Hawthorn SU/ -7.5
As i understand in the last 5 meetings Hawks are 4-1 vs Fremantle since 2010 & have won by an average of 37.5 pts. Since then there may have been some players shuffle that i'm obviously not aware of since i don't watch the sport. I like to bet on the team that played in the finals the year prior & lost - even better spo when that same team are on top of the ladder the season after. They will be hungrier and more determined. They lost by just 10 pts last yr to Geelong. while this will be Fremantles first finals if i'm not mistaken.
Under 166.5
Fremantle have only given up 100 pts twice this season. Though one of those times was against the Hawks the Grand Finals is a far more different stage & the game may be much tighter. Fremantle are obviously very defensive minded. Weather will also be a factor w/ predictions of a wet one wich will be nice for the Under. In their last 5 games the total has been 175.4 so about 9 pts differential. Fremantle average around 67 pts vs Hawks & Hawks 107 vs Dockers - that's 174. Take in the weather, Fremantle playing their 1st Grand final game (am i correct?) & the Grand Final atmosphere & could be a good spot for the Under.
Agai, no expert & you're probably snickering @ me. That's what i'm leaning atm either way What you thinkin' gents!