even hitting at 60% you stand to make around 6800 - vig. But to be realistic I'd say most will make around 3k with this approach- hitting around 55.5 %. With the time it takes to come up with winners-making 3k at the end of the year is completely pointless. My opinion only.
    I did bet this way 10 years ago when I 1st started doing this on a regular basis. For years I got no where. On occasions I would get lucky with a parlay or 2 and with drawl some cash and it did come in handy at the time. But really I wasnt improving my position at all.
    Once I began spreading the $ in 1-5 unit plays I did start to gain steam. When I 1st started with this approach I would play heavier on games that I felt stronger about. That wasnt working as great as I planned. Really labeling my plays as stronger due to the unit value didnt seem to make a significant change in my profits. Once I through that approach out the window I started the see profits more consistently. My approach is simple- I dont place more $ on a line just because I feel stronger about it than another-(though we all have lines that jump at us and we lay heavier at times this was not the approach that I saw working long term) on most plays I simply just place a unit value on it and let it ride. Spreading 5-10 units among 2-4 plays has worked greatly for me. I have seen consistent profits ever since I began this approach. To some it may seem wreck less. But thats how I do it and will never change the way I do it. I have gone at this betting in many different ways,but never have I seen a consistent pattern of winning until the past 2 seasons.
    I wrote about this to see what other bettors are doing and how they bet. comments welcome...
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I recently had a debate with a friend of mine that bets pretty regularly. His position is that betting some games with increased unit value will lead to destruction at some point for the average bettors.He bets thru a local on full game sides or totals and always bets the same -$100.
    I'm not sure of the exact % he hits because I am unaware of every play he makes. I assume he hits under 60% as do most bettors.
    My argument to his point is simple. If you bet 100 per game and bet 1 play per day at the end of the year your profits are minimal. Even hitting at 60% you stand to make around 6800 - vig. But to be realistic I'd say most will make around 3k with this approach- hitting around 55.5 %. With the time it takes to come up with winners-making 3k at the end of the year is completely pointless. My opinion only.
    I did bet this way 10 years ago when I 1st started doing this on a regular basis. For years I got no where. On occasions I would get lucky with a parlay or 2 and with drawl some cash and it did come in handy at the time. But really I wasnt improving my position at all.
    Once I began spreading the $ in 1-5 unit plays I did start to gain steam. When I 1st started with this approach I would play heavier on games that I felt stronger about. That wasnt working as great as I planned. Really labeling my plays as stronger due to the unit value didnt seem to make a significant change in my profits. Once I through that approach out the window I started the see profits more consistently. My approach is simple- I dont place more $ on a line just because I feel stronger about it than another-(though we all have lines that jump at us and we lay heavier at times this was not the approach that I saw working long term) on most plays I simply just place a unit value on it and let it ride. Spreading 5-10 units among 2-4 plays has worked greatly for me. I have seen consistent profits ever since I began this approach. To some it may seem wreck less. But thats how I do it and will never change the way I do it. I have gone at this betting in many different ways,but never have I seen a consistent pattern of winning until the past 2 seasons.
    I wrote about this to see what other bettors are doing and how they bet. comments welcome...
     
    Saigon88
    Saigon88
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 652
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 3:42 PM ET #2

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
     
    bookslapper
    bookslapper
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 930
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 3:45 PM ET #3

    what are the tears for?
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    what are the tears for?
     
    Mr-Unit
    Mr-Unit
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 1951
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 3:51 PM ET #4

    I dont understand, you say same unit size isn't a great way.  Then you say you changed to betting larger for stronger plays, then what you went back to same unit size between 1-2 unit each?
    this isnt very clear
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    I dont understand, you say same unit size isn't a great way.  Then you say you changed to betting larger for stronger plays, then what you went back to same unit size between 1-2 unit each?
    this isnt very clear
     
    IHIOUSE
    IHIOUSE
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 8093
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 3:52 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Saigon88:

     

    you need a hug or something

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    Quote Originally Posted by Saigon88:

     

    you need a hug or something

     
    bookslapper
    bookslapper
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 930
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 4:05 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Mr-Unit:

    I dont understand, you say same unit size isn't a great way.  Then you say you changed to betting larger for stronger plays, then what you went back to same unit size between 1-2 unit each?
    this isnt very clear


    I'm not the greatest writer and I could see how above reads a bit confusing.
    Simple explanation
    I dont agree with betting the same amount per game- If you are an average bettor this will get you now where -short term or long term. When I refer to the average bettor. Im suggesting a person that bets 50-100 per game.
    I did bet like this years ago. I began to increase the amount of my wager on  the strength of the play or my gut feeling. For me this was not working either. i actually lost more in a short period of time. I began chasing my bigger plays which resulted in more money be lost quickly.
    Now I play games typically from 1-5 units. For most bets the unit value is not an indication of the strength of the play. For the most part the unit value is placed randomly..... Its all a numbers game in the end.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by Mr-Unit:

    I dont understand, you say same unit size isn't a great way.  Then you say you changed to betting larger for stronger plays, then what you went back to same unit size between 1-2 unit each?
    this isnt very clear


    I'm not the greatest writer and I could see how above reads a bit confusing.
    Simple explanation
    I dont agree with betting the same amount per game- If you are an average bettor this will get you now where -short term or long term. When I refer to the average bettor. Im suggesting a person that bets 50-100 per game.
    I did bet like this years ago. I began to increase the amount of my wager on  the strength of the play or my gut feeling. For me this was not working either. i actually lost more in a short period of time. I began chasing my bigger plays which resulted in more money be lost quickly.
    Now I play games typically from 1-5 units. For most bets the unit value is not an indication of the strength of the play. For the most part the unit value is placed randomly..... Its all a numbers game in the end.
     
