I'm not sure of the exact % he hits because I am unaware of every play he makes. I assume he hits under 60% as do most bettors.
My argument to his point is simple. If you bet 100 per game and bet 1 play per day at the end of the year your profits are minimal. Even hitting at 60% you stand to make around 6800 - vig. But to be realistic I'd say most will make around 3k with this approach- hitting around 55.5 %. With the time it takes to come up with winners-making 3k at the end of the year is completely pointless. My opinion only.
I did bet this way 10 years ago when I 1st started doing this on a regular basis. For years I got no where. On occasions I would get lucky with a parlay or 2 and with drawl some cash and it did come in handy at the time. But really I wasnt improving my position at all.
Once I began spreading the $ in 1-5 unit plays I did start to gain steam. When I 1st started with this approach I would play heavier on games that I felt stronger about. That wasnt working as great as I planned. Really labeling my plays as stronger due to the unit value didnt seem to make a significant change in my profits. Once I through that approach out the window I started the see profits more consistently. My approach is simple- I dont place more $ on a line just because I feel stronger about it than another-(though we all have lines that jump at us and we lay heavier at times this was not the approach that I saw working long term) on most plays I simply just place a unit value on it and let it ride. Spreading 5-10 units among 2-4 plays has worked greatly for me. I have seen consistent profits ever since I began this approach. To some it may seem wreck less. But thats how I do it and will never change the way I do it. I have gone at this betting in many different ways,but never have I seen a consistent pattern of winning until the past 2 seasons.
I wrote about this to see what other bettors are doing and how they bet. comments welcome...