Being the degenerate that I am, I always enjoy researching the stats and figures prior to Friday night footy as well as after Sunday night footy. Just seeing how everyone faired is very intruiging to me; Hopefully some of you find this kind of stuff interesting too! We're talking AFL here - Australian Rules Football
The books raked in the dough, as the Tigers pumped the pathetic Eagles. West Coast opened at $2.07 and were backed down to $1.72, which is a pretty dramatic move if you follow the books closely! Sportsbet took a bet of 100k at $1.80, and Flemington took a couple of 20 grand bets on the Eagles. Needless to say all three of the above got nailed by the wingless Eagles. However, there was a lucky punter who saw the opportunity and jumped on the Tigers drifting from $1.80 to $2.25 and plonked 30 grand at $2.25. He was a very happy bloke by the end of the Eagles-Tigers match.
Next week we've got a sold out blockbuster b/w the Cats and the Doggies. The books are taking a gamble themselves on the depleted Cats and they have 'em as fat as $1.49 favourites, with the Doggies being only $2.50 dogs!! Obviously the bookies are playing on Cameron Ling and G. Ablett's injuries. But not all the sportbooks view this match up the same way. with Flemington and TAB still favouring the Cats at a $1.33, and the Dogs going down to $1.95. Furthermore, the game being at Skilled Stadium gives Geelong quite an edge in this amazing match up, which should be a ripsnorter to watch
Perhaps, we should just pass on the Cats n Dogs quarrel and find some value on the Tigers-Bombers match which all of a sudden has been overshadowed by the sold out clash at Skilled Stadium. If the Tigers beat Essendon, they're on the verge of making the top eight. Essendon too, is another contender, as are the Crows, the Lions and the Blues too.
Obviously some great matches coming up next week and plenty of opportunities for the punters too ...
Cheers and good luck everyone
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Being the degenerate that I am, I always enjoy researching the stats and figures prior to Friday night footy as well as after Sunday night footy. Just seeing how everyone faired is very intruiging to me; Hopefully some of you find this kind of stuff interesting too! We're talking AFL here - Australian Rules Football
The books raked in the dough, as the Tigers pumped the pathetic Eagles. West Coast opened at $2.07 and were backed down to $1.72, which is a pretty dramatic move if you follow the books closely! Sportsbet took a bet of 100k at $1.80, and Flemington took a couple of 20 grand bets on the Eagles. Needless to say all three of the above got nailed by the wingless Eagles. However, there was a lucky punter who saw the opportunity and jumped on the Tigers drifting from $1.80 to $2.25 and plonked 30 grand at $2.25. He was a very happy bloke by the end of the Eagles-Tigers match.
Next week we've got a sold out blockbuster b/w the Cats and the Doggies. The books are taking a gamble themselves on the depleted Cats and they have 'em as fat as $1.49 favourites, with the Doggies being only $2.50 dogs!! Obviously the bookies are playing on Cameron Ling and G. Ablett's injuries. But not all the sportbooks view this match up the same way. with Flemington and TAB still favouring the Cats at a $1.33, and the Dogs going down to $1.95. Furthermore, the game being at Skilled Stadium gives Geelong quite an edge in this amazing match up, which should be a ripsnorter to watch
Perhaps, we should just pass on the Cats n Dogs quarrel and find some value on the Tigers-Bombers match which all of a sudden has been overshadowed by the sold out clash at Skilled Stadium. If the Tigers beat Essendon, they're on the verge of making the top eight. Essendon too, is another contender, as are the Crows, the Lions and the Blues too.
Obviously some great matches coming up next week and plenty of opportunities for the punters too ...
I reckon Abblett will play. I wouldn't be suprised if Ling makes it either.
Looking at the UNDER depending on what the total comes out as. The temptation would be to take the OVER but (depnding on the total) this game stinks of UNDERS......... anything above 221 and above.
0
I reckon Abblett will play. I wouldn't be suprised if Ling makes it either.
Looking at the UNDER depending on what the total comes out as. The temptation would be to take the OVER but (depnding on the total) this game stinks of UNDERS......... anything above 221 and above.
Have to agree on that ecoute. There'll be no plenty of goals galore there. I think tackles should be the name of that game. Plenty of handpasses and short kicks too. Ugly defensive play I reckon. Goals should be far and few in between.
Smart bet mate
0
Have to agree on that ecoute. There'll be no plenty of goals galore there. I think tackles should be the name of that game. Plenty of handpasses and short kicks too. Ugly defensive play I reckon. Goals should be far and few in between.
