NHL Playoff Betting Tip

First time posting on the NHL forum as I have only posted in college football in the past.  I want to share a betting tip for the playoffs that is very good that majority of people probably are not aware of.  Long post here but it's needed to explain and I recommend you read as this is an excellent betting tip you probably won't find elsewhere.  I hate the books so I like giving info to help bettors.  

It's in live betting only.  During the playoffs, when a game gets to a 3 goal deficit that is when it takes place and you must get to the third period for this.  The key is that in the playoffs teams will always pull the goalie down 3 goals where in the reg season they usually don't.  The live betting algorithms don't account for this so you get a decent line considering the situation.  Teams will usually pull the goalie with at least 5 min left and maybe up to around 7 min left when down 3.  This gives you a lot of time with the empty net.  Now lets look at how to implement.

The key is to look at the alt lines and wait till the total gets to around -400 or better.  Normally I am against giving large odds but this situation is too good to ignore.  When a team is up 3 you will get these odds with about 11 min left give or take a little.  To compare, look at live totals when a team is up 2 - they account for the team pulling the goalie so you won't even get under -300 till under 4 min left.  They don't adjust much for when a team is up 3.  Now, you can't wait till the goalie is pulled as all books pull the totals when this is done and their feed is instant and your live tv feed is behind.  That is why the key is to bet it when the odds get around -400 or better.  You also will get extra time so might get a goal without the goalie pull.  Last night I got -340 on LA-Edm over 7.5 with over 10 min left.  Kings scored before Edm could even pull the goalie that is why you place when you get the odds.  You won't get odds better than -300 most likely.  You could wait till about the 8 min mark and place but you risk a goal being scored while waiting and the odds won't get much better.  Continued on next post 

You will be hard pressed to find a playoff game where a team is up 3 with 10 min left where another goal isn't scored.  I don't recommend doing -3.5 because the goal could be scored by the team that pulls the goalie or they might score before they even pull the goalie like Edm did down 5-2 in game one.  So far this has happened 3 times this playoff and all 3 games had goals before the goalie pull.  Check history on this and you will find goals are almost always scored.  Biggest risk is the team getting behind committing a penalty and reducing the time.  

Another approach is if a game gets to the 3rd period with a 3 goal deficit (like LA in game one) you can also take adv. What you can do here is follow the live feed in the book and bet for a goal to be scored in first 10 min.  What I do is wait till odds get to -150 then bet something like 300 to win 200 (this means waiting till about the 18 min mark cause the pre periods odds an be around -200).  That way if a goal is scored before you get to the -400 odds you make something.  You hope to get to the -400 mark or better than I put up around 5K or more (you might even get a couple min window where if a goal is scored you win both).  I will even consider giving -500 depending on the game for a lesser amount.  Might do like 1K to win 200 then wait another minute or so and if no goal bet again at reduced odds.  Then if it gets to around -350 or better then bet a larger amount.  Scatter the bets.  

 Hope this is helpful. In certain games I will unload, such as matchups like Edm-LA.  Knowing the Oilers will pull the goalie with at least 5 min left and possibly 6 or 7 min left I take that all day long at -340.  One other point, when betting if you like a team -1.5 goals consider betting the final score to be 5-1 or 6-2.  You will get anywhere from plus 3500 to plus 6000.  Notice that in the playoffs you will get those scores a handful of times.  Since you get the goalie pulled in a 3 goal game more games land on a 4 goal deficit than you would think in the playoffs.  In 16 games there has already been 3 games land on 6-2 and one on 5-1.  Worth a 10 dollar bet to net 400 or so.  

Or you wait till the 7 min mark and take 4 goal draw, -3.5 or the winning teams team total. Then you just have to dodge the time after the EN if any (see Vegas game) at a way bigger number (4 goal draws at +100-+200) 

For instance the wild -3.5 potentially or 4 goal draw right now, I just span some. Not saying it wins but rather have that at +150 vs just the game total over at -350ish. Wait for 5-6 mins or so and they're the likelier team to score 

@rlovsin17

 I just like to play the over cause either team can score.  Both late games did it.  I wasn't able to get down to -400 with St. Louis but played a score in first 10 min of 3rd and won.  If you wait too long you risk a score.  In 5 games now with this scenario all 5 games had a score before getting to the goalie being pulled.  That is why I do it as soon as it gets near -400.  Then maybe bet some more if it does get toward -300.  You will get at least 11 minutes and sometimes around 13 minutes which means you get 5-7 min before they will pull the goalie.  Teams down 3 become more aggressive which can lead to a goal before the goalie gets pulled.