1-2 last night -0.95 units. Damn. Freddie stood on his head again, and looks like Isles are going to hit the Clubhouse a lot sooner than they had hoped. Ditto for Bolts. Vas looks mortal this season. Cats and Canes look like 2 of the 3 EC Finalists, and I know Carolina would not mind a rematch, but as a fan, I am not so sure that is who I would want to face.
Dogs are currently 6-11-2 (two games went off with the line right around -110 each way) which is only around 35%. Historically, it hovers above 40-45%. Do the remaining Round One dogs have their day? Can anyone's bankroll sustain the current clip?
Mine sure is hurting... 8-14 overall -4.05 units
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
1-2 last night -0.95 units. Damn. Freddie stood on his head again, and looks like Isles are going to hit the Clubhouse a lot sooner than they had hoped. Ditto for Bolts. Vas looks mortal this season. Cats and Canes look like 2 of the 3 EC Finalists, and I know Carolina would not mind a rematch, but as a fan, I am not so sure that is who I would want to face.
Dogs are currently 6-11-2 (two games went off with the line right around -110 each way) which is only around 35%. Historically, it hovers above 40-45%. Do the remaining Round One dogs have their day? Can anyone's bankroll sustain the current clip?
Based on the other EC games last night, sure seems like Rags roll to keep pace with Canes and Cats. Pondering some Series bets (+2.5 mostly) on Craps similar to the Isles, but that strategy ain't looking so good right now with the Fishy-men.
Nashville small Fave at home - Demko status is listed as Out Indefinitely. Yikes. Feels like Smashville is the side to be on here, and I am sure the Public will also be. If that line stays steady, then I'd assume that bigger size bets backing Vancouver, and I might consider backing Nuks.
Avs are close to being automatic at home, but as Al Czervik once famously stated "The Jets are no slouches themselves!" Jets 3-1 last four trips to Mile High city, and 7-3 last 10 overall. Jets seem like a good value bet at that price.
Oil head to Hollywood and given their recent success against LA, and I fully expect them to win at least 1 game OTR. They look like the side to back tonight, and if they don't win take em next game.
Open parlay:
4LP: Isles +2.5 & Bolts +2.5 & Rags ML (Fri) & Avs ML (Fri) +260 1/2u
BBL
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Today's Games:
Based on the other EC games last night, sure seems like Rags roll to keep pace with Canes and Cats. Pondering some Series bets (+2.5 mostly) on Craps similar to the Isles, but that strategy ain't looking so good right now with the Fishy-men.
Nashville small Fave at home - Demko status is listed as Out Indefinitely. Yikes. Feels like Smashville is the side to be on here, and I am sure the Public will also be. If that line stays steady, then I'd assume that bigger size bets backing Vancouver, and I might consider backing Nuks.
Avs are close to being automatic at home, but as Al Czervik once famously stated "The Jets are no slouches themselves!" Jets 3-1 last four trips to Mile High city, and 7-3 last 10 overall. Jets seem like a good value bet at that price.
Oil head to Hollywood and given their recent success against LA, and I fully expect them to win at least 1 game OTR. They look like the side to back tonight, and if they don't win take em next game.
Open parlay:
4LP: Isles +2.5 & Bolts +2.5 & Rags ML (Fri) & Avs ML (Fri) +260 1/2u
Oil head to Hollywood and given their recent success against LA, and I fully expect them to win at least 1 game OTR. They look like the side to back tonight, and if they don't win take em next game.
I'd like to know the results for Game 3 home dogs who lost Game 1 by more than 2 goals and then won Game 2 in overtime. I got a feeling they do well in this spot. The crowd at crappyname.com Arena gonna's be sky high for this one after the A.K. boys brought that win home on Wednesday night.
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Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:
Oil head to Hollywood and given their recent success against LA, and I fully expect them to win at least 1 game OTR. They look like the side to back tonight, and if they don't win take em next game.
I'd like to know the results for Game 3 home dogs who lost Game 1 by more than 2 goals and then won Game 2 in overtime. I got a feeling they do well in this spot. The crowd at crappyname.com Arena gonna's be sky high for this one after the A.K. boys brought that win home on Wednesday night.
Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik: Oil head to Hollywood and given their recent success against LA, and I fully expect them to win at least 1 game OTR. They look like the side to back tonight, and if they don't win take em next game. I'd like to know the results for Game 3 home dogs who lost Game 1 by more than 2 goals and then won Game 2 in overtime. I got a feeling they do well in this spot. The crowd at crappyname.com Arena gonna's be sky high for this one after the A.K. boys brought that win home on Wednesday night.
wouldn't you rather back the LAK +money, and then if they lose back them again +money rather than doing the same thing with Oilers and paying the vig?
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik: Oil head to Hollywood and given their recent success against LA, and I fully expect them to win at least 1 game OTR. They look like the side to back tonight, and if they don't win take em next game. I'd like to know the results for Game 3 home dogs who lost Game 1 by more than 2 goals and then won Game 2 in overtime. I got a feeling they do well in this spot. The crowd at crappyname.com Arena gonna's be sky high for this one after the A.K. boys brought that win home on Wednesday night.
wouldn't you rather back the LAK +money, and then if they lose back them again +money rather than doing the same thing with Oilers and paying the vig?
@MrBator. Yeah that makes sense - momentum like angle. Dunno the stats.
