I didn’t want to dig too deep for such a question but I looked at -250 and greater home favorites for the past 6 years
439-129-133(87-46) so 77% wins in regulation while 65% of the time home teams won in OT so the winning percentage always goes down for the favorite in OT which would confirm my suspicion not to mention the drop in the line from the start of the game to the start of OT. This is also why when you choose to bet a “tie no bet” rather than ml the line is higher for the favorite because they know that a sudden death 3v3 gives the dog a better chance of winning than at the start of the game.
ok moving onto big home dogs that are +200 or greater 40-85-33(11-22) this shows the home team wins about 32% in reg and 33% for OT games so this is a smaller sample size but shows that home teams that are very big dogs lose in OT at the same rate that they lose in regulation.
Thus the home team’s advantage is relative to how big a favorite or dog they are.
Then I look at U & the worlds alright with me just 1 look at U & I kno its gona B a lovely
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I didn’t want to dig too deep for such a question but I looked at -250 and greater home favorites for the past 6 years
439-129-133(87-46) so 77% wins in regulation while 65% of the time home teams won in OT so the winning percentage always goes down for the favorite in OT which would confirm my suspicion not to mention the drop in the line from the start of the game to the start of OT. This is also why when you choose to bet a “tie no bet” rather than ml the line is higher for the favorite because they know that a sudden death 3v3 gives the dog a better chance of winning than at the start of the game.
ok moving onto big home dogs that are +200 or greater 40-85-33(11-22) this shows the home team wins about 32% in reg and 33% for OT games so this is a smaller sample size but shows that home teams that are very big dogs lose in OT at the same rate that they lose in regulation.
Thus the home team’s advantage is relative to how big a favorite or dog they are.
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