NBL Round 6

That Kings United game was great. I jumped on the over at 3Qtr time and it didn't disappoint. Breakers, Kings and United all with two games. They might get tired but they are quality teams so even tired, they will probably win.

After beating the Hawks, why would Brissy be only -2.5 against Sydney? Yeah, it's in Brisbane but I don't think that's enough.

Kings at home to Wildcats... -3.5. What? Have the Cats been good away this year? Nope. 

Hawks +6.5 show they have to be the worst team at the moment. 

That Phx Breakers total is going to be high.

Posted in ADU's thread. 

Glen Rice Jnr is going to be fun to watch. I ended up putting a small one on United -2.5 and didn't they make it unnecessarily interesting. Up by 20+, they opened the door. 

I like Sydney in Brissy but I think I like them more at home against the Wildcats.

I also expect some good scores if you aren't playing against Sydney or your aren't the Hawks. 

Small on Sydney -2.5... bigger plays on the weekend.

Good luck Buckleys. Hearing that Didi might be out tonight. Have you heard or seen anything?

I haven’t heard anything but I don’t think it matters much. Kings are a deep team and he hasn’t hit expectations yet.

Sydney over 89.5

Got both Sydney -2.5 and over 89.5

I didn't post that I went the over at HT thinking that Sydney would put up a fight and Brissy would keep it going. Brissy were the team I thought and stuffed it. I gave a chunk of profit back.

Big game tomorrow... I'm all over the over. SEM and NZ. Glen Rice Jnr showed enough for me to think they will put up 90+. At home, I expect SEM to crack the 100. It's sitting at 188.5 at some places. I think this should hit the 200 mark with the variable being Mitch Creek. He has disappeared at times in games this year but at home, I don't expect that to happen. I expect an open game with two mobile teams that will take plenty of quick shots.

That United 36ers game total keeps climbing also. Up to 192 now. United are playing so well that it will be around that mark.

I was thinking Cam Oliver to have a great game against the Hawks but I have to resort to the proven method of avoiding to bet on Cairns.

Sunday will be the Kings to beat the Cats at home. 

Really not a fan of that first quarter. A slow start, Creek missing in the 1H and losing Hampton didn't help. Rice just couldn't do his thing in the 2H but it came close considering.

Following ADU with Perth in the WNBL and Sydney at home tomorrow.

Buckleys I am hoping that Perth Lynx come out flying tonight and really torch the flames. They do have a tendency to start hot and then 2H come out flat but they have a very good WNBA player who just played her first game for them last weekend and hopefully she doesn't let that happen.

As for tomorrow, do we both agree that +7.5 is a lot for Adelaide against Melbourne? Melbourne since last Thursday have played Phoenix, then home for the big game vs Sydney. Had a few days rest and then flew to NZ for the Breakers yesterday which they would have stayed over night in NZ. Flown home today which I know its only a 3 hour flight but then back it up tomorrow for the 36ers who are well rested?

Yeah +7.5 is lots but I think it is right for United at home. United are a strong team with depth so I wouldn’t worry much. Anyone can get tired and replaced with someone good.

Perth teams do worse regularly.

speaking of which, I still don’t get why the kings line is so close. Perth don’t travel well.

NBA Rockets 2H over 113.5

I got a small bet on Sydney -1.5 this morning before they moved the line back out to -3.5. There really is some fishy stuff happening with that line.

Rockets did their part but the home team let me down. That last minute cost me with and offensive foul, two missed 3s then the decision to run out the clock by both teams when all I needed was one more basket. 

I found my angle on the first game. Adelaide under 92.5

Geez... they made that harder than it should have been. United started increasing the tempo in the last quarter when they were up by 15. 

Still riding some smaller bets on the Kings at the line. I'll jump on live betting if the opportunity presents. 

The opportunity was at half time but wasn't better than when the game started. I held off a bit but still a very solid weekend.

I'm offline for the next two rounds. I don't know the lines but I would be looking for the SEM overs (both should be close games). That Sydney line has to be about 12.5 but I would jump on it if it is lower.