    IHIOUSE
    IHIOUSE
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 8093
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 4:12 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by bookslapper:

      If you bet 100 per game and bet 1 play per day at the end of the year your profits are minimal. Even hitting at 60% you stand to make around 6800 - vig.

     

    so if this is true, then bet 200 per game and make 13600 a year

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    Quote Originally Posted by bookslapper:

      If you bet 100 per game and bet 1 play per day at the end of the year your profits are minimal. Even hitting at 60% you stand to make around 6800 - vig.

     

    so if this is true, then bet 200 per game and make 13600 a year

     
    bookslapper
    bookslapper
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 930
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 4:19 PM ET #8

    or 1k per game and make 68k

    That does work long term with an appropriate bankroll. But remember I'm speaking of the average bettors. People that dont have the proper bankroll, but are trying desperately to win. If you went at the 100 per game approach for 10 years but increased your roll each season- you could win this way,but how many bettors have this type of long term planning?
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    or 1k per game and make 68k

    That does work long term with an appropriate bankroll. But remember I'm speaking of the average bettors. People that dont have the proper bankroll, but are trying desperately to win. If you went at the 100 per game approach for 10 years but increased your roll each season- you could win this way,but how many bettors have this type of long term planning?
     
    HutchEmAll
    HutchEmAll
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2004
    Posts: 38704
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 4:49 PM ET #9

    If your friend had gotten Green Bay +7 yesterday, do you think he would have changed his wager amount?  I would guess so.

    So if you determine you are getting a 2 point advantage, you'd still bet the same as if you thought you were getting a 5 point advantage?  That's idiotic. 

     

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    If your friend had gotten Green Bay +7 yesterday, do you think he would have changed his wager amount?  I would guess so.

    So if you determine you are getting a 2 point advantage, you'd still bet the same as if you thought you were getting a 5 point advantage?  That's idiotic. 

     

     
    bookslapper
    bookslapper
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 930
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 5:02 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:

    If your friend had gotten Green Bay +7 yesterday, do you think he would have changed his wager amount?  I would guess so.

    So if you determine you are getting a 2 point advantage, you'd still bet the same as if you thought you were getting a 5 point advantage?  That's idiotic. 


    Your words not mine. I stated that for most bets I placed units randomly. Obviously there will always be lines that seem to be more favorable. If you thought GB+7 was a knock out play- then you would have won easily. Every one views lines differently and most bet their own ways. I was not suggesting nor implying to do any thing differently than you already do.

    GL

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:

    If your friend had gotten Green Bay +7 yesterday, do you think he would have changed his wager amount?  I would guess so.

    So if you determine you are getting a 2 point advantage, you'd still bet the same as if you thought you were getting a 5 point advantage?  That's idiotic. 


    Your words not mine. I stated that for most bets I placed units randomly. Obviously there will always be lines that seem to be more favorable. If you thought GB+7 was a knock out play- then you would have won easily. Every one views lines differently and most bet their own ways. I was not suggesting nor implying to do any thing differently than you already do.

    GL

     
     
    jimmy_B
    jimmy_B
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 1097
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2011 - 6:01 PM ET #11

    The best way to make Real money is to make large wagers but only play one at a time. You will be surprised at how fasst your bank roll will grow and many winning days you will have in a row if you can stay disciplined. Good luck Playa.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    The best way to make Real money is to make large wagers but only play one at a time. You will be surprised at how fasst your bank roll will grow and many winning days you will have in a row if you can stay disciplined. Good luck Playa.
    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    Hot Forums IconHot Forum Topics

    • 🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵 445,793 Covers arrow
    • Tuesday 09/08/2026 978 Covers arrow
    • 🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets 253,256 Covers arrow
    • Couple thoughts 3,979 Covers arrow
    • 9/8 POD 🔥🔥???? 3,490 Covers arrow
    • I'm embarrassed for Trump supporters 57,292 Covers arrow
    • Breathtaking ....truly 20,481 Covers arrow
    • Tuesday 2,850 Covers arrow
    • 2026 SIDE POT for 6-0, ROUND 1 175 Covers arrow
    • PART DEUX 219 Covers arrow

    Warning - External Link

    Report User

    Thank you for reporting
    This content is abusive or harmful
    This post is spam
    An error has occurred
    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

    Delete Post

    Are you sure you would like to remove this post?

    Remove Thread

    Are you sure you would like to remove this thread?

    Scan Results

    Login/Register

    Happy to have you join the conversation. To do so, please login or create an account.
    Accounts are free and easy to create.

    Search


    Loading…

    Loading…

    About Us
    Contact Us
    Careers
    Our Team
    Brand
    Testimonials
    Betting Guides
    Sportsbook Reviews
    Betting News
    Podcasts
    Responsible Gambling
    Betting Sites
    US Betting Sites
    Canada Betting Sites
    Canada Casinos
    Best Betting Apps
    Contests
    Streak Survivor
    King of Covers
    Ultimate Race
    Office Pools
    The Covers community has
    810,221
    lifetime members worldwide
    Join our community today
    Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
    Covers is the world
    leader in sports
    betting information.
    21+
    Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
    Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
    YouTube logo
    Facebook logo
    Twitter logo
    Instagram logo
    LinkedIn logo
    Google News logo
    Covers is verified safe by:
    Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
    Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
    If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.