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    NBL Round 1

    Bolar
    Jive_Turkey
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    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2009 - 7:31 PM ET #1

    Under 173.5 @ $1.90
     
    Self explanatory. Games last year were struggling to reach 170 with 12 minute quarters. What are they going to do with 10?
     
    Not to mention, during the pre-season that clubs were scoring in the 70's and 80's.
     
    This line is spot on and I'm happy to experiment with the under.
     
    Breakers should cover too. 10 is a gift.
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    Under 173.5 @ $1.90
     
    Self explanatory. Games last year were struggling to reach 170 with 12 minute quarters. What are they going to do with 10?
     
    Not to mention, during the pre-season that clubs were scoring in the 70's and 80's.
     
    This line is spot on and I'm happy to experiment with the under.
     
    Breakers should cover too. 10 is a gift.
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 2:30 AM ET #2

    New Zealand -10 @ $1.90
     
    See NZ flogging them too.
     
    Final score something like 90 - 70
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    New Zealand -10 @ $1.90
     
    See NZ flogging them too.
     
    Final score something like 90 - 70
     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 3:56 AM ET #3

    Unders were absolute money last season, agree this total is a little high (equates to a 205 under the "old" 48 minute games), esp for the opening night, personally just content to watch for now as this year has quite a different look and feel to it in many ways.  
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    Unders were absolute money last season, agree this total is a little high (equates to a 205 under the "old" 48 minute games), esp for the opening night, personally just content to watch for now as this year has quite a different look and feel to it in many ways.  
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 4:05 AM ET #4

    I'm happy with 40 point quarters. 160 game total. On target for under. Second halves usually were shit last year scoring wise.
     
    Most games we will see in the 150, possible 140, even as low as 130 IMO this year.
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    I'm happy with 40 point quarters. 160 game total. On target for under. Second halves usually were shit last year scoring wise.
     
    Most games we will see in the 150, possible 140, even as low as 130 IMO this year.
     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 4:16 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    I'm happy with 40 point quarters. 160 game total. On target for under. Second halves usually were shit last year scoring wise.
     
    Most games we will see in the 150, possible 140, even as low as 130 IMO this year.

    I'll be interested to see how the reduction in game time affects scoring. One of the reasons, imo, that "unders" were so prevalent in the NBL in the past couple of seasons were flat spots in games where both teams would seemingly 'check out' for a few minutes.

    The change to 40 mins is such a nuance for these guys that it might just trigger a bit more intensity overall with teams emphasising the fact they can't afford to nod off when time is shorter.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    I'm happy with 40 point quarters. 160 game total. On target for under. Second halves usually were shit last year scoring wise.
     
    Most games we will see in the 150, possible 140, even as low as 130 IMO this year.

    I'll be interested to see how the reduction in game time affects scoring. One of the reasons, imo, that "unders" were so prevalent in the NBL in the past couple of seasons were flat spots in games where both teams would seemingly 'check out' for a few minutes.

    The change to 40 mins is such a nuance for these guys that it might just trigger a bit more intensity overall with teams emphasising the fact they can't afford to nod off when time is shorter.

     

     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 4:24 AM ET #6

    boy oh boy the Taipans are a 'budget' bunch this season. And to think only a year ago they were loaded from top to bottom with some of the league's most expensive (but not necessarily GOOD) names.
     
    One thing that WILL be better for them this season is team chemistry. Right from the get go, the players who've played for this club have always had poor body language and a real 'hang dog' look about them imo, but the group they've got this season should turn that around a little and work a lot harder for each other because there's nowhere near as many egos in the mix.
     
    Aaron Fearne, their coach is a defensive FIEND ! His idea of a perfect game is a 65-55 scoreline. So that "blue collar" mentality should be a hallmark of the Snakes this season.   
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    boy oh boy the Taipans are a 'budget' bunch this season. And to think only a year ago they were loaded from top to bottom with some of the league's most expensive (but not necessarily GOOD) names.
     
    One thing that WILL be better for them this season is team chemistry. Right from the get go, the players who've played for this club have always had poor body language and a real 'hang dog' look about them imo, but the group they've got this season should turn that around a little and work a lot harder for each other because there's nowhere near as many egos in the mix.
     
