I don't have the bankroll to mess around with the "locks". IE: Daniel Day Lewis is a lock for best actor but I'm not laying -2000 for a small gain on the 1% chance that a small majority of voters snub Lewis because he's "had enough".
Not too many awards available to bet on right now. About the only "value" on the board looks like The Hobbit for best makeup at -200.
0
I don't have the bankroll to mess around with the "locks". IE: Daniel Day Lewis is a lock for best actor but I'm not laying -2000 for a small gain on the 1% chance that a small majority of voters snub Lewis because he's "had enough".
Not too many awards available to bet on right now. About the only "value" on the board looks like The Hobbit for best makeup at -200.
Yeah, I go all-in on the Oscars every year. IMO they have the softest lines of any annual betting event, except perhaps for the most ridiculous of the Super Bowl props on, e.g., whether Keys can remember the words to the Anthem.
For Best Supporting Actor, Lee Jones might still be good value at -130ish. Although I agree with Luckylunchbox that Waltz was awesome and probably deserves the award, his role is just far too similar to his role in Bastardz, for which he won just two years ago. If you're going to bet the Oscars, you can't dwell on who deserves anything; you only. The most likely potential spoiler here is De Niro, who hasn't won for 30 years. If Argo pulls off a sweep, I suppose Arkin could win for a role that didn't even deserve the nomination; at +700 and +3000, De Niro and Arkin could be worthwhile hedges.
If you (unlike Raziel) do have the bankroll to lay the heavy juice, he is right that the one absolute lock this year is DDL for Best Actor. Hathaway will almost surely win, too, but Sally Field has enough support to make odds now in the -3000 range look excessive.
Three things I advise bearing in mind when betting the Oscars are:
--Shop around, because lines vary a lot between shops.
--Bet early, because the value will tend to get bought out of the market by, say, early February. If you're going to bet this late, you're usually better off betting on longshot upsets. The herd mentality of "Oscar pundits" tends to make them fall in line behind modest favorites, pushing what should be around -120 to -200
--Don't ignore the obscure categories, if you can find odds on them. Historically, Foreign Language Film has usually gone to a huge longshot. That might change due to a rules change this year, which now allows the full Academy to vote.
0
Yeah, I go all-in on the Oscars every year. IMO they have the softest lines of any annual betting event, except perhaps for the most ridiculous of the Super Bowl props on, e.g., whether Keys can remember the words to the Anthem.
For Best Supporting Actor, Lee Jones might still be good value at -130ish. Although I agree with Luckylunchbox that Waltz was awesome and probably deserves the award, his role is just far too similar to his role in Bastardz, for which he won just two years ago. If you're going to bet the Oscars, you can't dwell on who deserves anything; you only. The most likely potential spoiler here is De Niro, who hasn't won for 30 years. If Argo pulls off a sweep, I suppose Arkin could win for a role that didn't even deserve the nomination; at +700 and +3000, De Niro and Arkin could be worthwhile hedges.
If you (unlike Raziel) do have the bankroll to lay the heavy juice, he is right that the one absolute lock this year is DDL for Best Actor. Hathaway will almost surely win, too, but Sally Field has enough support to make odds now in the -3000 range look excessive.
Three things I advise bearing in mind when betting the Oscars are:
--Shop around, because lines vary a lot between shops.
--Bet early, because the value will tend to get bought out of the market by, say, early February. If you're going to bet this late, you're usually better off betting on longshot upsets. The herd mentality of "Oscar pundits" tends to make them fall in line behind modest favorites, pushing what should be around -120 to -200
--Don't ignore the obscure categories, if you can find odds on them. Historically, Foreign Language Film has usually gone to a huge longshot. That might change due to a rules change this year, which now allows the full Academy to vote.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
