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AFL Rd13

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Posts: 23
 
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Posted: #1
Record: 6-4-1 (54.5%) +6.84units

EARLY LEANS:

Dogs 1-39        @$2.20  (h2h $1.24)

Roos               @$2.25

Roos 1-39        @$2.90

Tigers -7.5       @$1.92  (h2h $1.66)

Saints +22.5    @$1.92  (h2h $3.90)

Freo                @$2.05

Blues 1-39       @$2.20  (h2h $1.28)

WCE 1-39        @$2.80  (h2h $1.07)

ALREADY PLAYED: 

Dogs 1-39   1units @$2.20

multi:
Roos-Freo  .5units @$4.61

GL  
 
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Posted: #2
last post if anyone's interested?

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=71&sub=101072513
 
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Posted: #3
looks very tricky round to me.

 
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Posted: #4
very hard round this week bro! 

im basing tonights selection on the fact that both of these teams this year have played far below expectations but IMO i think the crows have been worse! but how much worse? i see this game being a scrappy game were ADE actually believe they might have sniff. this is what im hoping keeps them in the game, well that and also the bulldogs poor disposal.  DOGS by 23 (hopefully)

FREO on the other hand actually is scaring me a little? the reason why im taking them is that i have noticed melbourne this year have been underpriced in many of their games and have gone on to lose by much more than their original line or lost games where they have been favs. pav found some form (sandilands or not- pavs plays well, dockers play well) and hopefully he continues it in this one. but the loss of MUNDY and HAYDEN BALLA is huge for this team- and completely understand why people wanna leave this one alone. but looking at the teams on paper it seems both have run and IMO thats melbournes strength (their youth and run). FREO by 19

ROOS i realise always puts fear in the backers! you honestly just never know what u are gonna get?? but obviously i watch most their games and (i realise they have beaten bottom teams- but how good have bombers been lately?) am proud to say they are displaying good footy and great run! add on the fact that bombers played an arvo game in the west and roos stayed over east and played saturday and i see the value heavily on the ROOS as the dogs. IMO this weeks lines have almost been purely based on ladder pos and not current form. ROOS by 10

OBVIOUSLY THESE ARE ALL MY OPINIONS! IF I COULD READ THE FUTURE I WOULDNT NEED COVERS . FOLLOW OR FADE BUT WHATEVER YA DO GL & HAPPY PUNTING 

p.s  Lads feel free to leave what ever comments you like also who you are tipping and why? every bit of insight/info helps your gambling mates 


 
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Posted: #5

Which betting site are you using?

I not bet365 don't have the "1-39 lines"

 
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Posts: 398
Posted: #6
I like alot of your card there Rooboy

Also taking the Dogs 1-39 tonight.

Loving the Kangaroos H2H as well, especially given the tough travel schedule Essendon tasted this week.  Roos have good form as well.  Aaron Edwards 22 goals from his last 24 shots? Incredible form.

You're not worried about Freo's record on the 'G (I think they'll get up anyway) or West Coast blowing Port out?

What are your thoughts on the GC line (+67.5).. I just can't seem to remember alot of blowouts in Tasmania? Hawks may ease up a bit on them, the line is very similar to when GC played WCE and I think the outcome could be similar.  Hawks look banged up in some depts (Hodge) and may have no real hunger to destroy GC - Campbell Brown factor? 

Bulldogs win into GC +81.5 @ $1.89 is another multi I don't mind.

Interested in your thoughts BADBOYROO

Let's have a big weekend on the footy !

This week seems a bit trickier than last week for sure.



Oh and Kiwi - I use sportsbet.com.au, from one of his threads before I think Rooboy's on Sportsbet as well
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by rooboybaz:

very hard round this week bro! 

im basing tonights selection on the fact that both of these teams this year have played far below expectations but IMO i think the crows have been worse! but how much worse? i see this game being a scrappy game were ADE actually believe they might have sniff. this is what im hoping keeps them in the game, well that and also the bulldogs poor disposal.  DOGS by 23 (hopefully)

FREO on the other hand actually is scaring me a little? the reason why im taking them is that i have noticed melbourne this year have been underpriced in many of their games and have gone on to lose by much more than their original line or lost games where they have been favs. pav found some form (sandilands or not- pavs plays well, dockers play well) and hopefully he continues it in this one. but the loss of MUNDY and HAYDEN BALLA is huge for this team- and completely understand why people wanna leave this one alone. but looking at the teams on paper it seems both have run and IMO thats melbournes strength (their youth and run). FREO by 19

