Posted:
#1
What is this love for the bye theory ?
Whilst I completely accept that byes can have an adverse affect on teams in any sport I don't believe based on what we have seen in the AFL so far that you could say it is sure thing.
Look closely at the teams that have come off byes and who they have lost to and then there is really only one, possibly two games where you could argue the point. See below.
R2 GC loss (No suprise they were expected to be wooden spooners)
R3 Crows loss (Bottom 8 team losing to a slightly better team. Check out the injury list for Adelaide back then)
R4 Roos loss (Bottom 8 team losing in Perth)
R5 Lions loss (Wooden soon contender after having lost their focal point in Brown), Saints win (Looking like a bottom 8 team but won), Doggies (Another team losing in Perth)
R6 Weagles win (Against poor Dees in Perth), Sydney loss, (admittedly at SCG to Carlton another top 8 team). Dees (Playing Weagles one had to win one had to lose)
R7 Hawks win (Against Port LOL), Freo (Against the Tigers), Mel (Against the pathetic Adelaide)
R8 Pies loss (To cats, potentially both teams to play in the grand final.
a) Teams that lost after a bye played a better team.
b) Travel to or back from Perth.
By my reckoning the above two fit 7 games played whilst only 3 games where the above is not a factor have resulted in loses.
If you believe the AFL bye theory does that mean you would blindly bet GC, Port, Lions, Crows, Roos to beat the Pies or Cats (If they played and were coming of a bye) ?
Anyone ?
Whilst I completely accept that byes can have an adverse affect on teams in any sport I don't believe based on what we have seen in the AFL so far that you could say it is sure thing.
Look closely at the teams that have come off byes and who they have lost to and then there is really only one, possibly two games where you could argue the point. See below.
R2 GC loss (No suprise they were expected to be wooden spooners)
R3 Crows loss (Bottom 8 team losing to a slightly better team. Check out the injury list for Adelaide back then)
R4 Roos loss (Bottom 8 team losing in Perth)
R5 Lions loss (Wooden soon contender after having lost their focal point in Brown), Saints win (Looking like a bottom 8 team but won), Doggies (Another team losing in Perth)
R6 Weagles win (Against poor Dees in Perth), Sydney loss, (admittedly at SCG to Carlton another top 8 team). Dees (Playing Weagles one had to win one had to lose)
R7 Hawks win (Against Port LOL), Freo (Against the Tigers), Mel (Against the pathetic Adelaide)
R8 Pies loss (To cats, potentially both teams to play in the grand final.
a) Teams that lost after a bye played a better team.
b) Travel to or back from Perth.
By my reckoning the above two fit 7 games played whilst only 3 games where the above is not a factor have resulted in loses.
If you believe the AFL bye theory does that mean you would blindly bet GC, Port, Lions, Crows, Roos to beat the Pies or Cats (If they played and were coming of a bye) ?
Anyone ?
0
Hot Forum Topics
