I had a lot typed out but as usual it resets the page.
Anyway my worries with the Leafs game: Leafs are on an unreal run. Their Offense is coming around as they showed vs. Avs. And they have the better netminder plus they are a more complete team. I'm curious if they can stop that Wild team though. Wild are something like 16-6 and to me that winning % will come back down soon. Teams might figure out that offense and then if they have to rely on the D they are in for a hurting. If Leafs fall behind early this one can easily go Over but if not I think Leafs can shut them out again or limit Wild in scoring. Both teams are on 5 game winning streaks and to me the benefit goes to the home team here. The smart play would be the more consistent and better team: Leafs. Leafs play in Winnipeg tomorrow and I think they will lose one of these games.
Maybe being away from home will help Isles. Detroit is missing some key pieces and Isles are due to start winning games...
Caps are giving up more goals lately. Around 3.5 per in their past 4. But so are Blue Jackets. 15 in their past 3 and they looked like shit in Dallas. They had to block everything or that game would've had a way different score. Caps are off a home loss to Chicago and Caps are one of the teams that seems to have a true home ice advantage in NHL. They should be awake for this one against a Metro foe.
And Canes are missing all kinds of Defenders. Buffalo Over 2.5 I lean, Canes Over 3.5. Canes can be gritty but they need Defenders... And we all know they can score and Buffalo can be extremely leaky in the back end.
I had way more typed out but it got erased and honestly all the typing means nothing when it comes down to the actual games.
@BryGuy247
Bertuzzi is out due to Covid Protocol. That is a big hit to the offense.
I want to grab that Over in Minny however Leafs are too dominant on D. They are due for a letdown though but maybe tomorrow at Jets.
Boston play is based off how they play at home vs. the road. Tampa is the better team with their top notch goalie in there. Boston hasn't been the same team. They are missing a step this season (so far) and although their record is decent they aren't good in a lot of these matchups vs. top teams.
Rangers are definitely due for a letdown spot. That isn't a good reason to fade them but I think Chicago has a chance. NYR with an injury to their goaltender and maybe now they get hit with the injury bug if Chicago can bang them around a bit. So maybe a more reserved NYR. And their backup has okay numbers but I have been fukked over by him a few times this season.
Vancouver game is because I think they have turned a corner but my issue is that Crosby plays really well in Canada and Pens are off a 3 goal loss in which they usually are good at rebounding in their next matchup.
@hart31
Some big defenders
Bear
DeAngelo
Pesce
All Covid Protocol and likely why Canes are letting the goals in lately.
Sens 3-2
Dallas 4-1
Wash 4-2
Last 3.
Not terrible in some instances but definitely a little leaky lately.
I'm not saying these are the reasons for the goals but that's how I make my picks. Canes are still going to light it up I think and they should win the PL however lately their D cannot be trusted and that's a huge reason why I pick Canes in matchups. Sure Sabres are garbage with Subban going I believe and I don't like that goalie ( I think he was on Vegas and they did their best to keep him in the games but he would still give shit performances whenever I backed them and that's when Vegas was beating everyone).
Buffalo is a bad team who has shown us that they are a good team to rebound against when things aren't going your way. Canes will light them the hell up I think. Sabres have given up 43 in their past 8(over 5 a game) and 14 in their past 2 games. Subban won't do shit for them.
I really want to do Canes PL now...
We will see how it goes
EDIT: The backup for NYR actually has pretty crappy numbers... Makes me like Chicago and Over more
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