Hendy's AFL Round 15

GWS +32.5
Gotta go with the winless team here to respond. If they don't win this one, they only have one other realistic chance (against GC) to win a game this season. Doggies aren't good... they lost to Melb. Doggies may respond to the loss but the 30 points should make this safe.

The ground offers no advantage for either team. The key will be locking down on Griffin but around the ground, the doggies are more experienced but not more talented. Morris should do well on Cameron but he's rested and ready to fire.

I often jinx myself when posting. I hope that trend doesn't continue.

GOOD LUCK BUDDY, I HAVE GWS/WESTERN O188 PENDING AS WELL AS RICHMOND/NM O195.5

I've jumped on GWS ML at the half at 3.15 for a small bet.

I hope they have a win.

Looking to jump on the Roos at HT but they are winning by TOO MUCH.

REALLY THOUGHT BOTH OF THESE WOULD BE HIGHER SCORING

Roos 2H +10.5

IM THINKING ITS EITHER OVER OR NOTHING ON BRISBANE/GC

Brisbane should win. They are playing good footy and no GAblett. The line is set about right. I can't see GC kicking a big score. I expect Brissy to win by 30... and I wouldn't bet on the over. I can't see how GC will kick a good score.

WELL I JUST KNOW THAT BRISBANE GIVES UP A TON OF GOALS, CONCEDING 105 PPG, IS THAT SOMETHING GC CAN DO?

I like Gold Coast +22.5.  I think they gave the Lions a run for it here.  Then again, I am sober now, so this is probably fade material. 

I'm going to wait on the game until half time... I want to see how GC respond to no GAblett

GWS +32.5
GWS ML
Roos 2H +10.5

Fantasy Points (Dream Team)... Vince over LeCras $1.80
It's gonna be wet and nasty for forwards. I think Bernie should get about 20 more than LeCras just by being around the ball.

Vince over LeCras $1.80
Bernie even got knocked out and didn't play the last 10 mins and won by 15. I wish they were all this easy.

Did a nice write up but got distracted and didn't post it.

In summary, Perth is great footy weather. It would be shocking to see the total not make it over 160. Dockers don't normally run up the score but the Saints leak points (might struggle to kick 'em but they should put up enough from their smalls).

Dockers Saints Over 157.5

Weather has held up and Melbourne look shocking. Swans should be further ahead.

Swans 2H -32.5

Swans are relaxed... maybe tired from the game with Carlton in the rain. Grundy is making mistakes... I thought that with Frawley out, Tippy would do well.

Start of the 4th and they have given away the first so need 5 goals in the last quarter... something needs to change... need Melbourne to fade like they did last week.

Swans 2H -32.5
Swans playing for next week. ONLY 31 points. Should have got Dees ML (yeah right!).

Geez the Saints Dockers game is scrappy.

Pending: Dockers Saints Over 157.5

Adding: Dockers Saints 2H Over 79.5
Dockers need to pile on points. Sandi and Pav aren't doing much up forward so I think there will be some changes to open it up.

Dockers Saints Over 157.5
Dockers Saints 2H Over 79.5


Adding: Bombers Power 2H Over 92.5

...with the Bombers injuries, Port might be a good bet also.

I think this one still goes over the 185.5 but Port will score better.

Bombers Power 2H Over 92.5
7 mins to go and it wins.


Ends a good weekend.