i like Fla for -130 but I’m following the rule of don’t take the favorite when there’s a high draw rate. As for cgy probably a mistake but when the line is this high and there’s a high draw rate then I’ll take the dog +1 decided to inc the wager back to 1u for my two confident picks after a disaster of managing during Christmas time where I spun out of control then faded then decreased wagers. Probably a mistake not to take caps draw but I can’t take -1 and the draw just a gut feeling while draws are in the air. Anyway let the show go on
NHL:-27.2u
Alt system .7u
Draws 2025: 6-8 2.29u
Then I look at U & the worlds alright with me just 1 look at U & I kno its gona B a lovely
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Was -1 -115
Col -1 -157
cgy +1 125 .4u alt
Draws uta Los .2u ea
i like Fla for -130 but I’m following the rule of don’t take the favorite when there’s a high draw rate. As for cgy probably a mistake but when the line is this high and there’s a high draw rate then I’ll take the dog +1 decided to inc the wager back to 1u for my two confident picks after a disaster of managing during Christmas time where I spun out of control then faded then decreased wagers. Probably a mistake not to take caps draw but I can’t take -1 and the draw just a gut feeling while draws are in the air. Anyway let the show go on
Lost you’re lucky I’m down in the dumps this year if I was winning id say a magician never revels their illusions but considering things aren’t working out here is my personal system…I wish I could say draws made me money but they have lost me a bunch I believe the correct draw plan is risk very little on high draw rate games then when it’s been awhile since draw rate has been high then you can start taking all draws or at least increase the wager amount. What I usually do which fails is win some money off them then don’t stop when they go cold and increase wagers and lose all I made plus more finishing with giving up down. Then two to three weeks later when a bunch of games that day have a high draw rate I start again make some money and repeat the cycle of losing. Draws are a fools plan I wouldn’t recommend them to anyone. I probably should base it off of how each team individually performs for draws and I may incorporate that but I base it off of what I always base things off of the past 7 years excluding that COVID year they played the same team back to back constantly, using streak vs streak and rest vs rest treating all teams equally trying to stick around the line though I stretch it arbitrarily so for tonight I think it was -105 to +125 games for Fla uta and -160-275 for La normally I would only do -200s for La but there wasn’t as much data
Fla uta 110-115 2v- -1v-1 1-4-7(3-4) Fla draw but draw is so high
Cgy la -235-250 2vb 4v1 5-2-4(2-2) np draw
Van was -182-192 -v- -1v-2 14-4-3(1-2) was -1
Col chi 188-205 2v- 1v-1 0-6 Col -1 pod
Then I look at U & the worlds alright with me just 1 look at U & I kno its gona B a lovely
0
Thanks raiders
Lost you’re lucky I’m down in the dumps this year if I was winning id say a magician never revels their illusions but considering things aren’t working out here is my personal system…I wish I could say draws made me money but they have lost me a bunch I believe the correct draw plan is risk very little on high draw rate games then when it’s been awhile since draw rate has been high then you can start taking all draws or at least increase the wager amount. What I usually do which fails is win some money off them then don’t stop when they go cold and increase wagers and lose all I made plus more finishing with giving up down. Then two to three weeks later when a bunch of games that day have a high draw rate I start again make some money and repeat the cycle of losing. Draws are a fools plan I wouldn’t recommend them to anyone. I probably should base it off of how each team individually performs for draws and I may incorporate that but I base it off of what I always base things off of the past 7 years excluding that COVID year they played the same team back to back constantly, using streak vs streak and rest vs rest treating all teams equally trying to stick around the line though I stretch it arbitrarily so for tonight I think it was -105 to +125 games for Fla uta and -160-275 for La normally I would only do -200s for La but there wasn’t as much data
Fla uta 110-115 2v- -1v-1 1-4-7(3-4) Fla draw but draw is so high
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