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Round 2 ML Projections

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Posted: #1
NHL Playoff Projections - Round 2 

Wild             -104
Blackhawks +104 (Crawford)
or
Wild             +138
Blackhawks +138 (Darling)

Ducks -114
Flames+114
 
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Posted: #2
Covers won't let me publish the link to the NHL Projections here, but you can get them from my twitter account.
 
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Posted: #3
With all due respect, you are nuts having the Blackhawks as dogs. Seriously? No way. The principle of them being dogs with home ice is crazy, sorry. I hope you are right cuz that'll fuel a team that has more than enough in that locker room considering they have been cup favorites almost all year with the rangers. I have never seen a public so heavy on a goalie before in my life. Dubnyk is great but no goalie is great with traffic in front. The hawks will find a way to create havoc for him. He has no playoff experience and whose to say he won't be more nervous in the second round going up against the hawks. Kane is healthy, remember that. And toews is heating up. Parise is great but he's no toews, sorry. Toews will be in his behind because he is what makes Minnesota tick. Underdogs? Can't wait.
 
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Posted: #4
Which ever WEST  team that goes to the cup .They will be playing a team that can only beat themselves,.The favorite by far and winner of the Cup will be the NY RANGERS
 
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Posted: #5
The difference is Darling & Crawford's GAA
My model rewards the goalie with the lower GAA 

Crawford  5v5 Home GAA    2.26
Darling        5v5 Home GAA   1.29     
 
Dubnyk 5v5 Away GAA      1.67 


 
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Posted: #6
na lucas they won't get past islanders  better hope they play caps
 
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Posted: #7
Total5v5
GoalieGAAGAA
2.10
1.80
#5#6
2.34
2.18
#22#34

Overall (Not Home/Away)
 
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Posted: #8
I have to agree with Sco316. IF a sportsbook put up THOSE numbers they would get DROWNED in Blackhawks and Ducks money

I think more like Wild +140 / Blackhawks -160 and Flames +180 / Ducks -200 (or higher)
 
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Posted: #9
haha that didn't wrk
 
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Posted: #10
Those projections don't include the jucie
 
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Posted: #11
hawks were suppose to be -138 with darling as the starter
*Typo
 
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Posted: #12
Hawks/Wild will go to 6  games with the Hawks winning 4-2 series/ The Ducks will in Seven games. . Wash wins and Wings win. Cha!!
DM
 
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Posted: #13
Lucas, the rangers BY FAR, are going to win the cup? BY FAR?! Come on now. Just because they are the favorites doesn't mean much. I wasn't impressed with them at all in the first round against a mediocre team. Sure the flower was on fire and it was tough to score but there's no reason to think they are gonna be winning the cup. Lots of hockey to play and you are entitled to your opinion but as of NOW, they are no better than any of the teams that are remaining in the playoffs. Like my hawks, their power play blows, they are not  scoring a lot and they look reactive more than proactive in their games. I'm sure that will change but let's take it one series at a time. U better hope the isles DO NOT win tomorrow because that will be a psychological/physical beast to handle as the series with my hawks and the wild will be. In my eyes, the ducks, hawks, wild, Montreal and rangers are the real deal teams. If I had to pick the cup right now, Iagain, I pick the winner of he wild/hawks series and Montreal because I think they are gonna pick up momentum as the playoffs go on. I like their brand of hockey. It's playoff perfect. We will see boss
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

I have to agree with Sco316. IF a sportsbook put up THOSE numbers they would get DROWNED in Blackhawks and Ducks money

I think more like Wild +140 / Blackhawks -160 and Flames +180 / Ducks -200 (or higher)


Western Conference Series opening lines Cantor Gaming Monday April 27th

Wild +112
Blackhawks -132

Flames +175
Ducks -200

thinking Blackhawks line goes UP and hoping Ducks line goes DOWN
 
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Posted: #15
had the hawks pretty much dead on, for some reason I assumed the ducks flames game 1 was in  calgary 
 
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Posted: #16
I don't really like the flames, and they don't really have good numbers at all, with that being said, I don't think the Ducks line should be any higher than -140
 
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Posted: #17
Just checked the Current line... 
Thu 4/30 51 Calgary Flames +1½ -190+157 o5½ +120     
3:00PM 52 Anaheim Ducks -1½ +175 -167 u5½ -130     
Thu 4/30 53 Minnesota Wild +1½ -225+135 o5 +105     
3:00PM 54 Chicago Blackhawks -1½ +205 -145 
 
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Posted: #18
Just to recap...no typo this time, and ducks at home.

Wild +138
Hawks -138

Flames +140
Ducks -140

* doesn't include the juice

I don't wanna risk getting banned again, so if you would like to check out all my NHL Projections, you can get the link to the sheets I publish on my twitter page.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:



Western Conference Series opening lines Cantor Gaming Monday April 27th

Wild +112
Blackhawks -132

Flames +175
Ducks -200

thinking Blackhawks line goes UP and hoping Ducks line goes DOWN


ran past William-Hill they had

Wild +115
Blackhawks -135

Flames +180
Ducks -210

don't have Westgate Superbook (former Hilton) numbers yet. will get those Tuesday when take Mrs for dinner and "flagrant collecto" on Ducks, Habs and Capitals 1st round series bets. doubt they will be lower than Ducks -200. do NOT think there will be much Flames money that series considering they have NOT won in Anaheim since 2004


 
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Posted: #20
TBL +120
MTL-120
 
 
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Posted: #21
Current line @5Dimes 
TBL +118
MTL -128

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