Geelong have been awoken since their autopilot mode before the collingwood loss where Fremantle nearly beat them, Freo's team not at strong as it was then and Geelong now have Ottens who can help curb Sandiland's ruck dominance. Geelong will pull out a 4 qtr performance and look for ablett to have a good game after the rough treatment he received in the previous meeting. Mark Harvey is warning of a physically tough game but Geelong is well used to this sort of treatment and will be able to handle it well. This is not a game Geelong will take lightly, especially back at home in Geelong where they don't play as many games these days.
Adelaide +15.5
Adelaide did lose by some 68 points to Geelong but despite that I thought most of the time they played quite well and anyone would have been beaten badly that night. They play a decent running, attacking game which is where Collingwood broke down against in the final qtr last week against Sydney. I think Adelaide will be too consistent through the game to go nearly 3 qtrs without a goal as Sydney did last week. I did tip Collingwood to win this earlier in the week because its at home at the G' and they play well there but this should be a close game and really a 50-50 IMO. Take the points.
Brisbane -9.5
I think Brisbane really need to bounce back here after losing to Melbourne last week, there is still a chance to make top 4 but these are the games they cannot lose. Essendon is vulnerable to having big scores put up on them with their quick running game but any mistakes they make could be costly up the other end with Brown at CHF and Bradshaw with a game under his belt since coming back from injury. Simply put, I think Brisbane is the better team and will be desperate enough to win by at least 10 points.
More to come...