    Aaron Fearne, their coach is a defensive FIEND ! His idea of a perfect game is a 65-55 scoreline. So that "blue collar" mentality should be a hallmark of the Snakes this season.   
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 4:58 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Under 173.5 @ $1.90
    New Zealand -10 @ $1.90

    Excellent opening night. The books were right on the money with the total.

    Interesting fact you have produced Jive. Take Cairns unders this year, especially at home. They have been bankers the last few years anyway.

    After half time, the scoring picked up, but again, it was too strong. They did die off in the last quarter it seemed.

    At the moment, depending what the lines are, I'm going to stick with unders.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Under 173.5 @ $1.90
    New Zealand -10 @ $1.90

    Excellent opening night. The books were right on the money with the total.

    Interesting fact you have produced Jive. Take Cairns unders this year, especially at home. They have been bankers the last few years anyway.

    After half time, the scoring picked up, but again, it was too strong. They did die off in the last quarter it seemed.

    At the moment, depending what the lines are, I'm going to stick with unders.

     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 5:01 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Excellent opening night. The books were right on the money with the total.

    Interesting fact you have produced Jive. Take Cairns unders this year, especially at home. They have been bankers the last few years anyway.

    After half time, the scoring picked up, but again, it was too strong. They did die off in the last quarter it seemed.

    At the moment, depending what the lines are, I'm going to stick with unders.

    The Cairns Convention Centre is like the bermuda triangle for points scoring in this league, ie offense goes completely missing in that gym.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Excellent opening night. The books were right on the money with the total.

    Interesting fact you have produced Jive. Take Cairns unders this year, especially at home. They have been bankers the last few years anyway.

    After half time, the scoring picked up, but again, it was too strong. They did die off in the last quarter it seemed.

    At the moment, depending what the lines are, I'm going to stick with unders.

    The Cairns Convention Centre is like the bermuda triangle for points scoring in this league, ie offense goes completely missing in that gym.  

     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 6:07 AM ET #9

    Yep. Will be taking it before the books get on it and lower the totals.
     
    Hammer it early as the totals will lower when the books use their initiative.
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    Yep. Will be taking it before the books get on it and lower the totals.
     
    Hammer it early as the totals will lower when the books use their initiative.
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 8:18 PM ET #10

    what are your thoughts on the totals in tonights games?

    my leans are GC under and Hawks over.
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    what are your thoughts on the totals in tonights games?

    my leans are GC under and Hawks over.
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2009 - 10:44 PM ET #11

    Gold Coast V Townsville - Under 170.5 @ $1.90
     
    Wollongong V Perth - Under 167.5 @ $1.90
     
    The first one is big, the second one is small.
     
    Wollongong may have been putting 100 points up in pre-season, but Perth are a defensive team. I see both these totals going under.
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    Gold Coast V Townsville - Under 170.5 @ $1.90
     
    Wollongong V Perth - Under 167.5 @ $1.90
     
    The first one is big, the second one is small.
     
    Wollongong may have been putting 100 points up in pre-season, but Perth are a defensive team. I see both these totals going under.
     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2009 - 3:54 AM ET #12

    not so sure about that under on the Gold Coast, Joey Wright generally likes his teams to run the floor and put up plenty of shots.
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    not so sure about that under on the Gold Coast, Joey Wright generally likes his teams to run the floor and put up plenty of shots.
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2009 - 8:07 AM ET #13

    1 - 1 can't compain.
    3 - 1 for the season
     
    If you keep backing unders, you will make a profit in the long run.
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    1 - 1 can't compain.
    3 - 1 for the season
     
    If you keep backing unders, you will make a profit in the long run.
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2009 - 4:04 AM ET #14

    Cairns V Adelaide - Under 160.5
     
    Self explanatory.
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    Cairns V Adelaide - Under 160.5
     
    Self explanatory.
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2009 - 7:23 AM ET #15

    Half a point.

    They are on target early on this season.

    Worst thing is the total was 161.5 but when I got on, they moved it to 160.5.

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    Half a point.

    They are on target early on this season.

    Worst thing is the total was 161.5 but when I got on, they moved it to 160.5.

     
     
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2009 - 10:27 AM ET #16

    Good luck
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    Good luck
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