AFL R16

Tough week last week 1-3, but we will bounce back now. 

Collingwood -15.5
Can't believe I'm taking Collingwood, but they are playing some solid football.  They put on good pressure throughout the field and their forward line is probably as dangerous as any as painful as it is to say.  Kangaroos seem to be able to stay close in most games but I just think this should be at least a four goal win to the pies, they have their eye on the top 4 position and these are the games they need to win if they are to get it.  I've never had much luck with Pies games in the past whether I'm with them or against them but I think they'll get this one.

Essendon +8.5
Richmond won the last meeting by 6 goals, however I expect this meeting to be much closer.  There is no Matthew Richardson this time for Richmond and now Essendon's forward line is improved with Lucas back in the lineup and Lloyd hitting some good form even if he has had to move up the ground at times.  Essendon has won it's last 4 games probably with the most impressive being last week against the Lions which suprised most of us, form definitely on their side.  Richmond's form is good also but I don't think we can take too much from their win last week against the undermanned Eagles, it was pretty close until half time and most of the goals were easy ones at the end.  The way Essendon are playing they can kick goals in a hurry which should never see them be too far away against middle order type sides such as Richmond.

Geelong -11.5
The line is so close here mostly because Ling and Ablett are out through injury, otherwise the line would probably be closer to -24.5.  One of Geelong's many strengths over the last two years has been its depth of midfield, Kelly and Prismall are two very suitable replacements and would be in the starting lineup of any other team in the competition, it is Geelong's depth that has seen players like these in the reserves.  Both sides in red hot form but I think Geelong has stepped it up another gear over the past month and at home will be very tough to stop.  Of the 35,000 capacity crowd at the small skilled stadium there are not expected to be more 10% of them being bulldogs supporters and that is if they are lucky. 

More to come...

Fremantle -16.5
Melbourne playing some competitive football lately, but this is a game Fremantle must really win.  After yet another disappointing year where they had been expected to make the finals by most they are in contention for the bottom.  They are at home and should really get the job done, Melbourne has not come close to Freo at subiaco in years and with Melbourne only on two wins for the season there is no real reason that trend should change.  I think the dockers will be desperate and their list is better, enough for them to cover the line...

Good luck gman. 

Roos are dangerous when pushed, but still expect Collingwood to win.  But by how much?

I loved the Bombers last round but I am staying off Essendon this week as I think Richmond has their number and massive money has been coming in for the men in yellow and black.  Not a clear lean here either way for me.

What are the odds we see a 12-point Geelong win? 

Good luck on the Dockers.  I like the Dees here with the points.

Yes, should be an interesting round for sure.
All the winners from last week playing one another and all the losers playing one another. haha.

Adding:

Brisbane -39.5
I'm not impressed with Brisbane's form lately but really at home they should get a solid win against the Eagles who are in the worst form of the competition and further depleted with the suspension of Kerr.  If Richmond could win at subiaco by some 75 points, surely Lions can win by over 40 at home.

That will be it for this week, good luck.

GL Mate

I shouldn't touch collingwood games, whenever i've been against them they've won and when i've gone for them they've lost.  I don't remember winning with them for some time. sigh...

Bad luck with the Pies, gman.

I am very hesitant to back against the Roos.  They are dangerous every round and always seem to get up against the teams/matches they shouldn't win.

Good luck the rest of the round!

come on, how good are those cats?
This would not have done the bulldogs favours for their confidence, may have to play geelong again in the finals AT FULL STRENGTH

Dogs took a dump after Halftime.

Wow.

Richmond kills the clock on rushed behinds and wins, but Bombers cover.

Cats. Awsome.

Good news is that you didn't take Port ML... so you'll bounce back tomorrow. GL dude.

Woops... wrong thread. Meant to say that I agree with the Freo pick.

With Green out, the Dees lose some of their run. He's been a big part of them picking up their form.
McManus is finally retiring. It took him 10 years being on the list to have a good year (last year) but his time has come. Palmer being out is going to lose some run for the dockers and Soli has been good before thumping Ling.
I can understand why it is a no play because both teams are too dumb to play for draft picks (like the eGirls). I however think the top 3 picks stand out and they should be split between the three teams.

It shouldn't rain but the ground might be a bit soggy. The rugby was played at the same ground and it still looks like the big wet that Perth has had over the last week might cause some loose footing. I don't think that either team has an advantage there.

I like Sydney and Port in the other games. Sydney should be too strong and Barry can hold Fev even with Waite's 100th games. Port didn't just lose their forward line. Should be an ugly, low scoring game in poor weather... but Port should win their grand final.

wow that's more like it, bounced back with 4-1 this week after 1-3 last week.  Wasn't feeling good after Collingwood playing so terribly on Friday night but happy now. :)

Nice round! 

Fremantle looked dead after 1.

Good job!

My Swans won so that's wipes away my shithouse round.

Nice round g-man....look forward to your pick's over the last few weeks.

Oh...and the Cats look good at the moment!!

Miracle, the cats haven't peaked yet :)

Wow

Even though the Cats aren't my side it's always great to watch very good sides in action!