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2010 AFL Grand Final Replay

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Posted: #1
Saint +16.5

Again i'm not much into Footy so pls chime in and let me hear your thoughts for this weekend.

It opened at Collingwood -10.5 and Saints @ $2.60 - they are currently $2.30 & Pies -9.5.

I do believe momentum has swung Saints way?!? Being runner up 2 seasons in a row won't go down well especially after the draw. I am leaning Saints +9.5


What ya'll think?
 
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Posted: #2
Not an AFL expert by any stretch of the imagination but having watched the GF from go to woe I tend to think last saturday was a bit of a golden opportunity JUST missed by the Saints. 

Given that I was sipping a few rums over the course of the afternoon, the 2nd half was a tad hazy, so not entirely certain whether it was a case of the Pies thinking they had one hand on the cup or whether the Saints flipped the switch and found the formula after the long break ? 

But Collingwood to me looked a little more dominant when they were on top in the first half than the Saints did when they were clawing back late.
 
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Posted: #3
Take the start but personally I just can't bet the Saints outright.

Something else to note in your favour 3ball even in their huge win late in the season the Pies and Saints had very similar shots at goal / rushed behinds.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

Not an AFL expert by any stretch of the imagination but having watched the GF from go to woe I tend to think last saturday was a bit of a golden opportunity JUST missed by the Saints. 

Given that I was sipping a few rums over the course of the afternoon, the 2nd half was a tad hazy, so not entirely certain whether it was a case of the Pies thinking they had one hand on the cup or whether the Saints flipped the switch and found the formula after the long break ? 

But Collingwood to me looked a little more dominant when they were on top in the first half than the Saints did when they were clawing back late.


That was my thought as well. I felt as the Pies thought maybe they had it won.
 
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Posted: #5
Cheers fellas. Did anybody watch that show i think it's called "Before The Game" where somebody dreamed that the game would end a draw and the replay Pies would win by 10 pts. Amazing considering the line opened @ Pies -10.5

I'll be a son of a bitch if his dreams come into reality.
 
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Posted: #6
considering the emotional letdown that the first game counted for nowt and inevitable fatigue, under should be golden.
 
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Posted: #7
Take the over this time i reckon.......Probably be 167.5
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by mr_bollox:

considering the emotional letdown that the first game counted for nowt and inevitable fatigue, under should be golden.

again, I'm no afl expert but imo what you've suggested would probably see things loosen up a bit and a few more goals kicked. 
 
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Posted: #9
Rostos & Jive_Turkey i was thinking the same. But most def still leaning on taking the pts here.
 
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Posted: #10
I agree with an over. If the total is set at anything under 164 take the over.
 
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Posted: #11
line now back up to -10.5 gents.
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Cheers fellas. Did anybody watch that show i think it's called "Before The Game" where somebody dreamed that the game would end a draw and the replay Pies would win by 10 pts. Amazing considering the line opened @ Pies -10.5

I'll be a son of a bitch if his dreams come into reality.

It actually wasn't a dream it was his prediction

I've already put some money on Saints +10.5 but that dude has me a little weary
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

Not an AFL expert by any stretch of the imagination but having watched the GF from go to woe I tend to think last saturday was a bit of a golden opportunity JUST missed by the Saints. 

Given that I was sipping a few rums over the course of the afternoon, the 2nd half was a tad hazy, so not entirely certain whether it was a case of the Pies thinking they had one hand on the cup or whether the Saints flipped the switch and found the formula after the long break ? 

But Collingwood to me looked a little more dominant when they were on top in the first half than the Saints did when they were clawing back late.


i feel the opposite, collingwood choked somewhat...silly errors in the 3rd left the backdoor a-jar...and the saints simply took advantage and waltzed on in. Malthouse won't let that happen again, the Pies have been given a chance at redemption here - remember 2008 Geelong dominated yet lost the Grand Final to a over achieving Hawthorn team (im a hawks supporter by the way) - mainly due to their own unforced errors. Pies to hit their straps tomorrow, love them or hate them these pricks deserve to finish the year on a high, they've simply been the best team all season long.

Collingwood ML


 
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Posted: #14
"love them or hate them these pricks deserve to finish the year on a high, they've simply been the best team all season long."

So were the Cavs for 2 seasons and they couldn't even get out of the East. I think losing to Geelong last season in the finals have the Saints very hungry - you can be the best team but if you have more determination than the other team some times it won't matter. But again i'm no footy expert i've been backing the Saints based on this philosophy.



 
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Posted: #15

Dunno to much but took
OVER 160.5
Collingwood - 9.5

Collingwood lost about 10 minutes of that game IMO. Just gotta kick straighter. Saints may have used up too much "just to draw".

Best of luck

 
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Posted: #16
Take the OVER.


 
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Posted: #17
saints +10.5

gl all
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

"love them or hate them these pricks deserve to finish the year on a high, they've simply been the best team all season long."

So were the Cavs for 2 seasons and they couldn't even get out of the East. I think losing to Geelong last season in the finals have the Saints very hungry - you can be the best team but if you have more determination than the other team some times it won't matter. But again i'm no footy expert i've been backing the Saints based on this philosophy.





Lebron's mother was banging Delonte West, that's why the Cavs lost

Redemption day for the Pies.

GL nevertheless
 
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Posted: #19
over 161.5
 
 
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Posted: #20
Pies


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