AFL Round 4

Thursday night

Sydney will be ramping up. They usually start slow and this year is the same. They won their first game so watch them get on a roll. Dees will lose this one and win the following week against the Saints.

Friday night

Pies bounce back. There's no reason to pick the doggies.

Saturday

Geelong and Giants will be a great game. Don't pick a side. Just enjoy the game.

Brissy at the MCG? They probably will win.

Port at home against the Tigers. Home team advantage.

North v Adelaide. Two teams that should be in better form but aren't. Marvel is gives neither an advantage. Sit out.

WCE thump Freo by 60. Get on the train early before the line goes up when Fyfe is out. 

Sunday

Suns and Carlton... who knows. Before Round 1, it was a line of over 30 but now it's close to even yet Carlton haven't won a game.

Saints and Hawks... Hawks have a slight advantage but depends on which Saints team shows up.

Obvious pics are:

Sydney -4.5

Pies -31.5 and

WCE -33.5 (Max bet)

What a wacky opening to the AFL. Maybe I should have held off until Round 5.

Pies down to 23.5, mainly because of Beams' headache. I'll take that. Glad I waited for the late changes.

Playing that WCE line now at -35.5.

I can't find a matchup that Freo wins. Maybe their ruck but WCE should win easy. The weather will be great for footy. The derby is often a real hard game but this one is a real mismatch. I don't understand why the line isn't bigger which sometimes means the bookies know something that I don't. Picked Fyfe to be out... Brad Hill will say he's ok and he probably is if it's just a corkie... but maybe not. Playing WCE big. I'll back off for a couple of rounds if I don't this one right.

Pendles should have a great game. I'm picking him up with over 26.5 disposals.

AFL is having another random season. I thought it would level out now but I was wrong.

WCE were up by 30 just after the half and stopped. Poor form but that’s betting.