Posted:
#1
Hi everyone. This the period during the year when things get very tough, thus you won't see too many POW's from me unless of course something special pops up...but the lines makers' are getting very sharp IMO.
Ok, enough of the pleasantries and on to my record:
Normal Plays 7-4
POW 5-0
Silly multi last week that cost me a perfect round, not silly because of the teams that I picked, but more due to the fact that multi's are bad for you when it comes to a long term punter... I should have learnt by now not to do them 
On to the games, well just one game for this week...
Normal Play - Kangaroo's +24.5 Vs Bris and I am breaking one of my rules in that I have gone for a sie playing interstate...but only time will tell if I am correct. Reasons for the pick:
- Brisbane's wins really haven't been against much, Coll (2), Port (20), Mel (52), Carl (32) & St Kilda (46). Apart from Coll the rest might not even make the 8, or if they do will just make up the numbers as they certainly won't finish in the top 4 which is where you need to be in modern day AFL footy to have a realistic chance of winning the flag IMO
- On the other hand the Kangaroo's wins have been against Rich (41), Melb (48), Coll (7), West Coast (6), Bulldogs (3) and with a draw against Syd. I just think that comparing the sides they both have beaten that the Kangaroo's look better placed, and while I haven't stated who both side's have lost to I believe that the Roo's again have played the much better sides.
- Both sides match up very well here, the Roo's backline is much more equiped with the bigger bodies to handle the Bris forwards, plus the added fact that they help each other very well. Neither side has the added advantage of pace, and I believe this game wil turn into a fight all the way to the end.
- Playing in Bris isn't as huge an advantage as it would normally be due to the Kangaroo's playing enough games in the suuny state over the past year or so, and also the heat factor shouldn't be an issue as this game is played at night. Add the fact that the Kangarro's have headed interstate twice this year against Adel for a loss, and against West Coast at the Gold Coast for a win... why is important to state those two games?? In my view they got touched up in Adel because Adel are a very very good side at home, should finish in the top 5 as a bear minimum, and the Roo's had distrations that week due to the issues regarding the draw they played out in against Syd the week before. As for the other game, put that down to experience in that now matter how we look at everything we do in life, everything comes back to experience and learning, and thus I think that as the Kangaroo's have been behind the last few weeks at half time only to come back, therefore IMO one of their main focus will be on starting well in this game, and as such I would rather be 'hopefully' on the right side of a team that starts well, and with the plus points then be behind and play catch-up footy to try and cover the spread. 
GL to everyone and let's hope we have some winners this week.. but tread carefully. 
P.S. Going to the game tomorrow Adel Vs Ess.... wonder what I will get from the Bomber's in the Friday night footy spot light... should be interesting 
0
Wells. 
Hot Forum Topics