@BigEv617. Good point. When i looked at this last night i saw Oil -125 and i think that number is too low. Take away 1P game 2 and Oil look like better team overall. Now the line is -140 to -145 which is where i have it. Prolly watch game and live bet someway. Good luck Big E
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@Raiders22. BOL.
@Gainsford u2 G
@MrBator. Yeah that makes sense - momentum like angle. Dunno the stats.
@BigEv617. Good point. When i looked at this last night i saw Oil -125 and i think that number is too low. Take away 1P game 2 and Oil look like better team overall. Now the line is -140 to -145 which is where i have it. Prolly watch game and live bet someway. Good luck Big E
Hit send too early - I have much higher confidence in Oil splitting games 3/4 or sweeping both, so if Oil lost at the line -125, I would bet them larger Game 4 to make up for that Vig difference.
Good luck as well - really starting to like the Over in that game. LA cannot stop Oil from scoring, and Oil PP vs LAK SH is a big advantage for EDM.
Draftkings offered this bonus bet so I took it - Mika Zinbanadanbabanajad 1+ pts +200 1/4u
3LP: Rags TT Over 2.5 & Nuks/Nash Over 5 & Oil/Queens Over 6 +300 1/2u
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@BigEv617
Hit send too early - I have much higher confidence in Oil splitting games 3/4 or sweeping both, so if Oil lost at the line -125, I would bet them larger Game 4 to make up for that Vig difference.
Good luck as well - really starting to like the Over in that game. LA cannot stop Oil from scoring, and Oil PP vs LAK SH is a big advantage for EDM.
Draftkings offered this bonus bet so I took it - Mika Zinbanadanbabanajad 1+ pts +200 1/4u
3LP: Rags TT Over 2.5 & Nuks/Nash Over 5 & Oil/Queens Over 6 +300 1/2u
Too much beer on the course today... did I just see you place a Caps series bet? Send me your address and I will assist with your debt Haven't capped today so that means trouble for me tonight. GL D
I solve that problem by going to work instead... And Yes I did place 3 Series bets on them...
Nuks line has not moved all that much today - 5 to 10 cents at most since last night. Gotta take 'em - have a feeling they come out focused after that 4-1 whitewashing...
Nuks ML -105 3/4u Reg +160 1/4u
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Quote Originally Posted by GASportsDoc:
Too much beer on the course today... did I just see you place a Caps series bet? Send me your address and I will assist with your debt Haven't capped today so that means trouble for me tonight. GL D
I solve that problem by going to work instead... And Yes I did place 3 Series bets on them...
Nuks line has not moved all that much today - 5 to 10 cents at most since last night. Gotta take 'em - have a feeling they come out focused after that 4-1 whitewashing...
@BigEv617 Hit send too early - I have much higher confidence in Oil splitting games 3/4 or sweeping both, so if Oil lost at the line -125, I would bet them larger Game 4 to make up for that Vig difference. Good luck as well - really starting to like the Over in that game. LA cannot stop Oil from scoring, and Oil PP vs LAK SH is a big advantage for EDM. Draftkings offered this bonus bet so I took it - Mika Zinbanadanbabanajad 1+ pts +200 1/4u 3LP: Rags TT Over 2.5 & Nuks/Nash Over 5 & Oil/Queens Over 6 +300 1/2u
after looking at it longer, i saw that LAK haven't won back-to-back against EDM in some time now.
parlayed EDM and McDavid goal.
GL tonight!
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Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:
@BigEv617 Hit send too early - I have much higher confidence in Oil splitting games 3/4 or sweeping both, so if Oil lost at the line -125, I would bet them larger Game 4 to make up for that Vig difference. Good luck as well - really starting to like the Over in that game. LA cannot stop Oil from scoring, and Oil PP vs LAK SH is a big advantage for EDM. Draftkings offered this bonus bet so I took it - Mika Zinbanadanbabanajad 1+ pts +200 1/4u 3LP: Rags TT Over 2.5 & Nuks/Nash Over 5 & Oil/Queens Over 6 +300 1/2u
after looking at it longer, i saw that LAK haven't won back-to-back against EDM in some time now.
Final Card (so far): 4LP: Isles +2.5 & Bolts +2.5 & Rags ML (Fri) & Avs ML (Fri) +260 1/2u Mika Zinbanadanbabanajad 1+ pts +200 1/4u 3LP: Rags TT Over 2.5 & Nuks/Nash Over 5 & Oil/Queens Over 6 +300 1/2u Nuks Preds BTTS2+ & Avs/Jets Over 6 +160 1/2u Nuks ML -105 3/4u Reg +160 1/4u 4-2 +1.95 units bet Jets and Oil but not posted - wouldn't have mattered as it split evenly
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Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:
Final Card (so far): 4LP: Isles +2.5 & Bolts +2.5 & Rags ML (Fri) & Avs ML (Fri) +260 1/2u Mika Zinbanadanbabanajad 1+ pts +200 1/4u 3LP: Rags TT Over 2.5 & Nuks/Nash Over 5 & Oil/Queens Over 6 +300 1/2u Nuks Preds BTTS2+ & Avs/Jets Over 6 +160 1/2u Nuks ML -105 3/4u Reg +160 1/4u 4-2 +1.95 units bet Jets and Oil but not posted - wouldn't have mattered as it split evenly
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Feels like Smashville is the side to be on here, and I am sure the Public will also be. If that line stays steady, then I'd assume that bigger size bets backing Vancouver, and I might consider backing Nuks.
& Bolts +2.5 
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