I've had 3 separate 5 game losing streaks, and still looking for my first 4 game win streak. Usually when you bet favorites you expect to get killed on the juice, but I'm getting killed with my record and forgetting the juice. I didn't know it was possible to be 40% correct betting favorites.
I've had 3 separate 5 game losing streaks, and still looking for my first 4 game win streak. Usually when you bet favorites you expect to get killed on the juice, but I'm getting killed with my record and forgetting the juice. I didn't know it was possible to be 40% correct betting favorites.
NHL is pretty brutal to me too but then again, I don't bet as much, nor do I follow the sport as much as the other experienced forum members. Of course, the only thing that I follow in NHL is the results but as for the team? I couldn't name a single player on ANY team let alone probably tell you their mascot/uniform colors. Only person I know of is "SID-nee Craws-bee?" 
When I capp and pick a game, I merely base it off of a situational cap and even then, that usually loses. I will admit though, it's frustrating to back a -200 or more team (I will lay the -1 to reduce the juice) in a favorable situation (@ home, string of losses, desperate for win, "crappy" team visiting) and they still end up losing. 
With this sport, I am limiting my plays due to the other venues available but will still play a game here or there due to the situation. Sorta like backing the Blues -104 last night. "Revenge" game, not trying to get swept for their regular season match up between the 2, on a 3 game losing streak. How did that turn out? 
2-1 Preds..
Much in agreement with this.....no parlays, no juice....think of the season as a marathon, not a sprint. Don't obsess over streaks. You can see many of these strategies playing out with success in the CHCL
The situation the team is in and their recent play factor in a lot more in hockey than other sports. Play style and how specific teams match up with each other I feel is important. I have found following trends has been mostly unsuccessful so far this season. Better to look at each team in a matchup and try exploit their current situation.
I typically do short road favorites. I've found in hockey that home ice doesn't really mean sh!t.
I totally agree with bhawk. I have always won good money in the NHL. I am a math nut and have models on top of models. The last 3 years they have became more and more useless. The last couple of months has made little to no sense. I have always put a little extra weight on goalie vs opposing team history. It was solid early this year but hasn't been very good the last couple of months, when I have had time to cap.
good luck everyone
you can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink
I totally agree with bhawk. I have always won good money in the NHL. I am a math nut and have models on top of models. The last 3 years they have became more and more useless. The last couple of months has made little to no sense. I have always put a little extra weight on goalie vs opposing team history. It was solid early this year but hasn't been very good the last couple of months, when I have had time to cap.
good luck everyone
I am 12th on picking over/unders, but I am about 3424 place picking the teams. I don't bet money on games, but if I did, Covers has taught me that I should bet on Over/Unders, not the teams,according to my record. Really strange how I could do so well on one, and so bad on the other in the NHL.
Been doing pretty well last few weeks. Changed my approach completely. Stay away from ML and teams all together. I don’t get TT cuz my book sucks. Parlays are a waste of time because even when you hit the first two ( 3 team max in my site ) that last one on the card you need will hit 1/10. I’ve been taking U/O. Every game. Profitable last two weeks. I will be posting my plays this week if anyone wants to take a ride. All plays are 1 unit. That’s part of the approach. Slow and steady
The parity in ice hockey is much higher than other sports- which is one of the many reasons I love it.
Home teams usually only win around 50-55% of their games across the league and since it's typically low scoring, the game can swing on a good play or by crazy chance in some cases. For me, that's just more exciting because each possession can be so impactful. If you cap a 65% clip in NHL, so long as you're not picking heavy favorites (-200 or greater) - you're doing alright. In fact, a losing record of 45% while picking around +150 lines will be profitable.
One of the best handicapping tools Covers producers is the League Trends
Go to the NHL page - looks the bar across the top to the right of Statistics is a drop down arrow click on it
Second item down is League trends click on that boom look at all that info....it works for all sports
Now how can you profit at NHL - Under dogs especially HOME DOGS they win at 45% clip & check this out they are 24-11 in OT games so always bet them FT
I think the DUCKS are priced right tonight
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