ROOS i realise always puts fear in the backers! you honestly just never know what u are gonna get?? but obviously i watch most their games and (i realise they have beaten bottom teams- but how good have bombers been lately?) am proud to say they are displaying good footy and great run! add on the fact that bombers played an arvo game in the west and roos stayed over east and played saturday and i see the value heavily on the ROOS as the dogs. IMO this weeks lines have almost been purely based on ladder pos and not current form. ROOS by 10

OBVIOUSLY THESE ARE ALL MY OPINIONS! IF I COULD READ THE FUTURE I WOULDNT NEED COVERS . FOLLOW OR FADE BUT WHATEVER YA DO GL & HAPPY PUNTING 

p.s  Lads feel free to leave what ever comments you like also who you are tipping and why? every bit of insight/info helps your gambling mates 




Dogs vs Crows. Call me mad but I do think this will be a higher scoring game than what you might expect from these two teams. I hope the Doggies win for you mate.

Someone else said this that if Freo had all their players they would easily be top four. Never know what to make of Melbourne. So many scoring options but it just isn't clicking. After only 11 scoring shots Melbourne will come out hard. Mundy will make a difference but that might be offset by Barlow.

Personally staying away from the Dons game. Hope you win that too.


 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

Which betting site are you using?

I not bet365 don't have the "1-39 lines"


i seemed to have noticed bet365 only offer 1-12, 12-24 etc which i personally try stay away from. (unless your betting sydeny 1-12 )
yeah nbird33 is correct. i do use sportsbet.com.au and they are who offer 1-39, 40+ odds, but i also have a bet365.com account. 
if im fortunate enough to have money in both accounts then i usually shop for the best lines. i find sportsbet.com.au has more of a grip (sharper) on lines regarding AFL. this also helps to see how the public is betting.

BOL 
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by nbird33:

I like alot of your card there Rooboy

Also taking the Dogs 1-39 tonight.

Loving the Kangaroos H2H as well, especially given the tough travel schedule Essendon tasted this week.  Roos have good form as well.  Aaron Edwards 22 goals from his last 24 shots? Incredible form.

You're not worried about Freo's record on the 'G (I think they'll get up anyway) or West Coast blowing Port out?

What are your thoughts on the GC line (+67.5).. I just can't seem to remember alot of blowouts in Tasmania? Hawks may ease up a bit on them, the line is very similar to when GC played WCE and I think the outcome could be similar.  Hawks look banged up in some depts (Hodge) and may have no real hunger to destroy GC - Campbell Brown factor? 

Bulldogs win into GC +81.5 @ $1.89 is another multi I don't mind.

Interested in your thoughts BADBOYROO

Let's have a big weekend on the footy !

This week seems a bit trickier than last week for sure.



Oh and Kiwi - I use sportsbet.com.au, from one of his threads before I think Rooboy's on Sportsbet as well

1. GO ROOS!!!

2. i am worried about both of things (havent actually wagered on WCE as of yet). but i just cant really see how melbourne justify being favourites? i know the west coast injuries. but melbourne have a day less rest and only had one bloke turn up last week (sylvia). and now surely the dockers players must be thinking if they wanna make finals then they have to start lifting at the MCG.
the WCE game i hear will be raining so i think it might be scrappy. but do i think that eagles might smash them? certainly. but there is no value on 40+. and if its wet it might be close- as i said yet to play this game though

3. the GC game i have no bearing on at all? could this be a game where hawks try to make an example? could buddy kick 10?
but i do agree with you hawks are bit banged up and brown for GC will want a lifting performance from his team. but i would side with GC +line due to the fact that havent really been blown away by many teams at all this year. if you take out the first few rounds then they have been quite decent opponents for many teams. even smashing the cats early.

4. really like your multi!!

def bro lets have a big weekend on the footy!!

BOL  
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



Dogs vs Crows. Call me mad but I do think this will be a higher scoring game than what you might expect from these two teams. I hope the Doggies win for you mate.

Someone else said this that if Freo had all their players they would easily be top four. Never know what to make of Melbourne. So many scoring options but it just isn't clicking. After only 11 scoring shots Melbourne will come out hard. Mundy will make a difference but that might be offset by Barlow.

Personally staying away from the Dons game. Hope you win that too.



yeah i agree with you and tonight might be a high scoring game, definitely! but do i think the skills will be clean or scrappy? then i would say scrappy. and i just think (now hoping) this game will be decided by less then 40. and i cant see adelaide winning? although dogs do suck balls atm.

haha top 4? i can see they have the potential. but who would you take out of the 4 atm judging obviously on this seasons form? they should def be doin better then what they are. injures have been a problem- but the injury of one bloke is clearly the factor to a majority of their losses. if they wanna be considered top 4 then they actually need to start playing clean hitting their targets footy! hawks they had it and from stupid inaccurate kicks they completely fucked it.

and i dont blame you with the roos/bombers. i am def slightly bias when it comes to north. but we have beaten bombers 3 of the last 5 times with tose 2 losses less then 15 points the one last yr which was 3. the only reason i like this bet is current form shown by both sides. roos look hungry atm. playing like they wanna make top 8 (which they wont ). in a way they are playing like bombers were early in the year!