Disagree there guys...this will be a 'fairly' high scoring game, and also with Ablett playing (Ling won't), then the Cats still have a significant experience and body strength advanatge here. Cats will be looking forward to this challenge, and I see them winning by 30-40 points....Dogs are 'ok' but they are still 2-3 years off where the Cats are at at the moment...with the Hawks 1-2 years off where the Cats are also at at the moment
0
Disagree there guys...this will be a 'fairly' high scoring game, and also with Ablett playing (Ling won't), then the Cats still have a significant experience and body strength advanatge here. Cats will be looking forward to this challenge, and I see them winning by 30-40 points....Dogs are 'ok' but they are still 2-3 years off where the Cats are at at the moment...with the Hawks 1-2 years off where the Cats are also at at the moment
So far, without doing any heavy research, one wager stands out MASSIVELY to me.
$2.25 for a Hawks/Swans double.
Hawks should easily brush aside a resurgent Saints side who hasn't quite gotten to that level yet. Swans should beat the Blues, but the TD favors the Blues style of play.
Again, haven't looked into it fully yet, but at $2.25 for a Hawks/Swans double against the Saints and Blues, we might be on to something here.
Anyone have anything to say against this wager from the perspective of a Tuesday afternoon?
Cheers!
0
So far, without doing any heavy research, one wager stands out MASSIVELY to me.
$2.25 for a Hawks/Swans double.
Hawks should easily brush aside a resurgent Saints side who hasn't quite gotten to that level yet. Swans should beat the Blues, but the TD favors the Blues style of play.
Again, haven't looked into it fully yet, but at $2.25 for a Hawks/Swans double against the Saints and Blues, we might be on to something here.
Anyone have anything to say against this wager from the perspective of a Tuesday afternoon?
Out-of-favour Swans forward Nick Davis, who was likely to make a
return from the lower grade against Carlton on Sunday, dislocated
his knee at the weekend, ending his season.
0
Out-of-favour Swans forward Nick Davis, who was likely to make a
return from the lower grade against Carlton on Sunday, dislocated
his knee at the weekend, ending his season.
Can't wait for the Cats n Dogs game. Feel Geelong will make a statement and play an exceptional game. Doggies have been resilient, but now they face the acid test. This is just an intuitive feeling, as I know 3/5 of dick all regarding Aussie Rules.
0
Can't wait for the Cats n Dogs game. Feel Geelong will make a statement and play an exceptional game. Doggies have been resilient, but now they face the acid test. This is just an intuitive feeling, as I know 3/5 of dick all regarding Aussie Rules.
Nah, it's a good 'intuitive feeling' hansivon. The books as well as the media are making too much of the Geelong "outs". I don't think the books are making as much as the media is though.
Their line of thinking at the moment is that the Doggie ball magnet i.e. Adam Cooney will be running around unchecked, and Jimmy Bartel will be locked down!!!
The game is at Skilled, 95% being all Cats supporters. It'll be like going to Adelaide and we all know how tough it is winning in those stadiums.
0
Nah, it's a good 'intuitive feeling' hansivon. The books as well as the media are making too much of the Geelong "outs". I don't think the books are making as much as the media is though.
Their line of thinking at the moment is that the Doggie ball magnet i.e. Adam Cooney will be running around unchecked, and Jimmy Bartel will be locked down!!!
The game is at Skilled, 95% being all Cats supporters. It'll be like going to Adelaide and we all know how tough it is winning in those stadiums.
As a matter of fact I think it is Coondawg! I know a few of them, but the other Aussies here can correct me if I'm wrong
Very weird betting pattern in this game this arvo - Loads of $$$$ coming in on the Dogs ML, and stacks of $$$$ coming in for the Cats -13.5! The totals has come down to 184 too!
0
As a matter of fact I think it is Coondawg! I know a few of them, but the other Aussies here can correct me if I'm wrong
Very weird betting pattern in this game this arvo - Loads of $$$$ coming in on the Dogs ML, and stacks of $$$$ coming in for the Cats -13.5! The totals has come down to 184 too!
As a matter of fact I think it is Coondawg! I know a few of them, but the other Aussies here can correct me if I'm wrong
Very weird betting pattern in this game this arvo - Loads of $$$$ coming in on the Dogs ML, and stacks of $$$$ coming in for the Cats -13.5! The totals has come down to 184 too!
Yep, mentioned that in my thread and that is why a Cats win/Dogs cover makes the books smile.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Aussieguy:
As a matter of fact I think it is Coondawg! I know a few of them, but the other Aussies here can correct me if I'm wrong
Very weird betting pattern in this game this arvo - Loads of $$$$ coming in on the Dogs ML, and stacks of $$$$ coming in for the Cats -13.5! The totals has come down to 184 too!
Yep, mentioned that in my thread and that is why a Cats win/Dogs cover makes the books smile.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.