A couple of games stand out this round... first one is Friday night.
LAST FIVE TIMES THEY MET
R9, 2012, Collingwood 10.15 (75) d Adelaide 6.13 (49) at AAMI Stadium
R9, 2011, Collingwood 20.15 (135) d Adelaide 14.8 (92) at Etihad Stadium
R21, 2010, Collingwood 6.18 (54) d Adelaide 7.9 (51) at the MCG
1SF, 2009, Collingwood 12.11 (83) d Adelaide 11.12 (78) at the MCG
R19, 2009, Collingwood 13.11 (89) d Adelaide 9.14 (68) at AAMI Stadium
The last three times Collingwood and Adelaide have met at the MCG they have gone to the wire, decided by four, five and three points... but don't be fooled.
LAST TIME AT THE MCG
Last game the two teams met at MCG, Leigh Brown kicked 2 goals and Adelaide had the Tippett / Walker combo... Adelaide were winning most of the game.
Adelaide's recent record at the MCG
2013
R5 Lost to Carlton 30 points
R12 Lost to Richmond 38 points
2012
R3 Lost to Hawthorn 56 points
R22 Won vs Melb 69 points
Adelaide have a horrible run until R21 against the doggies. They won't make the finals while the Pies need to start showing some form. They have good players coming back like Beams. Competition for spots is starting and the team will rally to support Harry O.
My
only concern is the weather. I expect the rain to be there on
Saturday... and maybe a little during the day on Friday. Fingers crossed
it isn't wet because that does even it a little.
Going the Pies -28.5
I
can't find a case for the Crows to win. I had expected the line to be
in the low 40s. Heath will cover Porps. Lynch won't get possessions in
the 50... the goals will come from their mids. Danger might have to play
forward... meanwhile Cloke will get Rutten, Reid will take Talia and
the smalls should run a merry dance.
I like the Cats and Hawks
but need to check the weather... Freo should also take the game but it
will be low scoring and 10 points may still come in handy. The Derby is
always a good, hard fight.
)
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