BOL on whatever you play bro!!   

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by rooboybaz:


1. GO ROOS!!!

2. i am worried about both things (havent actually wagered on WCE as of yet). but i just cant really see how melbourne justify being favourites? i know the west coast have injuries. but melbourne have a day less rest and only had one bloke turn up last week (sylvia). and now surely the dockers players must be thinking if they wanna make finals then they have to start lifting at the MCG.
the WCE game i hear will be raining so i think it might be scrappy. but do i think that eagles might smash them? certainly. but there is no value on 40+. and if its wet it might be close- as i said yet to play this game though

3. the GC game i have no bearing on at all? could this be a game where hawks try to make an example? could buddy kick 10?
but i do agree with you hawks are bit banged up and brown for GC will want a lifting performance from his team. but i would side with GC +line due to the fact that havent really been blown away by many teams at all this year. if you take out the first few rounds then they have been quite decent opponents for many teams. even smashing the cats early.

4. really like your multi!!

def bro lets have a big weekend on the footy!!

BOL  


CORRECTION: "i know the dockers have injuries"
 
Rookie
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Posted: #12
nbird33 dont forget with the GC game they don't have SWALLOW or ZAC SMITH. huge factors!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by rooboybaz:

nbird33 dont forget with the GC game they don't have SWALLOW or ZAC SMITH. huge factors!


Yes me and my dreamteam are well aware

Hopefully it stays scrappy in Tassie.
 
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Posted: #14
ALSO PLAYING: 

TIGERS -7.5  1unit @1.92

tigers played average for the most part last week but there were a couple of things i took into account
1. they came home hard against quality opposition (sydney) and only lost by 10 points away. and that they were coming off a bye. some people are still sceptical about this bye business. but only goin on the trend then it seems to be having an effect even though theoretically teams should be coming back off them with more run and energy. but for some reason f-all teams are showing positive effects after a weeks rest.
another thing as well which helped me to place this bet was that i believe LIONS are the worst team in the afl but quite a way. the GC beat them (brown or not). the only things that really worries me about this wager is the tigers are playing their 2nd interstate away game in 2 rounds? not sure if i seen a team do this before?
 
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Posted: #15
Also jumping on the Tigers line Rooboy.

Was sweating my GC +81.5 that I had in a couple of bets!

Also multi-ing Tigers into Geelong, both H2h @ $2.13

Let's keep up the profits the rest of the weekend !



GL Bro.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by nbird33:

Also jumping on the Tigers line Rooboy.

Was sweating my GC +81.5 that I had in a couple of bets!

Also multi-ing Tigers into Geelong, both H2h @ $2.13

Let's keep up the profits the rest of the weekend !



GL Bro.


good win mate!!! 

hope dockers pull through now  
 
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Posted: #17
Dogs 1-39   1units @$2.20  +1.2units

TIGERS -7.5  1unit @1.92  +0.92units

STILL PENDING:
multi:
Roos-Freo  .5units @$4.61

+2.12units so far this round 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 398
Posted: #18
Dockers


 
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Posted: #19
Dogs 1-39   1units @$2.20  +1.2units

TIGERS -7.5  1unit @1.92  +0.92units

multi:
Roos-Freo  .5units @$4.61
dockers disgraceful!!

+1.62units for the round 

6/8 from my leans!

BACK AT IT NEXT WEEK!

 
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Posted: #20
CORRECTION:

multi:
Roos-Freo  .5units @$4.61 
dockers disgraceful!!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 398
Posted: #21
 
Captain
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by rooboybaz:

CORRECTION:

multi:
Roos-Freo  .5units @$4.61 
dockers disgraceful!!


LOL you wally going nuts on a .5 units

Well done on the weekend. Very Impressive
 
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



LOL you wally going nuts on a .5 units

Well done on the weekend. Very Impressive

 haha i know! just like to express my displeasure at losing! and i was more frustrated that i didnt grow a pair of balls and post roos 1-39 as a play! but held of posting due to the fact i already had them in a multi. and boys have been known for making me look a dick before haha. gotta LOVE THE ROOS!!

bring back stevens acher and corey please. oh ok and carey!!! prior mrs stevens puss
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