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AFL Round 16 - Discussion

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Posted: #1
Looks like we have started some thoughts already by Aussieguy...
 
Here are the lines for this week from my favourite...Centrebet:
 
Kang Vs Coll (-15.5)
 
Geel (-12.5) Vs Bulldogs
 
Rich (-9) Vs Ess       Guessed this line, not ready for some reason
 
Bris (-39.5) Vs Eagles
 
Saints Vs Hawks (-14.5)
 
Carl Vs Syd (-12.5)
 
Port Vs Adel (-2)  Again guessed this line as per above reason
 
Freo (-15.5) Vs Melb  Line guessed again...going well Centrebet!!
 
Will be away for an extended weekend to somewhere warm....so I won't be around to post after tomorrow.  GL to everyone, personally I like Geel and Freo this week
 
 
 
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Posted: #2
Quote Originally Posted by Miracle1976:

Looks like we have started some thoughts already by Aussieguy...
 
Here are the lines for this week from my favourite...Centrebet:
 
Kang Vs Coll (-15.5)
 
Geel (-12.5) Vs Bulldogs
 
Rich (-9) Vs Ess       Guessed this line, not ready for some reason
 
Bris (-39.5) Vs Eagles
 
Saints Vs Hawks (-14.5)
 
Carl Vs Syd (-12.5)
 
Port Vs Adel (-2)  Again guessed this line as per above reason
 
Freo (-15.5) Vs Melb  Line guessed again...going well Centrebet!!
 
Will be away for an extended weekend to somewhere warm....so I won't be around to post after tomorrow.  GL to everyone, personally I like Geel and Freo this week
 
 


Loving two dogs so far this round.  Melbourne should beat Fremantle.  Getting points is just a bonus.

Brisbane giving 39.5?  Gotta be West Coast...  Jeez, what a rapid decline for a proud club.  Might be tempted to take the points anyway.  Don't know yet.
 
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I'd have to agree with Miracle. Freo at Subi and the Cats at Skilled.

But on first impressions my 2 favourite would be Hawks and Swans. With Sewell back the hawks have their midfield back to full strength and will regain their number 2 spot on the ladder.

 
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Posted: #4
Have to agree with tozer.Looking at Swans to bounce back after lacklustre performance previous week and Hawks to continue their winning way. Good luck to all and bring home the bacon.
 
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Posted: #5
Couple of bad injuries/suspensions for the Bombers makes the Tiges -the pts look very attractive. 
As for WC getting such a "fat amount of pts"...don't fall for it HOH! They're giving them that many cause they desperately need it...and more!  It's times like these (as D Grohl would saY ) that you MUST play the books rather than the game. Of course you might end up losing even if you played the books, but I'd feel much safer playing it like that, as opposed to falling for the Good team vs. Bad team trap. Do you know what I mean? All I'm saying is that It's set too high to make you think that it is too high ...
 
But I could be wrong ....
 
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Posted: #6

Brisbane is a different side when playing at home. This year they have played like a bottom 4 team when playing in Melbourne and a top 4 team playing in Brisbane. I certainly wouldn't touch the WC line.

 
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Posted: #7
Still thinking about a Hawks/Swans double, but the Swannies scare me right now, esp. with Buchanan out and Kennelly at 75%.

Barry will be tagging Fev all game, so it should make for an interesting watch.

Might just go large on Hawthorn at $1.48.  Don't see them dropping this one, esp. with the good inclusions coming back this round.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by tozer:

I'd have to agree with Miracle. Freo at Subi and the Cats at Skilled.

But on first impressions my 2 favourite would be Hawks and Swans. With Sewell back the hawks have their midfield back to full strength and will regain their number 2 spot on the ladder.



Dogs will be playing this game like it is for the Flag.  Be careful.  This is their Grand Final.  Even though the Cats will play hard to win well, I cannot see Geelong being anywhere near up for this one, mentally, as the Bulldogs will be....even at Skilled in front of 27,000 screaming fans.  This is the game of the year for WB and getting +12.5 having lost only ONE GAME all season is almost hard to believe.

Melbourne matches up VERY WELL against the Dockers and this could be an upset.  Either +16.5 and the Dees or no play on this one.  Will have to check the team lists for both sides and what the Demons are saying going into this one.  The Demons aren't as bad at Subiaco as everyone might imagine so I don't hold the venue against them in this spot.  That being said, the Dockers are the best two-win team I have ever seen.  Hands down.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by tozer:

Brisbane is a different side when playing at home. This year they have played like a bottom 4 team when playing in Melbourne and a top 4 team playing in Brisbane. I certainly wouldn't touch the WC line.



Definitely a different team at the Gabba, but if the young'uns for WC can move the ball, they might stay under 40 points.  Watching the Lions try to move the ball is awfully painful.

Either way, this game is not a big lean, so it won't matter.
 
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Posted: #10
Nevermind....this match has just been thrown for a loop.  Brisbane has a much better chance of covering 40 now.  Line will definitely move a couple points as people on the fence will jump in...

West Coast's season from hell took another turn for the worse on Thursday when key defenders Adam Hunter and Brett Jones were ruled out for the rest of the season.

The pair have been booked in for season-ending surgery next week and will not play in Saturday night's game against Brisbane at the Gabba.

The Eagles released a statement on Thursday saying 'both men have finally succumbed to debilitating injuries in recent weeks and will need operations to rectify those problems'.

Hunter, the Eagles' most versatile big man who finished second in last year's best and fairest, requires a shoulder reconstruction as well as knee surgery.


 
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Posted: #11
Just for fun I am going with the following multi:
 
Det (2mor in the baseball), Coll ML, Geel -12.5, Ess +24.5, Bris -39, Haw -15.5, Syd ML and Freo -16.5 = $91.16.
 
Should be fun
 
What the multi above simply means is that, like I stated above I am away this weekend and don't have the time, or interest for that matter to seriously look at the games....so GL to all, catch you on the other side of the weekend 
 
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Posted: #14
West Coast is tanking
 
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Miracle1976:

Just for fun I am going with the following multi:
 
Det (2mor in the baseball), Coll ML, Geel -12.5, Ess +24.5, Bris -39, Haw -15.5, Syd ML and Freo -16.5 = $91.16.
 
Should be fun

If it wasn't was two weak sides that coughed up good leads at half time the above could have been a very very nice hit....... 

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