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#1
YTD: 40-41 +5.6u
Richmond -9.5 1u
Both theses teams are generally on or off. Carlton have only had two close games all season a 9 point win over fremantle and a 2 goal win over port.
Richmond's form is nothing to get excited about, but they have done pretty well against the weaker sides. Kane Johnson is a valuable in.
Carlton without Judd are alot worse side for mine. Effectively without him last week they were comfortably beaten by essendon. Carlton usually struggle against the better defensive sides, which I conside Richmond to be when they come to play.
Port +36 1u
Port are without 5 players who are close to A graders when they are on. The replacements are nothing special.
If they play to their best WB could win by plenty but I think they may be sub par tonight. Supposedely it took them 9 hours to fly to Darwin, conditions will be tough, Port generally play well in Darwin with Motlop and Burgoynes from the area, Dogs have had a very impressive run of late and are likely looking forward to a week off.
I am betting Port do what they have in alot of games this season - show potential and lose by around 3 to 4 goals.
North Melbourne -6 2u
NM's best is about 5 goals better than St Kilda's for mine. They have beaten Hawthorn and WB and played with Geelong. St Kilda continue to be flat track bullies beating the weak sides but have been uncompetitive versus the top sides.
Venue is of some concern, however hopefully NM will play better than their last effort against WC.
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