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002 Tampa Bay Lightning u5.5 -115
*Confirmed and very well respected syndicate action on the under here. This is now juiced at -130, where there may actually still be some value. Some books are starting to move this line down to 5, so that could be a theme across books soon. To give you a clear idea of how respected this particular opinion is, and how willing the books are to make a position themselves, we are seeing 85% of the public on the over, and even 95% of the overall money on the over.. Books are very exposed if this one goes over, yet the line has moved entirely the different way, and may even move OFF this number at all books. -130 is still a little on the heavy side, and there will not be much value if this moves to 5. If anything, this should absolutely pull you off a wager on the over if you are considering it. Of course, anything can happen, this is gambling, but it's all about long-term +EV investments. Betting the over here.. is not.
007 Colorado Avalanche +200
*Syndicate action here on the +200 money-line. Since line has dropped to +180. Not much else to say. Most value has gone now, and this line will probably rise some closer to start due to the public and parlay action involving the Kings.
Thanks again.
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