AFL Week 10 (Model Picks)

Question

After last weeks poor performance ATS as well as the mediocre performances over the previous 2 weeks I spent several hours on Monday analyzing and testing my data. I believe the reason I have cooled off lately is do partly to the speed at which momentum is changing in this league this year. I had more success in week 5 and 6 when I had less data therefore I made a change to this weeks model that uses the same amount of data as those weeks (I ran the old one as well and the models agree but with different levels of confidence).

I have 5 picks this week and there's nothing else close at this point.

1.CHI vs NO Under 107 (22.44)

2.UTAH vs SJ Under 112 (17.65)

3.Spokane Shock -6 (15.39)

4.Chicago Rush -6.5 (13.95)

5.JAC vs ORL Under 103 (9.61)

Good luck and lets get back on track this week!

Mattythemodel · Answer

After last weeks poor performance ATS as well as the mediocre performances over the previous 2 weeks I spent several hours on Monday analyzing and testing my data. I believe the reason I have cooled off lately is do partly to the speed at which momentum is changing in this league this year. I had more success in week 5 and 6 when I had less data therefore I made a change to this weeks model that uses the same amount of data as those weeks (I ran the old one as well and the models agree but with different levels of confidence).