VGA - Model Picks - Minnesota @ Rangers / Shars @ Penguins

These are pure model outputs without my analysis. I'll give my short opinion not going in depth today. When i ran every NHL game today these were the 2 teams in which their numbers made sense with their performance, and it also matched their odds pricing today.

Minnesota Wild @ NewYork Rangers

xEG: Same for both Teams
AdjxEG:Same for both Teams

Condensed Final Output

Min 2.3
NYR 5.2

SanJose Sharks @ Pittsburgh Penguins

xEG: Same for both Teams
AdjxEG: Same for both Teams

Condensed Final Output

SJS 2.5
PIT 4.9

I'm betting hard on pittsburgh because in my model when their Mean Regression drops as the other teams rises, pitsburgh is 100% Winrate.

Well I'm on the opposite of both lol...let's see what happens. Nice call on the Rangers the other night. 

WOOOOOOOOW I copy pasted Minnesota vs Pittsburgh, i was wondering why it was same score for both. I usually analyze the games after i get the stats from the model then come up with my own conclusion. I greatly apologize for such a mistake. But honestly I was destined to lose today regardless even after putting SJS i would've still lost.

imgur. com/a/BXFmTaa

The model clearly told me SJS had better stats overall but because of that 100% regression trend with Pittsburgh i really thought they could win. Didn't practice what i preached tonight and i lost big as a result of blindly following the model.

NYR game was way off the scale, but i just couldn't shake the feeling if i had gone deeper and analyzed both teams without the model i wouldn't have believed the models number because then their horrible GA% in a losing streak would be signaling their bound to win against a team like NYR rather than give up 4 goals..

With my model its whether to believe the Goals or the True Win %. The TrueW% has been 87% all season long, its so godlike but at the same time some days the Goals are more truthful. My only remedy is analyzing the games and coming up with my own judgement which i did not do tonight and lost hard on Pittsburgh.... Please be advised there were pure model outputs.

If that's the case I would think you're in line for a correction then as I don't think a win % like that is achievable over the course of a season and that's just being realistic. Perhaps that's what has occurred over the last few days. Keep posting though it's interesting information. 

Also I will never post the TrueW% on this website.
1. Its how i bring bread to the table. (Main source of income)
2. I will be censored from Covers.

Don't be hard on him, don't charge him for the juice.

Thursday's are opposite day.

Why are you guys being so hard on the OP?

Lol too funny.

0% isn't the true winning percentage!